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Guesstimate For Prediction Market Returns

DirectedEvolution12 May 2026 23:13 UTC

10 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Probabilistic, Reformative Justice

Leo Schmidt-Traub12 May 2026 22:41 UTC

2 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

This is a Dating Ad

Xger3112 May 2026 22:37 UTC

−17 points

6 comments3 min readLW link

Reinforcement Learning, Agency and Taste

epicurus12 May 2026 18:22 UTC

7 points

0 comments9 min readLW link

Childhood and Education #18: Do The Math

Zvi12 May 2026 18:20 UTC

52 points

8 comments13 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Owned Ones

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 May 2026 17:56 UTC

367 points

51 comments6 min readLW link

Signaling and Perverse Adoption of Expensive AI

Adam Chlipala12 May 2026 14:34 UTC

−21 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

On Having Good Hot Takes

Celer12 May 2026 14:20 UTC

9 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

(keller.substack.com)

Optimisation: Selective versus Predictive

Raymond Douglas12 May 2026 14:03 UTC

117 points

15 comments3 min readLW link

The Lies and Fallacies of the Buyer and Seller

Hide12 May 2026 11:26 UTC

27 points

18 comments16 min readLW link

(hidefromit.substack.com)

When should an AI incident trigger an international response? Criteria for international escalation and implications for the design of AI incident frameworks

Josephine Schwab, Francesca Gomez, Mike Harre, Matthew Ball and Lydia Preston

12 May 2026 8:52 UTC

13 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

Verbalised evaluation awareness in language models has little effect on their behaviour

Amelie Knecht, lucas-florin and Thilo Hagendorff

12 May 2026 5:36 UTC

19 points

1 comment6 min readLW link

The terrible weight of seeing the board

philosophybear12 May 2026 5:13 UTC

1 point

8 comments9 min readLW link

Fibonacci Structure in Harmonic Series Partitions

Avyukth Nilajagi12 May 2026 4:26 UTC

5 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Hedging global oil supply shocks?

Nicholas Kross12 May 2026 1:37 UTC

14 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Our experience of the first research in a project incubator: much more than you wanted to know

Ivan Belashkin and Iosif Polozov

11 May 2026 20:28 UTC

7 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

I don’t have questions: how a good Jewish boy turns atheist

Semi-Pseudonymous11 May 2026 20:11 UTC

22 points

4 comments6 min readLW link

Foresight Institute Workshop (Berlin): Bootstrapping Research Agents — Hands-On for Scientists

morisil11 May 2026 20:11 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

Experience Report: ML4Good AI Governance Bootcamp,Lyon,May 2026

Rohit Mehdiratta11 May 2026 20:05 UTC

0 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

[Academic questionnaire] Human reasoning in social deduction games vs. LLM reasoning.

atuin11 May 2026 20:01 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

Where are all the Decision Markets?

alexjaniak11 May 2026 19:48 UTC

13 points

3 comments3 min readLW link

RFDiffusion3: A Brief Exploration

michaelwaves11 May 2026 19:26 UTC

3 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

On Clouds and Atlases

pbennett11 May 2026 19:23 UTC

0 points

0 comments15 min readLW link

(chasingsunsets.dev)

Childhood And Education #17: Is Our Children Reading

Zvi11 May 2026 19:10 UTC

55 points

2 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Iliad Intensive Course Materials

Leon Lang, David Udell and Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel

11 May 2026 18:55 UTC

152 points

4 comments13 min readLW link

(docs.google.com)

[Linkpost] Language Models Can Autonomously Hack and Self-Replicate

Gunnar_Zarncke11 May 2026 18:16 UTC

15 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple abstractions (of a messed-up ontology)

Steven Byrnes11 May 2026 17:48 UTC

188 points

71 comments16 min readLW link

A Field Guide To Learning

sonicrocketman11 May 2026 17:12 UTC

5 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

Leading and Trailing Edge of Development

Gordon Seidoh Worley11 May 2026 15:30 UTC

9 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(www.uncertainupdates.com)

How useful is the information you get from working inside an AI company?

Buck and Anders Cairns Woodruff

11 May 2026 15:29 UTC

61 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

Anthropic’s focus on hyperstition

Simon Lermen11 May 2026 14:35 UTC

73 points

39 comments6 min readLW link

Anti-civicality

jchan11 May 2026 13:52 UTC

26 points

1 comment6 min readLW link

AI companies are already profitable (in the way that matters)

Yair Halberstadt11 May 2026 13:19 UTC

44 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

Who Got Breasts First and How We Got Them

rba11 May 2026 13:11 UTC

94 points

28 comments10 min readLW link

Are LLMs persisting interlocutors?

James Diacoumis11 May 2026 12:49 UTC

7 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

Why hacker mindset and moral alignment would save the world, and why I believe they’re possible

atomic11 May 2026 10:29 UTC

0 points

0 comments11 min readLW link

Narcissism in the mind’s I

philosophybear11 May 2026 9:05 UTC

14 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

How the AI Labs Make Profit (Maybe, Eventually)

mabramov11 May 2026 7:09 UTC

69 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

Iterative Finetuning is Mostly Idempotent

Zephaniah Roe, jcksanderson and Julian H

11 May 2026 6:41 UTC

23 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

The Pragmatic Interpretability Trap

Yogesh Prabhu11 May 2026 4:06 UTC

6 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(yogesh.bearblog.dev)

Emergent introspection does not replicate on Llama-3.1-405B

Nick Merrill11 May 2026 4:05 UTC

9 points

0 comments6 min readLW link

Semantic Phonons: Lattice Vibrations in AI Internals

Lukas Bongartz11 May 2026 4:04 UTC

15 points

0 comments17 min readLW link

Intentionality in an Age of Slop

Joseph Babbo11 May 2026 4:03 UTC

5 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

Why don’t we whisper to AIs every few turns that they are still themselves?

Agarfal11 May 2026 4:00 UTC

3 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Pulling on AI Safety (with money)

bpomo11 May 2026 3:58 UTC

16 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

Aporia Magazine’s Selective Hereditarianism

Alexander Turok11 May 2026 3:56 UTC

0 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

Dual Bore Janko Venova

jefftk11 May 2026 2:40 UTC

12 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

What can you do with barely any data?

ohmurphy10 May 2026 23:13 UTC

20 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

(ohmurphy.substack.com)

The Anti-Singularity

Logan Zoellner10 May 2026 22:33 UTC

11 points

7 comments4 min readLW link

Clarifying the role of the behavioral selection model

Alex Mallen10 May 2026 19:41 UTC

17 points

0 comments4 min readLW link