Launch­ing Fore­cast, a com­mu­nity for crowd­sourced pre­dic­tions from Facebook

Rebecca KossnickOct 20, 2020, 6:20 AM
111 points
14 comments3 min readLW link

Align­ment As A Bot­tle­neck To Use­ful­ness Of GPT-3

johnswentworthJul 21, 2020, 8:02 PM
111 points
57 comments3 min readLW link

In­tro­duc­tion To The In­fra-Bayesi­anism Sequence

Aug 26, 2020, 8:31 PM
110 points
62 comments13 min readLW link2 reviews

De­mons in Im­perfect Search

johnswentworthFeb 11, 2020, 8:25 PM
110 points
21 comments3 min readLW link

Why quan­ti­ta­tive meth­ods are heartwarming

KatjaGraceDec 12, 2020, 9:50 PM
110 points
15 comments3 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

How to teach things well

Neel NandaAug 28, 2020, 4:44 PM
110 points
17 comments15 min readLW link1 review
(www.neelnanda.io)

Prob­a­bil­ity vs Likelihood

abramdemskiNov 10, 2020, 9:28 PM
110 points
10 comments12 min readLW link

Clar­ify­ing in­ner al­ign­ment terminology

evhubNov 9, 2020, 8:40 PM
109 points
17 comments3 min readLW link1 review

Search ver­sus design

Alex FlintAug 16, 2020, 4:53 PM
109 points
40 comments36 min readLW link1 review

The bads of ads

KatjaGraceOct 23, 2020, 5:50 AM
108 points
38 comments2 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

My cur­rent frame­work for think­ing about AGI timelines

zhukeepaMar 30, 2020, 1:23 AM
107 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 0 to 10

lsusrOct 24, 2020, 2:17 AM
107 points
34 comments4 min readLW link

What’s Wrong with So­cial Science and How to Fix It: Reflec­tions After Read­ing 2578 Papers

habrykaSep 12, 2020, 1:46 AM
107 points
22 comments2 min readLW link
(fantasticanachronism.com)

“No ev­i­dence” as a Valley of Bad Rationality

Adam ZernerMar 28, 2020, 11:45 PM
106 points
21 comments2 min readLW link1 review

Op­ti­mized Pro­pa­ganda with Bayesian Net­works: Com­ment on “Ar­tic­u­lat­ing Lay The­o­ries Through Graph­i­cal Models”

Zack_M_DavisJun 29, 2020, 2:45 AM
105 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

Book re­view: WEIRDest People

PeterMcCluskeyNov 30, 2020, 3:33 AM
105 points
57 comments9 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

Bet­ting with Manda­tory Post-Mortem

abramdemskiJun 24, 2020, 8:04 PM
105 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

What can the prin­ci­pal-agent liter­a­ture tell us about AI risk?

apcFeb 8, 2020, 9:28 PM
104 points
29 comments16 min readLW link

His­tory’s Biggest Nat­u­ral Experiment

jimrandomhMar 24, 2020, 2:56 AM
104 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Fi­nal Ver­sion Perfected: An Un­derused Ex­e­cu­tion Algorithm

willbradshawNov 27, 2020, 10:43 AM
103 points
34 comments7 min readLW link

Solv­ing Math Prob­lems by Relay

Jul 17, 2020, 3:32 PM
103 points
26 comments7 min readLW link

A re­view of Where Is My Fly­ing Car? by J. Storrs Hall

jasoncrawfordNov 6, 2020, 8:01 PM
103 points
23 comments11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Wri­teup: Progress on AI Safety via Debate

Feb 5, 2020, 9:04 PM
103 points
18 comments33 min readLW link

Near-term plan­ning for sec­ondary im­pacts of coro­n­avirus lock­downs [as­sum­ing things don’t blow up]

VipulNaikMar 21, 2020, 2:43 AM
102 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

Can crimes be dis­cussed liter­ally?

BenquoMar 22, 2020, 8:17 PM
102 points
38 comments2 min readLW link3 reviews
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

The Ad­ven­ture: a new Utopia story

Stuart_ArmstrongFeb 5, 2020, 4:50 PM
101 points
37 comments51 min readLW link

“Win First” vs “Chill First”

lionhearted (Sebastian Marshall)Sep 28, 2020, 6:48 AM
101 points
20 comments3 min readLW link

Kelly Bet on Everything

Jacob FalkovichJul 10, 2020, 2:48 AM
101 points
20 comments5 min readLW link2 reviews

Covid 11/​12: The Winds of Winter

ZviNov 12, 2020, 2:30 PM
100 points
64 comments19 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Si­mu­lacra and Subjectivity

BenquoMar 5, 2020, 4:25 PM
100 points
33 comments3 min readLW link2 reviews
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Drain­ing the swamp

jasoncrawfordJan 28, 2020, 9:37 PM
99 points
1 comment11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Ho­mo­gene­ity vs. het­ero­gene­ity in AI take­off scenarios

evhubDec 16, 2020, 1:37 AM
98 points
48 comments4 min readLW link

Why Artists Study Anatomy

Sisi ChengMay 18, 2020, 6:44 PM
98 points
10 comments2 min readLW link1 review

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 2

lsusrNov 30, 2020, 8:12 AM
98 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

At­ten­tion is your scarcest resource

benkuhnJul 30, 2020, 1:00 AM
98 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(www.benkuhn.net)

He­donic asymmetries

paulfchristianoJan 26, 2020, 2:10 AM
98 points
22 comments2 min readLW link
(sideways-view.com)

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 6

lsusrDec 9, 2020, 8:14 AM
97 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

Tes­sel­lat­ing Hills: a toy model for demons in im­perfect search

DaemonicSigilFeb 20, 2020, 12:12 AM
97 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

Public Static: What is Ab­strac­tion?

johnswentworthJun 9, 2020, 6:36 PM
97 points
18 comments11 min readLW link

Clar­ify­ing “What failure looks like”

Sam ClarkeSep 20, 2020, 8:40 PM
97 points
14 comments17 min readLW link

Be­ing Pro­duc­tive With Chronic Health Con­di­tions

lynettebyeNov 5, 2020, 12:22 AM
97 points
7 comments9 min readLW link

Post­mortem to Petrov Day, 2020

Ben PaceOct 3, 2020, 9:30 PM
97 points
63 comments9 min readLW link

The Road to Mazedom

ZviJan 18, 2020, 2:10 PM
97 points
26 comments7 min readLW link2 reviews
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Think­ing About Filtered Ev­i­dence Is (Very!) Hard

abramdemskiMar 19, 2020, 11:20 PM
97 points
32 comments14 min readLW link

Des­per­a­tion ham­ster wheels

Nicole RossOct 28, 2020, 2:32 AM
97 points
5 comments6 min readLW link
(www.cuttingmangoes.com)

Does SGD Pro­duce De­cep­tive Align­ment?

Mark XuNov 6, 2020, 11:48 PM
96 points
9 comments16 min readLW link

Crav­ing, suffer­ing, and pre­dic­tive pro­cess­ing (three char­ac­ter­is­tics se­ries)

Kaj_SotalaMay 15, 2020, 1:21 PM
96 points
56 comments19 min readLW link

Covid 10/​1: The Long Haul

ZviOct 1, 2020, 6:00 PM
95 points
22 comments9 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

My in­tel­lec­tual influences

Richard_NgoNov 22, 2020, 6:00 PM
95 points
1 comment5 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Covid 9/​24: Un­til Mo­rale Improves

ZviSep 24, 2020, 3:40 PM
95 points
16 comments11 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)