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Epistemology

TagLast edit: 11 Oct 2022 9:31 UTC by Nathan Young

Epistemology is the study of how we know the world. It’s both a topic in philosophy and a practical concern for how we come to believe things are true.

Related Sequences: Highly Advanced Epistemology 101 for Beginners, Concepts in formal epistemology, Novum Organum

Projects to help people improve their epistemics and individuals to contact:

Potential projects:

Note:

The Prob­lem of the Criterion

Gordon Seidoh Worley21 Jan 2021 15:05 UTC
59 points
63 comments10 min readLW link

Lo­cal Val­idity as a Key to San­ity and Civilization

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Apr 2018 4:25 UTC
195 points
67 comments13 min readLW link5 reviews

On Solv­ing Prob­lems Be­fore They Ap­pear: The Weird Episte­molo­gies of Alignment

adamShimi11 Oct 2021 8:20 UTC
107 points
10 comments15 min readLW link

Why the Prob­lem of the Cri­te­rion Matters

Gordon Seidoh Worley30 Oct 2021 20:44 UTC
24 points
9 comments8 min readLW link

Episte­molog­i­cal Fram­ing for AI Align­ment Research

adamShimi8 Mar 2021 22:05 UTC
55 points
7 comments9 min readLW link

Mak­ing Beliefs Pay Rent (in An­ti­ci­pated Ex­pe­riences)

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Jul 2007 22:59 UTC
446 points
266 comments4 min readLW link

The Lens That Sees Its Flaws

Eliezer Yudkowsky23 Sep 2007 0:10 UTC
302 points
42 comments3 min readLW link

The Map-Ter­ri­tory Distinc­tion Creates Confusion

Gordon Seidoh Worley4 Jan 2022 15:49 UTC
25 points
50 comments4 min readLW link

Physics is Ul­ti­mately Subjective

Gordon Seidoh Worley14 Jul 2023 22:19 UTC
5 points
34 comments3 min readLW link

Rad­i­cal Probabilism

abramdemski18 Aug 2020 21:14 UTC
176 points
47 comments35 min readLW link1 review

By Which It May Be Judged

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Dec 2012 4:26 UTC
88 points
941 comments11 min readLW link

In­cor­rect hy­pothe­ses point to cor­rect observations

Kaj_Sotala20 Nov 2018 21:10 UTC
164 points
38 comments4 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Epistemic Legibility

Elizabeth9 Feb 2022 18:10 UTC
305 points
30 comments20 min readLW link1 review
(acesounderglass.com)

On the na­ture of pur­pose

Nora_Ammann22 Jan 2021 8:30 UTC
29 points
15 comments9 min readLW link

Three enig­mas at the heart of our reasoning

Alex Flint21 Sep 2021 16:52 UTC
56 points
66 comments9 min readLW link1 review

Rule Thinkers In, Not Out

Scott Alexander27 Feb 2019 2:40 UTC
225 points
67 comments4 min readLW link4 reviews
(slatestarcodex.com)

Epistemic Strate­gies of Selec­tion Theorems

adamShimi18 Oct 2021 8:57 UTC
33 points
1 comment12 min readLW link

Why You Should Never Up­date Your Beliefs

Arjun Panickssery29 Jul 2023 0:27 UTC
69 points
17 comments4 min readLW link
(arjunpanickssery.substack.com)

The space of sys­tems and the space of maps

22 Mar 2023 14:59 UTC
39 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

How to Con­vince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Sep 2007 23:00 UTC
147 points
409 comments3 min readLW link

Ex­cus­ing a Failure to Adjust

Ronny Fernandez26 Aug 2020 13:51 UTC
12 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

How much do you be­lieve your re­sults?

Eric Neyman6 May 2023 20:31 UTC
463 points
14 comments15 min readLW link
(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Re­la­bel­ings vs. Ex­ter­nal References

Chris_Leong20 Sep 2019 2:20 UTC
12 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

In defence of epistemic modesty

Thrasymachus29 Oct 2017 20:00 UTC
31 points
20 comments36 min readLW link

Look­ing Deeper at Deconfusion

adamShimi13 Jun 2021 21:29 UTC
61 points
13 comments15 min readLW link

Anti-episte­mol­ogy: an explanation

Basil Marte8 Jul 2020 16:34 UTC
3 points
12 comments3 min readLW link

Zen and Ra­tion­al­ity: Trust in Mind

Gordon Seidoh Worley11 Aug 2020 20:23 UTC
25 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Some Claims Are Just Too Extraordinary

Eliezer Yudkowsky20 Jan 2007 7:14 UTC
36 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Crypt­anal­y­sis as Episte­mol­ogy? (pag­ing cryp­ton­erds)

SilasBarta6 Apr 2011 19:06 UTC
17 points
42 comments1 min readLW link

David Wolpert on Knowledge

Alex Flint21 Sep 2021 1:54 UTC
33 points
3 comments13 min readLW link

In­tel­li­gence, epistemics, and san­ity, in three short parts

ozziegooen15 Oct 2021 4:01 UTC
14 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Seek­ing a “Seek­ing Whence ‘Seek Whence’” Sequence

Will_Newsome25 Jun 2012 11:10 UTC
39 points
33 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Worst Com­mon­sense Con­cepts?

