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What makes a probability question “well-defined”? (Part I)

Noah TopperOct 2, 2022, 9:05 PM

14 points

4 comments7 min readLW link

(naivebayes.substack.com)

Against the weirdness heuristic

Eleni AngelouOct 2, 2022, 7:41 PM

17 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Easy fixing Voting

Charbel-RaphaëlOct 2, 2022, 5:03 PM

12 points

2 comments LW link

Monthly Shorts 9/22, and An Essay in Defense of Technodeterminism

CelerOct 2, 2022, 4:10 PM

10 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

(keller.substack.com)

Open & Welcome Thread—Oct 2022

niplavOct 2, 2022, 11:04 AM

17 points

62 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any further work on AI Safety Success Stories?

KriegerOct 2, 2022, 9:53 AM

8 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Request for feedback on sample blurbs for the EA fantasy novel I wrote

Timothy UnderwoodOct 2, 2022, 9:01 AM

8 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Paper: Large Language Models Can Self-improve [Linkpost]

Evan R. MurphyOct 2, 2022, 1:29 AM

52 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

(openreview.net)

Four usages of “loss” in AI

TurnTroutOct 2, 2022, 12:52 AM

46 points

18 comments4 min readLW link

The computational complexity of progress

MalmesburyOct 1, 2022, 9:50 PM

21 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

Company leadership and tactical decisions

DentinOct 1, 2022, 9:21 PM

21 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Clarifying Your Principles

RaemonOct 1, 2022, 9:20 PM

60 points

10 comments9 min readLW link

How I Make Diagrams

jefftkOct 1, 2022, 9:10 PM

14 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Are c-sections underrated?

bracesOct 1, 2022, 8:32 PM

47 points

15 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Do anthropic considerations undercut the evolution anchor from the Bio Anchors report?

Ege ErdilOct 1, 2022, 8:02 PM

22 points

13 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Potential infinite value

[deleted]Oct 1, 2022, 7:45 PM

3 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

AGI by 2050 probability less than 1%

fuminOct 1, 2022, 7:45 PM

−10 points

4 comments9 min readLW link

(docs.google.com)

[Question] What sorts of preparations ought I do in case of further escalation in Ukraine?

tailcalledOct 1, 2022, 4:44 PM

47 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Interesting predictions on manifold.markets

jmhOct 1, 2022, 4:09 PM

6 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the actual evidence that AI marketing tools are changing preferences in a way that makes them easier to predict?

EmrikOct 1, 2022, 3:21 PM

11 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Google could build a conscious AI in three months

derek shillerOct 1, 2022, 1:24 PM

10 points

18 comments LW link

Announcing the AI Safety Nudge Competition to Help Beat Procrastination

Marc CarauleanuOct 1, 2022, 1:49 AM

10 points

0 comments LW link

A Few Terrifying Facts About The Russo-Ukrainian War

Pee DoomSep 30, 2022, 9:34 PM

70 points

105 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What Is the Idea Behind (Un-)Supervised Learning and Reinforcement Learning?

MorpheusSep 30, 2022, 4:48 PM

9 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Do insects’ lives matter?

CarnSep 30, 2022, 3:38 PM

0 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Another Loft Bed

jefftkSep 30, 2022, 2:50 PM

5 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Eli’s review of “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”

eliflandSep 30, 2022, 12:21 PM

67 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(docs.google.com)

Truth-Seeking: Reason vs. Intuition

sakrafSep 30, 2022, 12:12 PM

4 points

7 comments4 min readLW link

(Structural) Stability of Coupled Optimizers

Paul BricmanSep 30, 2022, 11:28 AM

25 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] Rank the following based on likelihood to nullify AI-risk

AorouSep 30, 2022, 11:15 AM

3 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

The Importance-Avoidance Effect

David HartsoughSep 30, 2022, 10:09 AM

19 points

7 comments LW link

History of the theory of well-being

David HartsoughSep 30, 2022, 10:08 AM

5 points

0 comments LW link

Media Publication Governed by Prediction Markets

joao_abrantesSep 30, 2022, 10:01 AM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

(joao-abrantes.com)

If it seems intuitive, you’re not building intuition

myutinSep 30, 2022, 7:46 AM

4 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

linkpost: loss basin visualization

Nathan Helm-BurgerSep 30, 2022, 3:42 AM

14 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

How To Observe Abstract Objects

LoganStrohlSep 30, 2022, 2:11 AM

54 points

12 comments21 min readLW link 1 review

Prioritizing Parental Sleep

jefftkSep 30, 2022, 2:10 AM

77 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Bruce Wayne and the Cost of Inaction

TurnTrout and DivineMango

Sep 30, 2022, 12:19 AM

89 points

5 comments21 min readLW link

Distribution Shifts and The Importance of AI Safety

Leon LangSep 29, 2022, 10:38 PM

17 points

2 comments9 min readLW link

Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem

johnswentworthSep 29, 2022, 9:28 PM

63 points

19 comments6 min readLW link

Where I currently disagree with Ryan Greenblatt’s version of the ELK approach

So8resSep 29, 2022, 9:18 PM

65 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

It matters when the first sharp left turn happens

Adam JermynSep 29, 2022, 8:12 PM

45 points

9 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 9/29/22: The Jones Act Waver

ZviSep 29, 2022, 6:20 PM

47 points

10 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

High-Impact Psychology (HIPsy): Piloting a Global Network

Inga G.Sep 29, 2022, 6:16 PM

8 points

0 comments LW link

Unit Test Everything

DirectedEvolutionSep 29, 2022, 6:12 PM

30 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

Builder/Breaker for Deconfusion

abramdemskiSep 29, 2022, 5:36 PM

72 points

9 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Resources to find/register the rationalists that specialize in a given topic?

tailcalledSep 29, 2022, 5:20 PM

25 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Make-A-Video by Meta AI

P.Sep 29, 2022, 5:07 PM

9 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(makeavideo.studio)

FDT is not directly comparable to CDT and EDT

SMKSep 29, 2022, 2:42 PM

42 points

8 comments11 min readLW link

[Link] “Improper Nouns” by siderea

KennySep 29, 2022, 1:28 PM

17 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(siderea.dreamwidth.org)