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Up­dates from Com­ments on “AI 2027 is a Bet Against Am­dahl’s Law”

snewmanMay 2, 2025, 11:52 PM
40 points
2 comments13 min readLW link

At­tend SPAR’s vir­tual demo day! (ca­reer fair + talks)

agucovaMay 2, 2025, 11:45 PM
9 points
0 commentsLW link
(demoday.sparai.org)

Why does METR score o3 as effec­tive for such a long time du­ra­tion de­spite over­all poor scores?

Cole WyethMay 2, 2025, 10:58 PM
19 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Short story: Who is nan­cy­gon­za­lez8451097

Anders LindströmMay 2, 2025, 9:01 PM
13 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

In­terim Re­search Re­port: Mechanisms of Awareness

Josh Engels, Neel Nanda and Senthooran Rajamanoharan
May 2, 2025, 8:29 PM
43 points
6 comments8 min readLW link

Agents, Tools, and Simulators

WillPetillo, Sean Herrington, Adebayo Mubarak, Cancus and Spencer Ames
May 2, 2025, 8:19 PM
12 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Ob­sta­cles in ARC’s agenda: Low Prob­a­bil­ity Estimation

David MatolcsiMay 2, 2025, 7:38 PM
43 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

What’s go­ing on with AI progress and trends? (As of 5/​2025)

ryan_greenblattMay 2, 2025, 7:00 PM
71 points
7 comments8 min readLW link

When AI Op­ti­mizes for the Wrong Thing

Anthony FoxMay 2, 2025, 6:00 PM
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Align­ment Struc­ture Direc­tion—Re­cur­sive Ad­ver­sar­ial Over­sight(RAO)

Jayden ShepardMay 2, 2025, 5:51 PM
2 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

AI Welfare Risks

Adrià MoretMay 2, 2025, 5:49 PM
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(philpapers.org)

Philoso­plas­tic­ity: On the Inevitable Drift of Mean­ing in Re­cur­sive Self-In­ter­pret­ing Systems

Maikol CoinMay 2, 2025, 5:46 PM
−1 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Su­per­men of the (Not so Far) Future

TerriLeafMay 2, 2025, 3:55 PM
9 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Steer­ing Lan­guage Models in Mul­ti­ple Direc­tions Simultaneously

lukemarks, Narmeen and Amirali Abdullah
May 2, 2025, 3:27 PM
18 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

AI In­ci­dent Mon­i­tor­ing: A Brief Analysis

Spencer AmesMay 2, 2025, 3:06 PM
3 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

RA x Con­trolAI video: What if AI just keeps get­ting smarter?

WriterMay 2, 2025, 2:19 PM
100 points
17 comments9 min readLW link

OpenAI Pre­pared­ness Frame­work 2.0

ZviMay 2, 2025, 1:10 PM
60 points
1 comment23 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ex-OpenAI em­ployee am­ici leave to file de­nied in Musk v OpenAI case?

TFDMay 2, 2025, 12:27 PM
4 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(www.thefloatingdroid.com)

Roads are at max­i­mum effi­ciency always

HrussMay 2, 2025, 10:29 AM
1 point
3 comments1 min readLW link

The Con­tinuum Fal­lacy and its Relatives

Zero ContradictionsMay 2, 2025, 2:58 AM
4 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(thewaywardaxolotl.blogspot.com)

Me­mory De­cod­ing Jour­nal Club: Mo­tor learn­ing se­lec­tively strength­ens cor­ti­cal and stri­atal synapses of mo­tor en­gram neu­rons

Devin WardMay 1, 2025, 11:52 PM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

My Re­search Pro­cess: Un­der­stand­ing and Cul­ti­vat­ing Re­search Taste

Neel NandaMay 1, 2025, 11:08 PM
26 points
1 comment9 min readLW link

AI Gover­nance to Avoid Ex­tinc­tion: The Strate­gic Land­scape and Ac­tion­able Re­search Questions

peterbarnett and Aaron_Scher
May 1, 2025, 10:46 PM
105 points
7 comments8 min readLW link
(techgov.intelligence.org)

How to spec­ify an al­ign­ment target

jugginsMay 1, 2025, 9:11 PM
14 points
2 comments12 min readLW link

Ob­sta­cles in ARC’s agenda: Mechanis­tic Ano­maly Detection

David MatolcsiMay 1, 2025, 8:51 PM
42 points
1 comment11 min readLW link

AI-Gen­er­ated GitHub repo back­dated with junk then filled with my sys­tems work. Has any­one seen this be­fore?

