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The SIA pop­u­la­tion up­date can be sur­pris­ingly small

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 8, 2021, 10:45 AM
48 points
12 comments10 min readLW link

A sec­ond ex­am­ple of con­di­tional or­thog­o­nal­ity in finite fac­tored sets

DanielFilanJul 7, 2021, 1:40 AM
47 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

[AN #156]: The scal­ing hy­poth­e­sis: a plan for build­ing AGI

Rohin ShahJul 16, 2021, 5:10 PM
46 points
20 comments8 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

Re­fac­tor­ing Align­ment (at­tempt #2)

abramdemskiJul 26, 2021, 8:12 PM
46 points
17 comments8 min readLW link

The More Power At Stake, The Stronger In­stru­men­tal Con­ver­gence Gets For Op­ti­mal Policies

TurnTroutJul 11, 2021, 5:36 PM
45 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

Reflect­ing on build­ing my own tools from scratch and ‘in­vent­ing on prin­ci­ple’

Amir BolousJul 17, 2021, 6:43 PM
44 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

Ex­per­i­men­ta­tion with AI-gen­er­ated images (VQGAN+CLIP) | So­larpunk air­ships flee­ing a dragon

Kaj_SotalaJul 15, 2021, 11:00 AM
44 points
4 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Book re­view: The Ex­pla­na­tion of Ideology

PeterMcCluskeyJul 20, 2021, 3:42 AM
43 points
10 comments9 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

Wanted: Foom-scared al­ign­ment re­search partner

Icarus GallagherJul 26, 2021, 7:23 PM
42 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Imag­i­nary reen­act­ment to heal trauma – how and when does it work?

Kaj_SotalaJul 13, 2021, 10:10 PM
41 points
2 comments3 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

How is low-la­tency pha­sic dopamine so fast?

Steven ByrnesJul 23, 2021, 5:43 PM
41 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Causes of a Debt Cri­sis—Economic

Connor_FlexmanJul 1, 2021, 10:46 PM
39 points
11 comments8 min readLW link

AlphaFold 2 pa­per re­leased: “Highly ac­cu­rate pro­tein struc­ture pre­dic­tion with AlphaFold”, Jumper et al 2021

gwernJul 15, 2021, 7:27 PM
39 points
10 commentsLW link
(www.nature.com)

[Question] What are some trig­gers that prompt you to do a Fermi es­ti­mate, or to pull up a spread­sheet and make a sim­ple/​rough quan­ti­ta­tive model?

Eli TyreJul 25, 2021, 6:47 AM
38 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Progress, Stag­na­tion, & Collapse

abramdemskiJul 22, 2021, 4:51 PM
38 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

You are al­lowed to edit Wikipedia

ChristianKlJul 5, 2021, 9:56 AM
38 points
64 comments1 min readLW link

Happy paths and the plan­ning fallacy

Adam ZernerJul 18, 2021, 11:26 PM
38 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

Con­fu­sions re: Higher-Level Game Theory

DiffractorJul 2, 2021, 3:15 AM
38 points
5 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] How much do vari­a­tions in diet qual­ity de­ter­mine in­di­vi­d­ual pro­duc­tivity?

NatáliaJul 28, 2021, 3:05 AM
37 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

(2009) Shane Legg—Fund­ing safe AGI

Tomás B.Jul 17, 2021, 4:46 PM
36 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.vetta.org)

A new op­tion for build­ing lumenators

Alex_AltairJul 12, 2021, 11:45 PM
35 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Risk Premiums vs Pre­dic­tion Markets

SimonMJul 28, 2021, 11:03 PM
35 points
6 comments6 min readLW link

AXRP Epi­sode 10 - AI’s Fu­ture and Im­pacts with Katja Grace

DanielFilanJul 23, 2021, 10:10 PM
34 points
2 comments77 min readLW link

Delta var­i­ant: we should prob­a­bly be re-masking

Aaron BergmanJul 23, 2021, 9:13 PM
34 points
34 comments4 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

A Guide for Productivity

Marius HobbhahnJul 23, 2021, 7:03 AM
34 points
7 comments41 min readLW link

When writ­ing trig­gers mem­ory reconsolidation

Adam ZernerJul 25, 2021, 10:10 PM
34 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Are co­in­ci­dences clues about missed dis­asters? It de­pends on your an­swer to the Sleep­ing Beauty Prob­lem.