abramdemski15 Nov 2021 18:22 UTC
73 points
34 comments3 min readLW link

Seek­ing Truth Too Hard Can Keep You from Winning

Gordon Seidoh Worley30 Nov 2021 2:16 UTC
27 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

The Prob­lem of the Cri­te­rion is NOT an Open Problem

Gordon Seidoh Worley6 Jan 2022 16:31 UTC
9 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Some limi­ta­tions of re­duc­tion­ism about epistemology

Richard_Ngo14 Feb 2022 8:50 UTC
18 points
7 comments4 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

An anal­ogy as the mid­wife of thermodynamics

adamShimi16 Feb 2022 21:34 UTC
30 points
10 comments7 min readLW link

What The Foucault

adamShimi19 Feb 2022 22:48 UTC
39 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

The Art and Science of In­tu­ition Pumping

adamShimi22 Feb 2022 0:18 UTC
26 points
3 comments9 min readLW link

But­terfly Ideas

Elizabeth22 Feb 2022 7:40 UTC
174 points
10 comments3 min readLW link2 reviews
(acesounderglass.com)

Cryptoepistemology

davidad24 Feb 2022 20:34 UTC
30 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Wittgen­stein and ML — pa­ram­e­ters vs architecture

Cleo Nardo24 Mar 2023 4:54 UTC
37 points
8 comments5 min readLW link

Shot­gun Book Re­views: Against Method, The Knowl­edge Ma­chine and Un­der­stand­ing Nature

adamShimi14 Mar 2022 8:13 UTC
28 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

Re­plac­ing Nat­u­ral Interpretations

adamShimi16 Mar 2022 13:05 UTC
16 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

The Treach­er­ous Path to Rationality

Jacob Falkovich9 Oct 2020 15:34 UTC
205 points
115 comments11 min readLW link1 review

Clear­erThink­ing’s Fact-Check­ing 2.0

Stefan_Schubert22 Oct 2015 21:16 UTC
35 points
40 comments4 min readLW link

Epistemic Slipperiness

Raemon11 Apr 2022 1:48 UTC
55 points
18 comments7 min readLW link

Mul­ti­ple Fac­tor Ex­pla­na­tions Should Not Ap­pear One-Sided

Stefan_Schubert7 Aug 2014 14:10 UTC
55 points
32 comments6 min readLW link

Fun­da­men­tal Uncer­tainty: Chap­ter 1 - How can we know what’s true?

Gordon Seidoh Worley13 Aug 2023 18:55 UTC
17 points
4 comments12 min readLW link

Com­mu­ni­cat­ing effec­tively un­der Knigh­tian norms

Richard_Ngo3 Apr 2023 22:39 UTC
88 points
54 comments6 min readLW link

I only be­lieve in the paranormal

Malmesbury24 May 2022 12:15 UTC
94 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Public be­liefs vs. Pri­vate beliefs

Eli Tyre1 Jun 2022 21:33 UTC
143 points
30 comments5 min readLW link

[Linkpost] Silver Bul­letin: For most peo­ple, poli­tics is about fit­ting in

Gunnar_Zarncke1 May 2024 18:12 UTC
18 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(www.natesilver.net)

Episte­molog­i­cal Vigilance for Alignment

adamShimi6 Jun 2022 0:27 UTC
65 points
11 comments10 min readLW link

Limits to Legibility

Jan_Kulveit29 Jun 2022 17:42 UTC
138 points
11 comments5 min readLW link1 review

What does it mean to “trust sci­ence”?

jasoncrawford16 Aug 2023 14:56 UTC
34 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Fun­da­men­tal Uncer­tainty: Chap­ter 7 - Why is truth use­ful?

Gordon Seidoh Worley30 Apr 2023 16:48 UTC
10 points
3 comments10 min readLW link

Levels of Pluralism

adamShimi27 Jul 2022 9:35 UTC
34 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

Re­v­ersed Stu­pidity Is Not Intelligence

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Dec 2007 22:14 UTC
175 points
120 comments3 min readLW link

Shapes of Mind and Plu­ral­ism in Alignment

adamShimi13 Aug 2022 10:01 UTC
33 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Us­ing Points to Rate Differ­ent Kinds of Evidence

ozziegooen25 Aug 2023 20:11 UTC
18 points
3 comments6 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

No One-Size-Fit-All Epistemic Strategy

adamShimi20 Aug 2022 12:56 UTC
24 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

The Ev­i­dence for Ques­tion De­com­po­si­tion is Weak

niplav28 Aug 2023 15:46 UTC
22 points
6 comments5 min readLW link

Method­olog­i­cal Ther­apy: An Agenda For Tack­ling Re­search Bottlenecks

22 Sep 2022 18:41 UTC
54 points
6 comments9 min readLW link

Some ra­tio­nal­ity tweets

Peter_de_Blanc30 Dec 2010 7:14 UTC
63 points
80 comments2 min readLW link

Brute Force Man­u­fac­tured Con­sen­sus is Hid­ing the Crime of the Century

Roko3 Feb 2024 20:36 UTC
217 points
156 comments9 min readLW link

Cri­sis of Faith case study: be­yond re­duc­tion­ism?

