Isaac King(Isaac King)

List of Prob­a­bil­ity Cal­ibra­tion Exercises

Duct Tape security

A free to en­ter, 240 char­ac­ter, open-source iter­ated pris­oner’s dilemma tournament

An Ac­tu­ally In­tu­itive Ex­pla­na­tion of the Oberth Effect

Ques­tion Gravity

Stop talk­ing about p(doom)

Epistemic spot check­ing one claim in The Precipice

Un­der­stand­ing Sub­jec­tive Probabilities

My Ap­proach to Non-Literal Communication

Can DALL-E un­der­stand sim­ple ge­om­e­try?

[Question] What are some of the best in­tro­duc­tions/​break­downs of AI ex­is­ten­tial risk for those un­fa­mil­iar?

Ra­tional Agents Co­op­er­ate in the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

The Hid­den Com­plex­ity of Thought

[Question] What’s the best way to stream­line two-party sale ne­go­ti­a­tions be­tween real hu­mans?

[Question] Quan­tum Suicide and Au­mann’s Agree­ment Theorem

An at­tempt at a “good enough” solu­tion for hu­man two-party negotiations

• Isaac King 26 Sep 2022 15:57 UTC

  11 points

  0

  on: LW Petrov Day 2022 (Mon­day, 9/​26)

  It’s difficult to incentivize people to not press the button, but here’s an attempt: If we successfully get through Petrov day without anyone pressing the button (other than the person who has already done so via the bug), I will donate $50 to a charity selected by majority vote.

[Question] Look­ing for some­one to run an on­line sem­i­nar on hu­man learning

• Isaac King 27 Jan 2022 1:27 UTC

  9 points

  1

  on: Vav­ilov Day Dis­cus­sion Post

  Thoughts on having part of the holiday be “have tasty food easily accessible (perhaps within sight range) during the fast”?

  Pros:

  • It’s in keeping with the original story.

  • It can help us see the dangers of having instant gratification available, and let us practice our ability to resist short-term urges for long-term benefits.

  • If the goal of rationalist holidays is to help us feel like our own community, then this could help people feel more “special”. Many religions have holidays that call for a fast, but as far as I know none of them expect one to tempt themselves.

  Cons:

  • It makes the fast harder. If people are used to their self-control strategy being “don’t tempt myself”, this will be new to them, and if they end up breaking their fast, they’d likely feel demoralized.

“Ra­tional Agents Win”