All 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202020212022 2023 2024 2025

All Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep OctNovDec

All 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 121314 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Average probabilities, not log odds

AlexMennenNov 12, 2021, 9:39 PM

27 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

20 comments5 min readLW link

[linkpost] Crypto Cities

mike_hawkeNov 12, 2021, 9:26 PM

25 points

10 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments1 min readLW link

(vitalik.ca)

A Defense of Functional Decision Theory

HeighnNov 12, 2021, 8:59 PM

21 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

221 comments10 min readLW link

Why I’m excited about Redwood Research’s current project

paulfchristianoNov 12, 2021, 7:26 PM

114 points

60 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments7 min readLW link

Stop button: towards a causal solution

tailcalledNov 12, 2021, 7:09 PM

25 points

12 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

37 comments9 min readLW link

RandomWalkNFT: A Game Theory Exercise

AnnapurnaNov 12, 2021, 7:05 PM

7 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments2 min readLW link

Preprint is out! 100,000 lumens to treat seasonal affective disorder

FabienneNov 12, 2021, 5:59 PM

173 points

81 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments1 min readLW link

ALERT⚠️ Not enough gud vibes 😎

Pee DoomNov 12, 2021, 11:25 AM

11 points

21 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

Avoiding Negative Externalities—a theory with specific examples—Part 1

M. Y. ZuoNov 12, 2021, 4:09 AM

2 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments6 min readLW link

It’s Ok to Dance Again

jefftkNov 12, 2021, 2:50 AM

8 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Measuring and Forecasting Risks from AI

jsteinhardtNov 12, 2021, 2:30 AM

24 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments3 min readLW link

(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

AGI is at least as far away as Nuclear Fusion.

Logan ZoellnerNov 11, 2021, 9:33 PM

0 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments1 min readLW link

A Brief Introduction to Container Logistics

VitorNov 11, 2021, 3:58 PM

268 points

146 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

22 comments11 min readLW link 1 review

Effective Altruism Virtual Programs Dec-Jan 2022

Yi-YangNov 11, 2021, 3:50 PM

3 points

2 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 11/11: Winter and Effective Treatments Are Coming

ZviNov 11, 2021, 2:50 PM

65 points

36 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

19 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Using blinders to help you see things for what they are

Adam ZernerNov 11, 2021, 7:07 AM

13 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments2 min readLW link

Hardcode the AGI to need our approval indefinitely?

MichaelStJulesNov 11, 2021, 7:04 AM

2 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments1 min readLW link

Discussion with Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI interventions

Rob Bensinger and Eliezer Yudkowsky

Nov 11, 2021, 3:01 AM

328 points

156 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

253 comments34 min readLW link 1 review

Relaxation-Based Search, From Everyday Life To Unfamiliar Territory

johnswentworthNov 10, 2021, 9:47 PM

60 points

28 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Self-education best practices

Sean McAnenyNov 10, 2021, 5:12 PM

12 points

10 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What exactly is GPT-3′s base objective?

Daniel KokotajloNov 10, 2021, 12:57 AM

60 points

26 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

14 comments2 min readLW link

 Robin Hanson’s Grabby Aliens model explained—part 2

WriterNov 9, 2021, 5:43 PM

13 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments13 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

Come for the productivity, stay for the philosophy

lionhearted (Sebastian Marshall)Nov 9, 2021, 1:10 PM

23 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments1 min readLW link

Erase button

AstorNov 9, 2021, 9:39 AM

3 points

2 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments1 min readLW link

Arguments in parallel vs arguments in series

Sunny from QADNov 9, 2021, 8:31 AM

11 points

5 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments2 min readLW link

Where did the 5 micron number come from? Nowhere good. [Wired.com]

ElizabethNov 9, 2021, 7:14 AM

108 points

45 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

(www.wired.com)

In Defence of Optimizing Routine Tasks

leogaoNov 9, 2021, 5:09 AM

47 points

29 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] Is there a clearly laid-out write-up of the case to drop Covid precautions?

NoSignalNoNoiseNov 9, 2021, 2:46 AM

46 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

Possible research directions to improve the mechanistic explanation of neural networks

delton137Nov 9, 2021, 2:36 AM

31 points

12 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments9 min readLW link

ACX/SSC/LW Meetup

Sean AubinNov 9, 2021, 2:27 AM

11 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

How do we become confident in the safety of a machine learning system?

evhubNov 8, 2021, 10:49 PM

134 points

56 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

5 comments31 min readLW link

Steelman solitaire: how to take playing devil’s advocate to the next level

KatWoodsNov 8, 2021, 8:49 PM

63 points

34 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments5 min readLW link

Excerpts from Veyne’s “Did the Greeks Believe in Their Myths?”