MalcolmOcean8 Jun 2023 6:11 UTC
6 points
9 comments19 min readLW link

The Liv­ing Planet In­dex: A Case Study in Statis­ti­cal Pitfalls

Jan_Kulveit24 Jun 2024 10:05 UTC
23 points
0 comments4 min readLW link
(www.nature.com)

Science and Math

lsusr27 Nov 2022 4:05 UTC
19 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Con­fus­ing the goal and the path

adamShimi12 Dec 2022 16:42 UTC
44 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Psy­cholog­i­cal Di­sor­ders and Problems

12 Dec 2022 18:15 UTC
39 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Proof as mere strong evidence

adamShimi14 Dec 2022 8:56 UTC
28 points
16 comments2 min readLW link
(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Uncer­tainty in all its flavours

Cleo Nardo9 Jan 2024 16:21 UTC
27 points
6 comments35 min readLW link

Many Weak Ar­gu­ments vs. One Rel­a­tively Strong Argument

JonahS4 Jun 2013 3:32 UTC
35 points
87 comments11 min readLW link

No Cau­sa­tion with­out Reification

Gordon Seidoh Worley23 Oct 2020 20:28 UTC
21 points
38 comments3 min readLW link

Con­tra Com­mon Knowledge

abramdemski4 Jan 2023 22:50 UTC
51 points
31 comments16 min readLW link

“On Bul­lshit” and “On Truth,” by Harry Frankfurt

Callmesalticidae28 Aug 2020 0:44 UTC
20 points
3 comments6 min readLW link

Noth­ing New: Pro­duc­tive Reframing

adamShimi7 Jan 2023 18:43 UTC
44 points
7 comments3 min readLW link
(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Reifi­ca­tion bias

9 Jan 2023 12:22 UTC
25 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

The spe­cial na­ture of spe­cial relativity

adamShimi9 Jan 2023 17:30 UTC
37 points
1 comment3 min readLW link
(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Con­fus­ing the ideal for the necessary

adamShimi16 Jan 2023 17:29 UTC
79 points
6 comments1 min readLW link
(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Group-level Con­se­quences of Psy­cholog­i­cal Problems

19 Jan 2023 9:27 UTC
28 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Lost in In­no­va­tion: The Case of Phlogiston

adamShimi20 Jan 2023 12:19 UTC
16 points
5 comments4 min readLW link
(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Round­ing Some­one Off

David Udell24 Jan 2023 0:03 UTC
25 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

False Majorities

JamesAndrix3 Feb 2010 18:43 UTC
42 points
39 comments1 min readLW link

Good Bings copy, great Bings steal

dr_s21 Apr 2024 9:52 UTC
31 points
6 comments9 min readLW link

Bad busi­ness advice

Logan Kieller14 Feb 2024 17:01 UTC
12 points
2 comments3 min readLW link
(logankieller.substack.com)

The Law of Identity

Chris_Leong6 Feb 2023 2:59 UTC
5 points
5 comments4 min readLW link

What we Know vs. How we Know it?

Elizabeth6 Jan 2020 0:30 UTC
45 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

Time­less Modesty?

abramdemski24 Nov 2017 11:12 UTC
17 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

On In­ves­ti­gat­ing Con­spir­acy Theories

Zvi20 Feb 2023 12:50 UTC
115 points
38 comments5 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Si­mul­ta­neous Over­con­fi­dence and Underconfidence

abramdemski3 Jun 2015 21:04 UTC
37 points
6 comments5 min readLW link

Fun­da­men­tal Uncer­tainty: Chap­ter 5 - How do we know what we know?

Gordon Seidoh Worley28 Dec 2022 1:28 UTC
10 points
2 comments12 min readLW link

Fun­da­men­tal Uncer­tainty: Chap­ter 6 - How can we be cer­tain about the truth?

Gordon Seidoh Worley6 Mar 2023 13:52 UTC
10 points
18 comments16 min readLW link

A List of Nuances

abramdemski10 Nov 2014 5:02 UTC
67 points
24 comments10 min readLW link

‘Em­piri­cism!’ as Anti-Epistemology

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Mar 2024 2:02 UTC
166 points
85 comments25 min readLW link

What prob­lems do Afri­can-Amer­i­cans face? An ini­tial in­ves­ti­ga­tion us­ing Stand­point Episte­mol­ogy and Surveys

tailcalled12 Mar 2023 11:42 UTC
41 points
26 comments15 min readLW link

Referenc­ing the Unreferencable

Chris_Leong4 Apr 2020 10:42 UTC
16 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

The epistemic virtue of scope matching

jasoncrawford15 Mar 2023 13:31 UTC
85 points
15 comments5 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Bayesian Injustice

Kevin Dorst14 Dec 2023 15:44 UTC
124 points
10 comments6 min readLW link
(kevindorst.substack.com)

