Pandemic Prediction Checklist: H5N1
Pandemic Prediction Checklist: Monkeypox
Correlation may imply some sort of causal link.
For guessing its direction, simple models help you think.
Controlled experiments, if they are well beyond the brink
Of .05 significance will make your unknowns shrink.
Replications show there’s something new under the sun.
Did one cause the other? Did the other cause the one?
Are they both controlled by what has already begun?
Or was it their coincidence that caused it to be done?
What I’m particularly curious about is whether the road-mapping it demonstrated here is repeatable and durable, and whether we’ll see models proposing new problems mathematicians find interesting as the old outstanding ones get solved.