Of course the right thing to do is to pull the lever. And the right time to do that is once the trolley’s front wheels have passed the switch but the rear wheels haven’t yet. The trolley gets derailed, saving all 6 lives.
dvasya
Karma: 444
Aside from basic math (calculus, linear algebra, probability, ODE, all with proofs), take courses in topics that feel interesting to you just by themselves. Don’t count on things you learn being actually useful in real life, and accordingly don’t try to prioritize courses by that metric. You’ll learn what you need for your job by yourself or be taught at the job anyway, so instead spend this time building up an inventory of things to draw upon for useful metaphors. It’s easier to learn what’s intrinsically interesting so you’ll end up learning more. For real world skills, do some academic research projects and industry internships.
This is the correct answer to the question. Bell and CHSH and all are remarkable but more complicated setups. This—entanglement no matter which basis you’ll end up measuring your particle in, not known at the time of state preparation, - is what’s salient about the simple 2-particle setup.
As I’ve argued previously, a natural selection process maps cleanly onto RL in the limit.
The URL is broken (points to edit page)
Regarding safer assets, when you put your money into a savings account (loan it to the bank), what is the bank to do with it? Presumably it has promised you interest. Or if you buy treasuries—someone must have sold them to you—what do they do now with all the cash? Just because you personally didn’t put your money into stocks does’t mean nobody else downstream from you did.
And because most securities aren’t up for sale at any given time, a small fraction of market participants can have outsized effects on prices. Consider oil back in April: sure the “prices” turned “negative” when a few poor suckers realized they had forgotten to roll their futures to the next month back when everybody else did and could get stuck with a physical delivery, but how many barrels worth of contracts did actually change hands at those prices?
Not sure how this would support the OP’s point specifically, but just wanted to point out that 1%-level things can sometimes have large manifestations in “prices”, just because liquidity is finite.
Here’s a (high) schools data point… https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1266976828549238785?s=19
Regarding HCQ, the recent large-N studies were observational and looks like patients there were given HCQ late and if they were relatively sicker. Using it early on could still work (but now there won’t be an RCT for that thanks to numerous delendae).
Regarding schools, did the countries that reopened those already fare particularly worse?
A while back TinyCast seemed pretty friendly: https://tinycast.cultivateforecasts.com/questions/new
steer
badum-tsss
That’s terrible news! It means that on top of the meager coronavirus there’s another unidentified disease overcrowding the hospitals, causing respirator shortages all over the world, and threatening to kill millions of people!
> The idea of “flattening the curve” is the worst, as it assumes a large number of infections AND a large number of virus generation AND high selective pressure
Flattening _per se_ doesn’t affect the evolution of the virus much. It doesn’t evolve on a time grid, but rather on an event grid where an event is spreading from a person to another. As long as it spreads the same number of times it will have the same number of opportunities to evolve.
“Overreacting to underestimates”—great way of putting it!
Fewer waiting lines?
Congratulations!
If you’re trying to be homo economicus and maximize your expected utility, probably it’s not worth it. But if you’re not, you can still do it! We did (blood and tissue).
How valuable are the stem cells right now
not very valuable
and how valuable are they expected to be in the future?
very valuable but that’s been the expectation for a long time and yet here we are
How hard is it to get stem cells for yourself / your child right now vs in the future?
anything you harvest later on will have had more cellular divisions in its history, so in some (not yet practical) sense this opportunity is unique
Will the collected stem cells be only useful for the baby or the mother too?
right now probably neither, but the kind of application you might hope for in the future would be benefiting the baby
Can we reasonably expect the cryo companies to last long enough and not go under?
sure—but if they have an accident you’re also not losing much expected utility, either
Have you had experience donating it?
no
Have you had experience storing it?
yes
I don’t see how it would explain double descent on training time. This would imply that gradient descent on neural nets first has to memorize noise in one particular way, and then further training “fixes” the weights to memorize noise in a different way that generalizes better
For example, the (random, meaningless) weights used to memorize noise can get spread across more degrees of freedom, so that on the test their sum will be closer to 0.
The 5nm in “5nm scale” no longer means “things are literally 5nm in size”. Rather, it’s become a fancy way of saying something like “200x the linear transistor density of an old 1-micron scale chip”. The gates are still larger than 5nm, it’s just that things are now getting put on their side to make more room ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FinFET ). Some chip measures sure are slowing down, but Moore’s law (referring to the number of transistors per chip and nothing else) still isn’t one of them despite claims of impending doom due to “quantum effects” originally dating back to (IIRC) the eighties.
I know some people who (at least used to) maintain a group pool of cash to fund the preservation of whoever died first (at which point the pool would need to be refilled). So if you’re unlucky first to die out of people, you only pay of the full price, and if you’re lucky (last to die) you eventually pay about times the price, but at least you get more time to earn the money. Not sure how it was all structured legally. Of course if you’re really pressed for time it may be hard to convince other people for such an arrangement.
Fundraisers have helped in the past: https://alcor.org/Library/html/casesummary2643.html—although it fell quite short of the sticker price, and ultimately Alcor had to foot most of the bill anyway.
There aren’t that “many” other companies. Talk to KrioRus, I know they explored setting up a cryonics facility in Switzerland at some point.
I’m pretty sure (epistemic status: Good Judgment Project Superforecaster) the “AI” in the name is pure buzz and the underlying aggregation algorithm is something very simple. If you want to set up some quick group predictions for free, there’s https://tinycast.cultivatelabs.com/ which has a transparent and battle-tested aggregation mechanism (LMSR prediction markets) and doesn’t use catchy buzzwords to market itself. For other styles of aggregation there’s “the original” Good Judgment Inc, a spinoff from GJP which actually ran an aggregation algorithm contest in parallel with the forecaster contest (somehow no “AI” buzz either). They are running a public competition at https://www.gjopen.com/ where anyone can forecast and get scored, but if you want to ask your own questions that’s a bit more expensive than Swarm. Unfortunately there doesn’t seem to be a good survey-style group forecasting platform out in the open. But that’s fine, TinyCast is adequate as long as you read their LMSR algorithm intro.
Children now aren’t necessarily mutually exclusive with children in the future. You’re not creating disutility by starting now and then “upping your game” when technology is more accessible!