As­sign­ing Praise and Blame: De­cou­pling Episte­mol­ogy and De­ci­sion Theory

27 Jan 2023 18:16 UTC
59 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

Mixed Refer­ence: The Great Re­duc­tion­ist Project

Eliezer Yudkowsky5 Dec 2012 0:26 UTC
61 points
358 comments9 min readLW link

A Prag­matic Epistemology

StephenR5 Aug 2014 5:43 UTC
2 points
21 comments6 min readLW link

Trust the (lo­cal) expert

rk9 Apr 2018 10:22 UTC
14 points
12 comments7 min readLW link

Toward a New Tech­ni­cal Ex­pla­na­tion of Tech­ni­cal Explanation

abramdemski16 Feb 2018 0:44 UTC
85 points
36 comments18 min readLW link1 review

Episte­mol­ogy of HCH

adamShimi9 Feb 2021 11:46 UTC
17 points
2 comments10 min readLW link

The Prob­le­matic Third Per­son Perspective

abramdemski5 Oct 2017 20:44 UTC
28 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Rad­i­cal Prob­a­bil­ism [Tran­script]

26 Jun 2020 22:14 UTC
48 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

Be­com­ing Unusu­ally Truth-Oriented

abramdemski3 Jan 2020 1:27 UTC
89 points
20 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] What am I miss­ing? (quan­tum physics)

kithpendragon21 Aug 2020 12:39 UTC
10 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Do Suffi­ciently Ad­vanced Agents Use Logic?

abramdemski13 Sep 2019 19:53 UTC
47 points
10 comments9 min readLW link

Fun­da­men­tal Uncer­tainty: Chap­ter 8 - When does fun­da­men­tal un­cer­tainty mat­ter?

Gordon Seidoh Worley26 Apr 2024 18:10 UTC
11 points
2 comments32 min readLW link

What I’d change about differ­ent philos­o­phy fields

Rob Bensinger8 Mar 2021 18:25 UTC
57 points
52 comments4 min readLW link

AXRP Epi­sode 5 - In­fra-Bayesi­anism with Vanessa Kosoy

DanielFilan10 Mar 2021 4:30 UTC
35 points
12 comments36 min readLW link

Ex­tended Pic­ture The­ory or Models in­side Models in­side Models

Chris_Leong10 Mar 2021 13:24 UTC
13 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

The Sense-Mak­ing Web

Chris_Leong4 Jan 2021 6:17 UTC
41 points
21 comments6 min readLW link

Magic Shoes

onur24 Mar 2021 21:14 UTC
11 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Doxa, Episteme, and Gno­sis Revisited

Gordon Seidoh Worley20 Nov 2019 19:35 UTC
19 points
2 comments9 min readLW link

Reflec­tive Bayesianism

abramdemski6 Apr 2021 19:48 UTC
59 points
27 comments13 min readLW link

What can we learn from Bayes about rea­son­ing?

jasoncrawford5 May 2023 15:52 UTC
21 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

ra­tio­nal­is­tic prob­a­bil­ity(lit­ter­ally just throw­ing shit out there)

NotaSprayer ASprayer4 Oct 2023 17:46 UTC
−30 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Epistemic Mo­tif of Ab­stract-Con­crete Cy­cles & Do­main Expansion

Dalcy10 Oct 2023 3:28 UTC
23 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

How to tell apart sci­ence from pseudo-sci­ence in a field you don’t know ?

kilobug2 Sep 2012 10:25 UTC
34 points
71 comments1 min readLW link

The Pre­dic­tion Hierarchy

RobinZ19 Jan 2010 3:36 UTC
28 points
38 comments3 min readLW link

Dutch Books and De­ci­sion The­ory: An In­tro­duc­tion to a Long Conversation

Jack21 Dec 2010 4:55 UTC
30 points
102 comments7 min readLW link

The First Sam­ple Gives the Most Information

Mark Xu24 Dec 2020 20:39 UTC
133 points
16 comments1 min readLW link1 review
(markxu.com)

Fit­ting­ness: Ra­tional suc­cess in con­cept formation

Polytopos10 Jan 2021 15:58 UTC
6 points
9 comments6 min readLW link

Fore­act­ing agents

B Jacobs8 Dec 2023 19:57 UTC
4 points
0 comments13 min readLW link

Bayesian in­fer­ence on 1st or­der logic

Daniel Abolafia3 Feb 2021 1:03 UTC
11 points
6 comments18 min readLW link

Ob­jec­tive truth?

pchvykov15 Feb 2021 21:47 UTC
1 point
0 comments2 min readLW link

He­lio­cen­trism in the an­cient era

ForensicOceanography16 Feb 2021 8:34 UTC
16 points
6 comments6 min readLW link
(forensicoceanography.wordpress.com)

How Strong is Our Con­nec­tion to Truth?

anorangicc17 Feb 2021 0:10 UTC
1 point
5 comments3 min readLW link

Are dogs bad?

qbolec11 Mar 2021 8:11 UTC
18 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

The se­cret of Wikipe­dia’s success

Aaron Bergman14 Apr 2021 22:18 UTC
68 points
11 comments6 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Re­search Mo­ti­va­tions and “The Divi­sion of Cog­ni­tive La­bor”

Aidan_Kierans16 May 2021 0:00 UTC
4 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

On “Epistemic Tres­pass­ing” and In­tel­lec­tual Modesty

Aidan_Kierans16 May 2021 0:40 UTC
9 points
7 comments9 min readLW link

Christen­son’s “Episte­mol­ogy of Disagree­ment: The Good News”

Aidan_Kierans16 May 2021 3:58 UTC
1 point
0 comments5 min readLW link

Good Macro, Bad Micro

Ilemauzar4 Jun 2021 4:30 UTC
14 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Paper Re­view: Math­e­mat­i­cal Truth

