Quick ex­am­i­na­tion of miles per micro­mort for US drivers, with ad­just­ments for safety-in­creas­ing behavior

Josh JacobsonApr 19, 2021, 11:19 PM
44 points
15 comments1 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

How can we in­crease the fre­quency of rare in­sights?

MichaelDickensApr 19, 2021, 10:54 PM
19 points
10 comments5 min readLW link

Wanted: Re­search As­sis­tant for The Roots of Progress

jasoncrawfordApr 19, 2021, 7:03 PM
31 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

You Can Now Embed Flash­card Quizzes in Your LessWrong posts!

spencergApr 19, 2021, 1:44 PM
58 points
25 comments4 min readLW link

D&D.Sci April 2021 Eval­u­a­tion and Ruleset

abstractapplicApr 19, 2021, 1:26 PM
48 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Pa­ram­e­ter count of ML sys­tems through time?

JsevillamolApr 19, 2021, 12:54 PM
31 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Prob­lems of evil

Joe CarlsmithApr 19, 2021, 8:06 AM
29 points
16 comments17 min readLW link

the fat baker principle

faint reminderApr 19, 2021, 7:58 AM
−6 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Bel­l­man’s Curse on Advice

nibnalinApr 19, 2021, 2:30 AM
2 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Are there good classes (or just ar­ti­cles) on blog writ­ing?

Brendan LongApr 19, 2021, 1:10 AM
14 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

Up­dat­ing the Lot­tery Ticket Hypothesis

johnswentworthApr 18, 2021, 9:45 PM
73 points
41 comments2 min readLW link

Anger

lsusrApr 18, 2021, 4:14 PM
38 points
23 comments2 min readLW link

Ris­ing rents and ap­pro­pri­ate responses

dominicqApr 18, 2021, 2:05 PM
10 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

The hour I first alieved

matejsuchyApr 17, 2021, 5:02 PM
5 points
0 comments8 min readLW link
(matejsuchy.substack.com)

Defin­ing “op­ti­mizer”

ChantielApr 17, 2021, 3:38 PM
9 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Book re­view and policy dis­cus­sion: di­ver­sity and complexity

victorsintnicolaasApr 17, 2021, 11:36 AM
11 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How long should I de­lay my sec­ond shot?

purgeApr 17, 2021, 8:51 AM
8 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Net­works of Meaning

Erich_GrunewaldApr 17, 2021, 7:30 AM
21 points
1 comment10 min readLW link
(www.erichgrunewald.com)

[Question] Are there any good ways to place a bet on Rad­i­calXChange and/​or re­lated ideas/​mechanisms tak­ing off in a big way? e.g. is there some­thing to in­vest $$$ in?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)Apr 17, 2021, 6:58 AM
2 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Alex Flint on “A soft­ware en­g­ineer’s per­spec­tive on log­i­cal in­duc­tion”

RaemonApr 17, 2021, 6:56 AM
21 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

All is fair in love and war, on Zero-sum games in life

RatiosApr 17, 2021, 2:11 AM
−6 points
22 comments4 min readLW link

On Sleep Pro­cras­ti­na­tion: Go­ing To Bed At A Rea­son­able Hour

emily.fanApr 17, 2021, 2:10 AM
22 points
22 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] What does vac­cine effec­tive­ness as a func­tion of time look like?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)Apr 17, 2021, 12:36 AM
18 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Could de­googling be a prac­tice run for some­thing more im­por­tant?

QuinnApr 17, 2021, 12:03 AM
15 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Su­per­ra­tional Agents Kelly Bet In­fluence!

abramdemskiApr 16, 2021, 10:08 PM
47 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

Most Analo­gies Are Wrong

J BostockApr 16, 2021, 7:53 PM
8 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

The Scout Mind­set—read-along

weftApr 16, 2021, 7:43 PM
42 points
44 comments1 min readLW link

Why has nu­clear power been a flop?

jasoncrawfordApr 16, 2021, 4:49 PM
148 points
50 comments15 min readLW link2 reviews
(rootsofprogress.org)

Prophetic Hazard

onurApr 16, 2021, 10:09 AM
−1 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are some in­ter­est­ing ex­am­ples of risks mea­sured in micro­morts?

skybrianApr 16, 2021, 5:25 AM
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Does any­one know this web­page about Ma­chine Learn­ing?

mukashiApr 16, 2021, 1:03 AM
2 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Place-Based Pro­gram­ming—Part 2 - Functions

lsusrApr 16, 2021, 12:25 AM
14 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

[ACX Linkpost] Prospec­tus on Próspera

mike_hawkeApr 15, 2021, 10:48 PM
39 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(astralcodexten.substack.com)

The Na­tional Dash­board and Hu­man Progress

maxaApr 15, 2021, 7:21 PM
6 points
4 comments8 min readLW link
(max2c.com)

[Question] Old post/​writ­ing on op­ti­miza­tion dae­mons?

jbkjrApr 15, 2021, 6:00 PM
2 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Com­put­ing Nat­u­ral Ab­strac­tions: Lin­ear Approximation

johnswentworthApr 15, 2021, 5:47 PM
41 points
22 comments7 min readLW link

How & when to write a busi­ness plan

bfinnApr 15, 2021, 3:45 PM
13 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

An­drés Gómez Emils­son at the As­tralCodexTen On­line Meetup

JoshuaFoxApr 15, 2021, 3:36 PM
8 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

The ir­rele­vance of test scores is greatly exaggerated

dynomightApr 15, 2021, 2:15 PM
111 points
13 comments1 min readLW link
(dynomight.net)

Covid 4/​15: Are We Se­ri­ously Do­ing This Again

ZviApr 15, 2021, 1:00 PM
82 points
37 comments9 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Are there op­por­tu­ni­ties for small in­vestors un­available to big ones?

DirectedEvolutionApr 15, 2021, 9:13 AM
26 points
26 comments3 min readLW link

Hell is wasted on the evil

lsusrApr 15, 2021, 8:52 AM
72 points
20 comments3 min readLW link

Train­ing the YouTube Algorithm

lsusrApr 15, 2021, 6:37 AM
32 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Psyched out

Josh Smith-BrennanApr 15, 2021, 4:45 AM
3 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Placebo effect re­port: chi­ro­prac­tic adjustment

supposedlyfunApr 15, 2021, 2:50 AM
15 points
11 comments3 min readLW link

The se­cret of Wikipe­dia’s success

Aaron BergmanApr 14, 2021, 10:18 PM
68 points
11 comments6 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Place-Based Pro­gram­ming—Part 1 - Places

lsusrApr 14, 2021, 10:18 PM
32 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

The con­se­quen­tial­ist case for so­cial con­ser­vatism, or “Against Cul­tural Su­per­stim­uli”

SophroniusApr 14, 2021, 9:50 PM
28 points
50 comments6 min readLW link

[AN #146]: Plau­si­ble sto­ries of how we might fail to avert an ex­is­ten­tial catastrophe

Rohin ShahApr 14, 2021, 5:30 PM
23 points
1 comment8 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

[Question] What weird be­liefs do you have?

Dumbledore's ArmyApr 14, 2021, 10:29 AM
16 points
77 comments1 min readLW link