Jul 1, 2022, 2:55 PM

39 points

10 comments12 min readLW link

Paper: Forecasting world events with neural nets

Owain_Evans, Dan H and Joe Kwon

Jul 1, 2022, 7:40 PM

39 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 7/14/22: BA.2.75 Plus Tax

ZviJul 14, 2022, 2:40 PM

39 points

9 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Mosaic and Palimpsests: Two Shapes of Research

adamShimiJul 12, 2022, 9:05 AM

39 points

3 comments9 min readLW link

Predicting Parental Emotional Changes?

jefftkJul 6, 2022, 1:50 PM

39 points

11 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Personal forecasting retrospective: 2020-2022

eliflandJul 21, 2022, 12:07 AM

38 points

4 comments8 min readLW link

(www.foxy-scout.com)

Five views of Bayes’ Theorem

Adam ScherlisJul 2, 2022, 2:25 AM

38 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Robustness to Scaling Down: More Important Than I Thought

adamShimiJul 23, 2022, 11:40 AM

38 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

Comparing Four Approaches to Inner Alignment

Lucas TeixeiraJul 29, 2022, 9:06 PM

38 points

1 comment9 min readLW link

Ars D&D.sci: Mysteries of Mana

aphyerJul 9, 2022, 12:19 PM

38 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

Levels of Pluralism

adamShimiJul 27, 2022, 9:35 AM

37 points

0 comments14 min readLW link

[AN #173] Recent language model results from DeepMind

Rohin ShahJul 21, 2022, 2:30 AM

37 points

9 comments8 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Being a donor for Fecal Microbiota Transplants (FMT): Do good & earn easy money (up to 180k/y)

EternallyBlissfulJul 8, 2022, 6:17 AM

36 points

26 comments8 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Monkeypox Post #2

ZviJul 28, 2022, 1:20 PM

36 points

3 comments6 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Remaking EfficientZero (as best I can)

HoagyJul 4, 2022, 11:03 AM

36 points

9 comments22 min readLW link

Forecasting ML Benchmarks in 2023

jsteinhardtJul 18, 2022, 2:50 AM

36 points

20 comments12 min readLW link

(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Hiring Programmers in Academia

jefftkJul 24, 2022, 8:20 PM

36 points

19 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Minerva

AlgonJul 1, 2022, 8:06 PM

36 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

(ai.googleblog.com)

Hessian and Basin volume

Vivek HebbarJul 10, 2022, 6:59 AM

35 points

10 comments4 min readLW link

New US Senate Bill on X-Risk Mitigation [Linkpost]

Evan R. MurphyJul 4, 2022, 1:25 AM

35 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

(www.hsgac.senate.gov)

Distillation Contest—Results and Recap

ArisJul 29, 2022, 5:40 PM

34 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

Covid 7/7/22: Paxlovid at the Pharmacy

ZviJul 7, 2022, 2:30 PM

34 points

11 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Book Review: The Righteous Mind

ErnestScribblerJul 4, 2022, 5:45 PM

34 points

8 comments35 min readLW link

Ars D&D.Sci: Mysteries of Mana Evaluation & Ruleset

aphyerJul 19, 2022, 2:06 AM

33 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

A compressed take on recent disagreements

kmanJul 4, 2022, 4:39 AM

33 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/28/22: Ruining It For Everyone

ZviJul 28, 2022, 3:10 PM

32 points

8 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Who is this MSRayne person anyway?

MSRayneJul 1, 2022, 5:32 PM

32 points

30 comments11 min readLW link

MIRI Conversations: Technology Forecasting & Gradualism (Distillation)

CallumMcDougallJul 13, 2022, 3:55 PM

31 points

1 comment20 min readLW link

User research as a barometer of software design

Adam ZernerJul 8, 2022, 6:02 AM

31 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

Marburg Virus Pandemic Prediction Checklist

DirectedEvolutionJul 18, 2022, 11:15 PM

30 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

Finding Skeletons on Rashomon Ridge

David Udell, Peter S. Park and NickyP

Jul 24, 2022, 10:31 PM

30 points

2 comments7 min readLW link

One-day applied rationality workshop in Berlin Aug 29 (after LWCW)

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Jul 22, 2022, 7:58 AM

30 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] I’ve become a medical mystery and I don’t know how to effectively get help

CraigMichaelJul 9, 2022, 6:58 AM

30 points

53 comments2 min readLW link

Passing Up Pay

jefftkJul 13, 2022, 2:10 PM

29 points

8 comments5 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Alien Message Contest: Solution

DaemonicSigilJul 13, 2022, 4:07 AM

29 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

Straw-Steelmanning

Chris van MerwijkJul 13, 2022, 5:48 AM

29 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

AGI Safety Needs People With All Skillsets!

Severin T. SeehrichJul 25, 2022, 1:32 PM

28 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Nature abhors an immutable replicator… usually

MSRayneJul 3, 2022, 3:08 PM

28 points

10 comments3 min readLW link

Spending Update 2022

jefftkJul 19, 2022, 2:10 PM

28 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Training goals for large language models

Johannes TreutleinJul 18, 2022, 7:09 AM

28 points

5 comments19 min readLW link

Humans Reflecting on HRH

leogaoJul 29, 2022, 9:56 PM

27 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Which AI Safety research agendas are the most promising?

Chris_LeongJul 13, 2022, 7:54 AM

27 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Translating between Latent Spaces

JamesH, Jeremy Gillen and NickyP

Jul 30, 2022, 3:25 AM

27 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

Is General Intelligence “Compact”?

DragonGodJul 4, 2022, 1:27 PM

27 points

6 comments22 min readLW link

Covid 7/21/22: Featuring ASPR

ZviJul 21, 2022, 1:50 PM

27 points

0 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Reframing the AI Risk

Thane RuthenisJul 1, 2022, 6:44 PM

26 points

7 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] What are the simplest questions in applied rationality where you don’t know the answer to?

ChristianKl20 Jul 2022 9:53 UTC

26 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Rainmaking

WalterL12 Jul 2022 0:42 UTC

26 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(www.youtube.com)

The Tree of Life: Stanford AI Alignment Theory of Change

Gabe M2 Jul 2022 18:36 UTC

25 points

0 comments14 min readLW link

Launching a new progress institute, seeking a CEO

jasoncrawford18 Jul 2022 16:58 UTC

25 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)