Alex Hollow30 May 2021 20:25 UTC
5 points
14 comments3 min readLW link
(alexhollow.wordpress.com)

Main­stream Episte­mol­ogy for LessWrong, Part 1: Feld­man on Evidentialism

ChrisHallquist16 Nov 2013 16:16 UTC
30 points
84 comments6 min readLW link

Neo-Mohism

Bae's Theorem16 Jun 2021 21:57 UTC
5 points
11 comments7 min readLW link

CGP Grey on the difficulty of know­ing what’s true [au­dio]

DanielFilan13 Jul 2021 20:40 UTC
23 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(www.relay.fm)

In Praise (and Defence) of The People

Olitness27 Jul 2021 7:13 UTC
−8 points
4 comments14 min readLW link
(olitness.wordpress.com)

More Use­ful Way of An­swer­ing “Mind vs. Body” Problem

Olitness27 Jul 2021 7:13 UTC
9 points
4 comments2 min readLW link
(olitness.wordpress.com)

Re­quest for com­ment on a novel refer­ence work of understanding

ender12 Aug 2021 0:06 UTC
3 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

Truth­ful AI: Devel­op­ing and gov­ern­ing AI that does not lie

18 Oct 2021 18:37 UTC
82 points
9 comments10 min readLW link

[Linkpost] Danger of mo­ti­va­tio­ge­n­e­sis in in­ter­dis­ci­plinary work

particlemania25 Nov 2021 0:13 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

COVID Skep­ti­cism Isn’t About Science

jaspax29 Dec 2021 17:53 UTC
127 points
76 comments7 min readLW link

Be­com­ing Stronger as Episte­mol­o­gist: Introduction

adamShimi15 Feb 2022 6:15 UTC
30 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

Effects are cor­re­lated, policy out­comes are not, and multi-fac­tor ex­pla­na­tions are hard

Thomas Kehrenberg9 Mar 2022 15:30 UTC
16 points
2 comments14 min readLW link
(tm.kehrenberg.net)

Magic, tricks, and high-di­men­sional con­figu­ra­tion spaces

pchvykov26 Mar 2022 19:14 UTC
8 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

The Ex­plana­tory Gap of AI

David Valdman7 Apr 2022 18:28 UTC
1 point
0 comments4 min readLW link

I Think There­fore Some­one Is Or Was?

UtilityMonster24 Apr 2022 17:09 UTC
2 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Maybe I 100% Know Some­thing. But I Prob­a­bly Won’t Be Able To 100% Ex­plain It

UtilityMonster1 May 2022 17:13 UTC
3 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

My Take On Philosophy

UtilityMonster22 May 2022 16:43 UTC
2 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

Cu­rat­ing “The Epistemic Se­quences” (list v.0.1)

Andrew_Critch23 Jul 2022 22:17 UTC
65 points
12 comments7 min readLW link

“What Mis­takes Are You Mak­ing Right Now?”

David Udell15 Aug 2022 21:19 UTC
13 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Align­ment’s phlo­gis­ton

Eleni Angelou18 Aug 2022 22:27 UTC
10 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Ideas of the Gaps

Q Home13 Sep 2022 10:55 UTC
4 points
3 comments12 min readLW link

There is no royal road to alignment

Eleni Angelou18 Sep 2022 3:33 UTC
4 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Truth-Seek­ing: Rea­son vs. Intuition

sakraf30 Sep 2022 12:12 UTC
4 points
7 comments4 min readLW link

con­fu­sion about al­ign­ment requirements

Tamsin Leake6 Oct 2022 10:32 UTC
39 points
10 comments3 min readLW link
(carado.moe)

Method of state­ments: an al­ter­na­tive to taboo

Q Home16 Nov 2022 10:57 UTC
7 points
0 comments41 min readLW link

Mo­ti­vated Cog­ni­tion and the Mul­ti­verse of Truth

Q Home22 Nov 2022 12:51 UTC
8 points
16 comments24 min readLW link

Trade­offs in com­plex­ity, ab­strac­tion, and generality

12 Dec 2022 15:55 UTC
32 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

I be­lieve some AI doomers are overconfident

FTPickle20 Dec 2022 17:09 UTC
8 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

Men­tal ac­cep­tance and reflection

22 Dec 2022 14:32 UTC
34 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Theod­icy and the simu­la­tion hy­poth­e­sis, or: The prob­lem of simu­la­tor evil

philosophybear26 Dec 2022 18:55 UTC
6 points
12 comments19 min readLW link
(philosophybear.substack.com)

Op­ti­miz­ing Hu­man Col­lec­tive In­tel­li­gence to Align AI

Shoshannah Tekofsky7 Jan 2023 1:21 UTC
12 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

Guessti­mate: Why and how to use it

24 Jan 2023 16:24 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Jor­dan Peter­son: Guru/​Villain

Bryan Frances3 Feb 2023 9:02 UTC
−14 points
6 comments9 min readLW link

A multi-dis­ci­plinary view on AI safety research

Roman Leventov8 Feb 2023 16:50 UTC
43 points
4 comments26 min readLW link

Medlife Cri­sis: “Why Do Peo­ple Keep Fal­ling For Things That Don’t Work?”

