RSS

In­fra-Bayesianism

TagLast edit: 24 Mar 2022 4:48 UTC by Yoav Ravid

Infra-Bayesianism is a new approach to epistemology /​ decision theory /​ reinforcement learning theory, which builds on “imprecise probability” to solve the problem of prior misspecification /​ grain-of-truth /​ nonrealizability which plagues Bayesianism and Bayesian reinforcement learning.

Infra-Bayesianism also naturally leads to an implementation of UDT, and (more speculatively at this stage) has applications to multi-agent theory, embedded agency and reflection.

See the Infra-Bayesianism Sequence.

In­tro­duc­tion To The In­fra-Bayesi­anism Sequence

26 Aug 2020 20:31 UTC
109 points
62 comments14 min readLW link2 reviews

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: a for­mal the­ory of nat­u­ral­ized induction

Vanessa Kosoy30 Nov 2021 22:25 UTC
108 points
23 comments41 min readLW link1 review

Pro­ject pro­posal: Test­ing the IBP defi­ni­tion of agent

9 Aug 2022 1:09 UTC
21 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

PreDCA: vanessa kosoy’s al­ign­ment protocol

Tamsin Leake20 Aug 2022 10:03 UTC
50 points
8 comments7 min readLW link
(carado.moe)

AXRP Epi­sode 5 - In­fra-Bayesi­anism with Vanessa Kosoy

DanielFilan10 Mar 2021 4:30 UTC
35 points
12 comments36 min readLW link

[Closed] Job Offer­ing: Help Com­mu­ni­cate Infrabayesianism

23 Mar 2022 18:35 UTC
129 points
22 comments1 min readLW link

Ba­sic In­framea­sure Theory

Diffractor27 Aug 2020 8:02 UTC
36 points
19 comments25 min readLW link

Belief Func­tions And De­ci­sion Theory

Diffractor27 Aug 2020 8:00 UTC
20 points
7 comments39 min readLW link

A very non-tech­ni­cal ex­pla­na­tion of the ba­sics of in­fra-Bayesianism

matolcsid26 Apr 2023 22:57 UTC
62 points
9 comments9 min readLW link

Un­der­stand­ing In­fra-Bayesi­anism: A Begin­ner-Friendly Video Series

22 Sep 2022 13:25 UTC
140 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

In­framea­sures and Do­main Theory

Diffractor28 Mar 2021 9:19 UTC
28 points
3 comments33 min readLW link

In­fra-Ex­er­cises, Part 1

1 Sep 2022 5:06 UTC
56 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Davi­dad’s Bold Plan for Align­ment: An In-Depth Explanation

19 Apr 2023 16:09 UTC
157 points
33 comments21 min readLW link

A mostly crit­i­cal re­view of in­fra-Bayesianism

matolcsid28 Feb 2023 18:37 UTC
104 points
9 comments29 min readLW link

Fixed points in mor­tal pop­u­la­tion games

ViktoriaMalyasova14 Mar 2023 7:10 UTC
31 points
0 comments12 min readLW link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Uncer­tainty in all its flavours

Cleo Nardo9 Jan 2024 16:21 UTC
27 points
6 comments35 min readLW link

The Learn­ing-The­o­retic Agenda: Sta­tus 2023

Vanessa Kosoy19 Apr 2023 5:21 UTC
135 points
13 comments55 min readLW link

Lin­ear in­fra-Bayesian Bandits

Vanessa Kosoy10 May 2024 6:41 UTC
38 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

$500 Bounty/​Con­test: Ex­plain In­fra-Bayes In The Lan­guage Of Game Theory

johnswentworth25 Mar 2023 17:29 UTC
83 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

In­frafunc­tions and Ro­bust Optimization

Diffractor27 Apr 2023 19:25 UTC
61 points
11 comments15 min readLW link

Re­sult Of The Bounty/​Con­test To Ex­plain In­fra-Bayes In The Lan­guage Of Game Theory

johnswentworth9 May 2023 16:35 UTC
79 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is In­fra-Bayesi­anism Ap­pli­ca­ble to Value Learn­ing?