rguntherMay 1, 2025, 8:14 PM
7 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

What is Inad­e­quate about Bayesi­anism for AI Align­ment: Mo­ti­vat­ing In­fra-Bayesianism

Brittany GelbMay 1, 2025, 7:06 PM
17 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Can LLMs Si­mu­late In­ter­nal Eval­u­a­tion? A Case Study in Self-Gen­er­ated Recommendations

The Neutral MindMay 1, 2025, 7:04 PM
4 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Su­per­hu­man Coders in AI 2027 - Not So Fast

dschwarz and FutureSearch
May 1, 2025, 6:56 PM
59 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

AI #114: Liars, Sy­co­phants and Cheaters

ZviMay 1, 2025, 2:00 PM
40 points
5 comments63 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Slow­down After 2028: Com­pute, RLVR Uncer­tainty, MoE Data Wall

Vladimir_NesovMay 1, 2025, 1:54 PM
175 points
22 comments5 min readLW link

An­thro­po­mor­phiz­ing AI might be good, ac­tu­ally

Seth HerdMay 1, 2025, 1:50 PM
35 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Dont fo­cus on up­dat­ing P doom

AlgonMay 1, 2025, 11:10 AM
7 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Pri­ori­tiz­ing Work

jefftkMay 1, 2025, 2:00 AM
106 points
11 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Don’t rely on a “race to the top”

sjadlerMay 1, 2025, 12:33 AM
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Meta-Tech­ni­cal­ities: Safe­guard­ing Values in For­mal Systems

LTMApr 30, 2025, 11:43 PM
2 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(routecause.substack.com)

Ob­sta­cles in ARC’s agenda: Find­ing explanations

David MatolcsiApr 30, 2025, 11:03 PM
122 points
10 comments17 min readLW link

GPT-4o Re­sponds to Nega­tive Feedback

ZviApr 30, 2025, 8:20 PM
45 points
2 comments18 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

State of play of AI progress (and re­lated brakes on an in­tel­li­gence ex­plo­sion) [Linkpost]

Noosphere89Apr 30, 2025, 7:58 PM
7 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(www.interconnects.ai)

Don’t ac­cuse your in­ter­locu­tor of be­ing in­suffi­ciently truth-seeking

TFDApr 30, 2025, 7:38 PM
30 points
15 comments2 min readLW link
(www.thefloatingdroid.com)

How can we solve diffuse threats like re­search sab­o­tage with AI con­trol?

Vivek HebbarApr 30, 2025, 7:23 PM
52 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] Can Nar­row­ing One’s Refer­ence Class Un­der­mine the Dooms­day Ar­gu­ment?

Iannoose n.Apr 30, 2025, 6:24 PM
2 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] Does there ex­ist an in­ter­ac­tive rea­son­ing map tool that lets users vi­su­ally lay out claims, as­sign prob­a­bil­ities and con­fi­dence lev­els, and dy­nam­i­cally ad­just their be­liefs based on weighted in­fluences be­tween con­nected as­ser­tions?

Zack FriedmanApr 30, 2025, 6:22 PM
5 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Distill­ing the In­ter­nal Model Prin­ci­ple part II

JoseFaustinoApr 30, 2025, 5:56 PM
15 points
0 comments19 min readLW link

Re­search Pri­ori­ties for Hard­ware-En­abled Mechanisms (HEMs)

aogApr 30, 2025, 5:43 PM
17 points
2 comments15 min readLW link
(www.longview.org)

Video and tran­script of talk on au­tomat­ing al­ign­ment research

Joe CarlsmithApr 30, 2025, 5:43 PM
21 points
0 comments24 min readLW link
(joecarlsmith.com)

Can we safely au­to­mate al­ign­ment re­search?

Joe CarlsmithApr 30, 2025, 5:37 PM
54 points
29 comments48 min readLW link
(joecarlsmith.com)

In­ves­ti­gat­ing task-spe­cific prompts and sparse au­toen­coders for ac­ti­va­tion monitoring

Henk TillmanApr 30, 2025, 5:09 PM
23 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

Euro­pean Links (30.04.25)

Martin SustrikApr 30, 2025, 3:40 PM
15 points
1 comment8 min readLW link
(250bpm.substack.com)

Scal­ing Laws for Scal­able Oversight

Subhash Kantamneni, Josh Engels, David Baek and Max Tegmark
Apr 30, 2025, 12:13 PM
27 points
0 comments9 min readLW link