Rob BensingerNov 8, 2021, 8:23 PM

24 points

10 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment16 min readLW link

Worth checking your stock trading skills

at_the_zooNov 8, 2021, 7:19 PM

48 points

38 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

37 comments3 min readLW link

What are red flags for Neural Network suffering?

Marius HobbhahnNov 8, 2021, 12:51 PM

29 points

17 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

15 comments12 min readLW link

Transcript for Geoff Anders and Anna Salamon’s Oct. 23 conversation

Rob BensingerNov 8, 2021, 2:19 AM

83 points

37 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

97 comments58 min readLW link

[Question] How much of the supply-chain issues are due to monetary policy?

ChristianKlNov 7, 2021, 9:21 PM

11 points

8 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

There Meat Come A Scandal...

Nicholas KrossNov 7, 2021, 8:52 PM

31 points

20 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

7 comments3 min readLW link

(www.thinkingmuchbetter.com)

D&D.Sci Dungeoncrawling: The Crown of Command

aphyerNov 7, 2021, 6:39 PM

36 points

16 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

27 comments4 min readLW link

ACX Atlanta November Meetup—November 13th

Steve FrenchNov 7, 2021, 6:37 PM

1 point

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

You Don’t Need Anthropics To Do Science

dadadarrenNov 7, 2021, 3:07 PM

6 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments2 min readLW link

(www.sleepingbeautyproblem.com)

Highlighting New Comments

jefftkNov 7, 2021, 12:50 PM

14 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Using Brain-Computer Interfaces to get more data for AI alignment

RobboNov 7, 2021, 12:00 AM

43 points

14 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments7 min readLW link

South Bay LW Pilot Meetup (Sunnyvale)

ISNov 6, 2021, 8:20 PM

19 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

App and book recommendations for people who want to be happier and more productive

KatWoodsNov 6, 2021, 5:40 PM

143 points

100 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

43 comments8 min readLW link

Chu are you?

Adele LopezNov 6, 2021, 5:39 PM

60 points

19 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments9 min readLW link

(adelelopez.com)

Substack Ho?

ZviNov 6, 2021, 4:50 PM

27 points

17 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

17 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

CFAR, responsibility and bureaucracy

ChristianKlNov 6, 2021, 2:53 PM

22 points

11 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment8 min readLW link

Speaking of Stag Hunts

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Nov 6, 2021, 8:20 AM

192 points

135 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

373 comments18 min readLW link

Concentration of Force

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Nov 6, 2021, 8:20 AM

250 points

149 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

23 comments13 min readLW link 1 review

Keyboard shortcuts

Keys shown in yellow (e.g., ]) are accesskeys, and require a browser-specific modifier key (or keys).

Keys shown in grey (e.g., ?) do not require any modifier keys.

General
? Show keyboard shortcuts
Esc Hide keyboard shortcuts

Site navigation
h Go to Home (a.k.a. “Frontpage”) view
f Go to Featured (a.k.a. “Curated”) view
a Go to All (a.k.a. “Community”) view
m Go to Meta view
v Go to Tags view
c Go to Recent Comments view
r Go to Archive view
q Go to Sequences view
t Go to About page
u Go to User or Login page
o Go to Inbox page

Page navigation
, Jump up to top of page
. Jump down to bottom of page
/ Jump to top of comments section
s Search

Page actions
n New post or comment
e Edit current post

Post/comment list views
. Focus next entry in list
, Focus previous entry in list
; Cycle between links in focused entry
Enter Go to currently focused entry
Esc Unfocus currently focused entry
] Go to next page
[ Go to previous page
\ Go to first page
e Edit currently focused post

Editor
k Bold text
i Italic text
l Insert hyperlink
q Blockquote text

Appearance
= Increase text size
- Decrease text size
0 Reset to default text size
′ Cycle through content width settings
1 Switch to default theme [A]
2 Switch to dark theme [B]
3 Switch to grey theme [C]
4 Switch to ultramodern theme [D]
5 Switch to simple theme [E]
6 Switch to brutalist theme [F]
7 Switch to ReadTheSequences theme [G]
8 Switch to classic Less Wrong theme [H]
9 Switch to modern Less Wrong theme [I]
; Open theme tweaker
Enter Save changes and close theme tweaker
Esc Close theme tweaker (without saving)

Slide shows
l Start/resume slideshow
Esc Exit slideshow
→↓ Next slide
←↑ Previous slide
Space Reset slide zoom

Miscellaneous
x Switch to next view on user page
z Switch to previous view on user page
` Toggle compact comment list view
g Toggle anti-kibitzer