RomanHauksson21 Feb 2023 6:22 UTC
12 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

What kind of place is this?

Jim Pivarski25 Feb 2023 2:14 UTC
24 points
24 comments8 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ism and so­cial rationalism

philosophybear10 Mar 2023 23:20 UTC
17 points
5 comments10 min readLW link
(philosophybear.substack.com)

Three lev­els of ex­plo­ra­tion and intelligence

Q Home16 Mar 2023 10:55 UTC
9 points
3 comments21 min readLW link

[Question] What are some ideas that LessWrong has rein­vented?

RomanHauksson14 Mar 2023 22:27 UTC
4 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Against Deep Ideas

YafahEdelman19 Mar 2023 3:04 UTC
53 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

Distributed Strate­gic Epistemology

StrivingForLegibility28 Dec 2023 22:12 UTC
11 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

An On­tol­ogy for Strate­gic Epistemology

StrivingForLegibility28 Dec 2023 22:11 UTC
9 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Build­ing Trust in Strate­gic Settings

StrivingForLegibility28 Dec 2023 22:12 UTC
24 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Epistemic Hell

rogersbacon27 Jan 2024 17:13 UTC
70 points
20 comments14 min readLW link

Clar­ify­ing the free en­ergy prin­ci­ple (with quotes)

Ryo 29 Oct 2023 16:03 UTC
8 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

Click­bait Soapboxing

DaystarEld13 Mar 2024 14:09 UTC
24 points
15 comments3 min readLW link
(daystareld.com)

What’s hap­pen­ing be­hind the scenes with my HowTruth­ful project

Bruce Lewis15 Feb 2024 18:27 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Carlo: un­cer­tainty anal­y­sis in Google Sheets

ProbabilityEnjoyer19 Mar 2024 17:59 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(carlo.app)

[Linkpost] Leif We­nar’s The Deaths of Effec­tive Altruism

Arden27 Mar 2024 19:17 UTC
8 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.wired.com)

Idea black holes

Logan Kieller28 Mar 2024 15:17 UTC
0 points
1 comment11 min readLW link
(logankieller.substack.com)

My PhD the­sis: Al­gorith­mic Bayesian Epistemology

Eric Neyman16 Mar 2024 22:56 UTC
252 points
14 comments7 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

Effec­tively Han­dling Disagree­ments—In­tro­duc­ing a New Workshop

Camille Berger 15 Apr 2024 16:33 UTC
33 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Out-of-body rea­son­ing (OOBR)

Jon Zero9 Jan 2021 16:10 UTC
5 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Quan­tum Web Hy­poth­e­sis (QWH): Ex­plor­ing the In­ter­sec­tion of Hu­man-AI Col­lab­o­ra­tion and Spec­u­la­tive Physics

SystematicApproach9 Jul 2024 12:11 UTC
1 point
0 comments9 min readLW link

Real­ity Testing

Ben Turtel13 Jul 2024 15:20 UTC
−3 points
1 comment6 min readLW link
(bturtel.substack.com)

Ca­pa­bil­ities De­nial: The Danger of Un­der­es­ti­mat­ing AI

Christopher King21 Mar 2023 1:24 UTC
6 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

Goal al­ign­ment with­out al­ign­ment on episte­mol­ogy, ethics, and sci­ence is futile

Roman Leventov7 Apr 2023 8:22 UTC
20 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Is it cor­rect to frame al­ign­ment as “pro­gram­ming a good philos­o­phy of mean­ing”?

Util7 Apr 2023 23:16 UTC
2 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

How Large Lan­guage Models Nuke our Naive No­tions of Truth and Reality

Sean Lee17 Apr 2023 18:08 UTC
0 points
23 comments11 min readLW link

On ur­gency, pri­or­ity and col­lec­tive re­ac­tion to AI-Risks: Part I

Denreik16 Apr 2023 19:14 UTC
−10 points
15 comments5 min readLW link

An open let­ter to SERI MATS pro­gram organisers

Roman Leventov20 Apr 2023 16:34 UTC
25 points
26 comments4 min readLW link

z is not the cause of x

hrbigelow23 Oct 2023 17:43 UTC
6 points
2 comments9 min readLW link

Doubt Certainty

RationalDino2 Nov 2023 17:43 UTC
4 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Good busi­nesses cre­ate epistemic monopolies

Logan Kieller15 Nov 2023 14:04 UTC
−2 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(logankieller.substack.com)

The im­pos­si­bil­ity of ra­tio­nally an­a­lyz­ing par­ti­san news

RationalDino16 Nov 2023 16:19 UTC
4 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Ac­cu­racy of ar­gu­ments that are seen as ridicu­lous and in­tu­itively false but don’t have good counter-arguments

Christopher King29 Apr 2023 23:58 UTC
30 points
39 comments1 min readLW link

Math­e­mat­ics as a lossy com­pres­sion al­gorithm gone wild

shminux6 Jun 2014 23:53 UTC
53 points
82 comments5 min readLW link

Chains, Bot­tle­necks and Optimization

curi21 Jul 2020 2:07 UTC
14 points
12 comments4 min readLW link

Bot­tle­neck Examples

curi23 Jul 2020 18:23 UTC
11 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Godel in sec­ond-or­der logic?

Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir26 Jul 2020 7:16 UTC
6 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Undis­crim­i­nat­ing Skepticism

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Mar 2010 23:23 UTC
136 points
1,361 comments9 min readLW link

“No ev­i­dence” as a Valley of Bad Rationality

Adam Zerner28 Mar 2020 23:45 UTC
106 points
21 comments2 min readLW link1 review

Ar­gu­ment, in­tu­ition, and recursion

paulfchristiano5 Mar 2018 1:37 UTC
44 points
13 comments9 min readLW link1 review

Weird ques­tion: could we see dis­tant aliens?

paulfchristiano20 Apr 2018 6:40 UTC
31 points
78 comments3 min readLW link

What is Ev­i­dence?

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Sep 2007 6:43 UTC
161 points
60 comments3 min readLW link

Against Modest Epistemology

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Nov 2017 20:40 UTC
70 points
48 comments15 min readLW link

Epistemic Luck

Alicorn8 Feb 2010 0:02 UTC
107 points
133 comments3 min readLW link

The Im­por­tance of Say­ing “Oops”

Eliezer Yudkowsky5 Aug 2007 3:17 UTC
229 points
34 comments2 min readLW link

The Skep­tic’s Trilemma

Scott Alexander15 Mar 2009 0:12 UTC
84 points
15 comments5 min readLW link

Epistemic Viciousness

Eliezer Yudkowsky13 Mar 2009 23:33 UTC
105 points
93 comments3 min readLW link

Where Re­cur­sive Jus­tifi­ca­tion Hits Bottom

Eliezer Yudkowsky8 Jul 2008 10:16 UTC
122 points
81 comments10 min readLW link

In­finite Certainty

Eliezer Yudkowsky9 Jan 2008 6:49 UTC
80 points
129 comments4 min readLW link

How Much Ev­i­dence Does It Take?

Eliezer Yudkowsky24 Sep 2007 4:06 UTC
132 points
33 comments4 min readLW link

The Fun­da­men­tal Ques­tion—Ra­tion­al­ity com­puter game design

Kaj_Sotala13 Feb 2013 13:45 UTC
61 points
68 comments9 min readLW link

The Pyra­mid And The Garden

Scott Alexander5 Nov 2016 6:03 UTC
51 points
12 comments7 min readLW link

In defence of epistemic mod­esty [dis­til­la­tion]

Luise10 May 2023 9:44 UTC
17 points
2 comments9 min readLW link

Novum Or­ganum: Preface

Francis Bacon19 Sep 2019 22:51 UTC
54 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

The Prin­ci­ple of Pre­dicted Improvement

Ronny Fernandez23 Apr 2019 21:21 UTC
70 points
17 comments3 min readLW link

Form Your Own Opinions

Ben Pace28 Apr 2018 19:50 UTC
34 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

[Question] Have epistemic con­di­tions always been this bad?

Wei Dai25 Jan 2020 4:42 UTC
212 points
106 comments4 min readLW link1 review

A Sketch of An­swers for Physicalists

Chris_Leong14 Mar 2020 2:27 UTC
23 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

Ar­gu­ment Screens Off Authority

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Dec 2007 0:05 UTC
117 points
85 comments5 min readLW link

The ab­sur­dity of un-refer­ence­able entities

jessicata14 Mar 2020 17:40 UTC
22 points
21 comments4 min readLW link
(unstableontology.com)

An Overview of For­mal Episte­mol­ogy (links)

lukeprog6 Jan 2011 19:57 UTC
63 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Robin Han­son on Sim­ple, Ev­i­dence Backed Models

Raemon16 Apr 2019 22:22 UTC
36 points
11 comments1 min readLW link
(www.overcomingbias.com)

The Tragedy of the So­cial Episte­mol­ogy Commons

Roko21 May 2010 12:42 UTC
62 points
91 comments4 min readLW link

Fun­da­men­tal Doubts

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Jul 2008 5:21 UTC
36 points
87 comments4 min readLW link

But Some­body Would Have Noticed

Alicorn4 May 2010 18:56 UTC
38 points
258 comments4 min readLW link

This Ter­ri­tory Does Not Exist

ike13 Aug 2020 0:30 UTC
7 points
197 comments7 min readLW link

Many-wor­lds ver­sus dis­crete knowledge

jessicata13 Aug 2020 18:35 UTC
20 points
27 comments1 min readLW link
(unstableontology.com)

Bayesian Flame

cousin_it26 Jul 2009 16:49 UTC
41 points
163 comments4 min readLW link

Com­mon sense as a prior

Nick_Beckstead11 Aug 2013 18:18 UTC
56 points
215 comments27 min readLW link

You only need faith in two things

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Mar 2013 23:45 UTC
46 points
86 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­pert trap: What is it? (Part 1 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Paweł Sysiak9 Jun 2023 23:00 UTC
6 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

Ex­pert trap: Why is it hap­pen­ing? (Part 2 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Paweł Sysiak9 Jun 2023 23:00 UTC
3 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

cloud seed­ing doesn’t work

bhauth10 Jun 2023 5:14 UTC
7 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