RogerDearnaley11 May 2023 8:17 UTC
5 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 1.1 (Ini­tial re­sults to LF-du­al­ity)

Diffractor27 Aug 2020 7:59 UTC
8 points
0 comments20 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 1.2 (Mix­tures, Up­dates, Push­for­wards)

Diffractor27 Aug 2020 7:57 UTC
8 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.1 (The­o­rem 1, Lem­mas)

Diffractor27 Aug 2020 7:54 UTC
8 points
0 comments36 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.2 (Iso­mor­phism to Ex­pec­ta­tions)

Diffractor27 Aug 2020 7:52 UTC
8 points
0 comments46 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.3 (Up­dates, De­ci­sion The­ory)

Diffractor27 Aug 2020 7:49 UTC
8 points
0 comments31 min readLW link

Less Ba­sic In­framea­sure Theory

Diffractor16 Dec 2020 3:52 UTC
22 points
1 comment61 min readLW link

The Many Faces of In­fra-Beliefs

Diffractor6 Apr 2021 10:43 UTC
30 points
6 comments63 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesi­anism Unwrapped

adamShimi20 Jan 2021 13:35 UTC
54 points
0 comments24 min readLW link

My take on Vanessa Kosoy’s take on AGI safety

Steven Byrnes30 Sep 2021 12:23 UTC
97 points
10 comments31 min readLW link

AXRP Epi­sode 14 - In­fra-Bayesian Phys­i­cal­ism with Vanessa Kosoy

DanielFilan5 Apr 2022 23:10 UTC
25 points
10 comments52 min readLW link

Un­der­stand­ing the Merg­ing of Opinions with In­creas­ing In­for­ma­tion theorem

ViktoriaMalyasova21 Apr 2022 14:13 UTC
16 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

In­fra-Miscellanea

Diffractor22 Apr 2022 2:09 UTC
17 points
0 comments21 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesi­anism Distil­la­tion: Real­iz­abil­ity and De­ci­sion Theory

Thomas Larsen26 May 2022 21:57 UTC
40 points
9 comments18 min readLW link

Causal ab­strac­tions vs infradistributions

Pablo Villalobos26 Dec 2022 0:21 UTC
21 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Non-Uni­tary Quan­tum Logic—SERI MATS Re­search Sprint

Yegreg16 Feb 2023 19:31 UTC
27 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Com­po­si­tional lan­guage for hy­pothe­ses about computations

Vanessa Kosoy11 Mar 2023 19:43 UTC
37 points
2 comments11 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: proofs part II

Vanessa Kosoy30 Nov 2021 22:27 UTC
9 points
0 comments25 min readLW link

Com­men­su­rable Scien­tific Paradigms; or, com­putable induction

samshap13 Apr 2022 0:01 UTC
14 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Vanessa Kosoy’s PreDCA, distilled

Martín Soto12 Nov 2022 11:38 UTC
17 points
19 comments5 min readLW link

Perfor­mance guaran­tees in clas­si­cal learn­ing the­ory and in­fra-Bayesianism

matolcsid28 Feb 2023 18:37 UTC
9 points
4 comments31 min readLW link

Un­tan­gling In­frabayesi­anism: A re­dis­til­la­tion [PDF link; ~12k words + lots of math]

Lorxus1 Aug 2023 12:42 UTC
29 points
16 comments2 min readLW link
(docdro.id)

Fore­act­ing agents

B Jacobs8 Dec 2023 19:57 UTC
4 points
0 comments13 min readLW link

My sub­mis­sion to the ALTER Prize

Lorxus30 Sep 2023 16:07 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.docdroid.net)

An Ele­men­tary In­tro­duc­tion to In­fra-Bayesianism

CharlesRW20 Sep 2023 14:29 UTC
16 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian Logic

5 Jul 2023 19:16 UTC
15 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Ele­men­tary In­fra-Bayesianism

Jan8 May 2022 12:23 UTC
41 points
3 comments7 min readLW link
(universalprior.substack.com)

Re­quire­ments for a STEM-ca­pa­ble AGI Value Learner (my Case for Less Doom)

RogerDearnaley25 May 2023 9:26 UTC
32 points
3 comments15 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ism be­fore the Sequences

Eric Raymond30 Mar 2021 14:04 UTC
582 points
81 comments11 min readLW link2 reviews

In­fra-Bayesian haggling

hannagabor20 May 2024 12:23 UTC
18 points
0 comments20 min readLW link

In­ter­pret­ing Quan­tum Me­chan­ics in In­fra-Bayesian Physicalism

Yegreg12 Feb 2024 18:56 UTC
30 points
6 comments32 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesi­anism nat­u­rally leads to the mono­ton­ic­ity prin­ci­ple, and I think this is a problem

matolcsid26 Apr 2023 21:39 UTC
17 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: proofs part I

Vanessa Kosoy30 Nov 2021 22:26 UTC
9 points
0 comments21 min readLW link
No comments.