Contrarian LW views and their economic implications

LW read­ers have un­usual views on many sub­jects. Effi­cient Mar­ket Hy­poth­e­sis notwith­stand­ing, many of these are prob­a­bly alien to most peo­ple in fi­nance. So it’s plau­si­ble they might have im­pli­ca­tions that are not yet fully in­te­grated into cur­rent as­set prices. And if you right­fully be­lieve some­thing that most peo­ple do not be­lieve, you should be able to make money off that.

Here’s an ex­am­ple for a differ­ent group. Fem­i­nists be­lieve that women are paid less than men for no good eco­nomic rea­son. If this is the case, fem­i­nists should in­vest in com­pa­nies that hire many women, and short those which hire few women, to take ad­van­tage of the cheaper labour costs. And I can think of ex­am­ples for groups like So­cial­ists, Ne­o­re­ac­tionar­ies, etc. - cases where their pos­i­tive be­liefs have strong im­pli­ca­tions for eco­nomic pre­dic­tions. But I strug­gle to think of such ones for LessWrong, which is why I am ask­ing you. Can you think of any un­usual LW-type be­liefs that have strong eco­nomic im­pli­ca­tions (say over the next 1-3 years)?

Wei Dai has pre­vi­ously com­mented on a similar phe­nom­ena, but I’m in­ter­ested in a wider class of phe­nom­ena.