The Im­por­tance of Judg­ing: A Reflec­tion on Ra­tional Thought

CrimsonChin20 Jun 2023 22:49 UTC
2 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Nat­u­ral Laws Are De­scrip­tions, not Rules

pragmatist8 Aug 2012 4:27 UTC
33 points
237 comments9 min readLW link

In­di­vi­d­ual vs. Group Epistemic Rationality

Wei Dai2 Mar 2010 21:46 UTC
32 points
54 comments2 min readLW link

[LINK] Why tak­ing ideas se­ri­ously is prob­a­bly a bad thing to do

David_Gerard5 Jan 2013 23:37 UTC
31 points
39 comments1 min readLW link

Fru­gal­ity and work­ing from finite data

Snowyowl3 Sep 2010 9:37 UTC
35 points
47 comments4 min readLW link

Episte­mol­ogy and the Psy­chol­ogy of Hu­man Judgment

badger28 May 2011 5:15 UTC
44 points
9 comments11 min readLW link

Quan­ti­ta­tive cruxes in Alignment

Martín Soto2 Jul 2023 20:38 UTC
19 points
0 comments23 min readLW link

Sources of ev­i­dence in Alignment

Martín Soto2 Jul 2023 20:38 UTC
20 points
0 comments11 min readLW link

Look Un­der the Light Post

Gordon Seidoh Worley16 Jul 2018 22:19 UTC
22 points
8 comments4 min readLW link

Defi­ni­tions are about effi­ciency and con­sis­tency with com­mon lan­guage.

Nacruno9610 Jul 2023 23:46 UTC
1 point
0 comments4 min readLW link

Some clar­ifi­ca­tions con­cern­ing my “many weak ar­gu­ments” post

JonahS7 Jun 2013 19:34 UTC
8 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

The Short Case for Verificationism

ike11 Sep 2020 18:48 UTC
6 points
57 comments1 min readLW link

Kenshō

Valentine20 Jan 2018 0:12 UTC
67 points
285 comments6 min readLW link

Epistemic Tenure

Scott Garrabrant18 Feb 2019 22:56 UTC
89 points
27 comments3 min readLW link

Ex­pert trap – Ways out (Part 3 of 3)

Paweł Sysiak22 Jul 2023 13:06 UTC
4 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

“Not Ne­c­es­sar­ily”

Benjamin Hendricks31 Jul 2023 15:19 UTC
23 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Kol­mogorov’s the­ory of Al­gorith­mic Probability

Aidan Rocke3 Aug 2023 0:58 UTC
5 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(keplerlounge.com)

Real Mean­ing of life has been found. Eliezer dis­cov­ered it in 2000′s.

Jorterder9 Aug 2023 18:13 UTC
−15 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

Memetic Judo #1: On Dooms­day Prophets v.3

Max TK18 Aug 2023 0:14 UTC
25 points
17 comments3 min readLW link

Memetic Judo #2: In­cor­po­ral Switches and Lev­ers Compendium

Max TK14 Aug 2023 16:53 UTC
19 points
6 comments17 min readLW link

The Uni­verse Doesn’t Have to Play Nice

Chris_Leong6 Jan 2020 2:08 UTC
21 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Listen For What You Don’t Hear: The Case for Contrarianism

Yashvardhan Sharma14 Aug 2023 2:53 UTC
1 point
1 comment5 min readLW link

Memetic Judo #3: The In­tel­li­gence of Stochas­tic Par­rots v.2

Max TK20 Aug 2023 15:18 UTC
8 points
33 comments6 min readLW link

“Dirty con­cepts” in AI al­ign­ment dis­courses, and some guesses for how to deal with them

20 Aug 2023 9:13 UTC
65 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Separate the truth from your wishes

Jacob G-W23 Aug 2023 0:52 UTC
6 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(jacobgw.com)

The Epistemic Author­ity of Deep Learn­ing Pioneers

Dylan Bowman29 Aug 2023 18:14 UTC
8 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Bead Jar Guesses

Alicorn4 May 2009 18:59 UTC
22 points
134 comments2 min readLW link

More thoughts on assertions

Scott Alexander25 Mar 2010 1:39 UTC
28 points
31 comments6 min readLW link

Raven Para­dox Revisited

Chris_Leong15 Apr 2018 0:08 UTC
5 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Hy­gienic Anecdotes

badger29 Mar 2009 5:46 UTC
10 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

JFK was not as­sas­si­nated: prior prob­a­bil­ity zero events

Stuart_Armstrong27 Apr 2016 11:47 UTC
37 points
38 comments3 min readLW link

The Use of Many In­de­pen­dent Lines of Ev­i­dence: The Basel Problem

JonahS3 Jun 2013 4:42 UTC
38 points
44 comments5 min readLW link

Epistemic vs. In­stru­men­tal Ra­tion­al­ity: Approximations

Peter_de_Blanc28 Apr 2009 3:12 UTC
30 points
29 comments1 min readLW link

Ethics has Ev­i­dence Too

Jack6 Feb 2010 6:28 UTC
26 points
57 comments3 min readLW link

Erdős Prob­lems in Al­gorith­mic Probability

Aidan Rocke11 Sep 2023 16:44 UTC
13 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ist Role in the In­for­ma­tion Age

byrnema30 Apr 2009 18:24 UTC
7 points
19 comments3 min readLW link
No comments.