HarlanJul 5, 2021, 7:12 PM
32 points
5 comments8 min readLW link

Some thoughts on David Rood­man’s GWP model and its re­la­tion to AI timelines

Tom DavidsonJul 19, 2021, 10:59 PM
32 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

Ran­dom­ized Zet­telkas­ten Test

JosephineJul 21, 2021, 5:21 PM
32 points
7 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How much com­pute was used to train Deep­Mind’s gen­er­ally ca­pa­ble agents?

Daniel KokotajloJul 29, 2021, 11:34 AM
32 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Re-Define In­tent Align­ment?

abramdemskiJul 22, 2021, 7:00 PM
32 points
32 comments4 min readLW link

Fire Law Incentives

jefftkJul 22, 2021, 12:30 PM
32 points
23 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Is there a rea­son­able read­ing ac­cord­ing to which Baric, Shi et al 2015 isn’t gain-of-func­tion re­search?

ChristianKlJul 21, 2021, 8:19 AM
31 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Re­ward splin­ter­ing for AI design

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 21, 2021, 4:13 PM
30 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

Com­po­si­tion­al­ity: SQL and Subways

DanBJul 19, 2021, 5:37 AM
30 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

An Ap­pren­tice Ex­per­i­ment in Python Pro­gram­ming, Part 2

konstell and gilch
Jul 29, 2021, 7:39 AM
30 points
18 comments10 min readLW link

So­cial me­dia: de­signed to be bad for you & for society

mattoJul 24, 2021, 6:59 PM
29 points
18 comments4 min readLW link

The Moun­taineer’s Fallacy

Alex PowerJul 17, 2021, 11:45 PM
29 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Finite Fac­tored Sets: Con­di­tional Orthogonality

Scott GarrabrantJul 9, 2021, 6:01 AM
29 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

The ac­cu­mu­la­tion of knowl­edge: liter­a­ture review

Alex FlintJul 10, 2021, 6:36 PM
29 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] What will the twen­ties look like if AGI is 30 years away?

Daniel KokotajloJul 13, 2021, 8:14 AM
29 points
18 comments1 min readLW link

Agency and the un­re­li­able au­tonomous car

Alex FlintJul 7, 2021, 2:58 PM
29 points
24 comments10 min readLW link

Pu­n­ish­ing the good

KatjaGraceJul 20, 2021, 11:30 PM
28 points
10 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

An ex­am­i­na­tion of Me­tac­u­lus’ re­solved AI pre­dic­tions and their im­pli­ca­tions for AI timelines

CharlesD20 Jul 2021 9:08 UTC
28 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

The in­escapa­bil­ity of knowledge

Alex Flint11 Jul 2021 22:59 UTC
28 points
17 comments5 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing My Free On­line Course “Origi­nal See­ing With a Fo­cus On Life”

LoganStrohl8 Jul 2021 1:26 UTC
28 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

[AN #157]: Mea­sur­ing mis­al­ign­ment in the tech­nol­ogy un­der­ly­ing Copilot

Rohin Shah23 Jul 2021 17:20 UTC
28 points
18 comments7 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

When Ar­gu­ing Defi­ni­tions is Ar­gu­ing Decisions

Hazard25 Jul 2021 16:45 UTC
28 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

La­fayette: traf­fic vessels

KatjaGrace15 Jul 2021 1:00 UTC
27 points
1 comment2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Mus­ing on the Many Wor­lds Hypothesis

David Gross5 Jul 2021 19:38 UTC
26 points
2 comments1 min readLW link