RSS

Con­fir­ma­tion Bias

TagLast edit: 21 Sep 2020 17:34 UTC by Tofly

Confirmation bias (also known as positive bias) is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or strengthens one’s prior personal beliefs or hypotheses [1]. For example, one might test hypotheses with positive rather than negative examples, thus missing obvious disconfirming tests.

See also: Motivated skepticism, Availability heuristic, Surprise, Narrative fallacy, Privileging the hypothesis, Heuristics and Biases

External Links

Trapped Pri­ors As A Ba­sic Prob­lem Of Rationality

Scott Alexander12 Mar 2021 20:02 UTC
109 points
25 comments14 min readLW link

Pos­i­tive Bias: Look Into the Dark

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Aug 2007 3:55 UTC
85 points
55 comments3 min readLW link

Suffi­ciently sincere con­fir­ma­tion bias is in­dis­t­in­guish­able from science

Benquo15 Mar 2017 13:19 UTC
36 points
19 comments2 min readLW link

Case Study: Test­ing Con­fir­ma­tion Bias

gwern2 May 2012 14:03 UTC
51 points
63 comments1 min readLW link

Con­fir­ma­tion Bias As Mis­fire Of Nor­mal Bayesian Reasoning

Scott Alexander13 Feb 2020 7:20 UTC
41 points
9 comments2 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

Sub­tle Forms of Con­fir­ma­tion Bias

abramdemski3 Jul 2017 23:00 UTC
18 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

“Nahh, that wouldn’t work”

lionhearted28 Nov 2010 21:32 UTC
90 points
50 comments2 min readLW link

Priv­ileg­ing the Hypothesis

Eliezer Yudkowsky29 Sep 2009 0:40 UTC
75 points
131 comments5 min readLW link

Linkpost: Choice Ex­plains Pos­i­tivity and Con­fir­ma­tion Bias

Gunnar_Zarncke1 Oct 2020 21:46 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Con­fir­ma­tion Bias in Action

Jacob Falkovich24 Jan 2021 17:38 UTC
36 points
1 comment13 min readLW link

Se­man­tic Stopsigns

Eliezer Yudkowsky24 Aug 2007 19:29 UTC
97 points
110 comments3 min readLW link

Seek Fair Ex­pec­ta­tions of Others’ Models

Zvi17 Oct 2017 14:30 UTC
57 points
17 comments9 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Rea­son­able Explanations

Alicorn16 Jun 2019 5:29 UTC
76 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Epistemic Luck

Alicorn8 Feb 2010 0:02 UTC
99 points
133 comments3 min readLW link

The Crack­pot Offer

Eliezer Yudkowsky8 Sep 2007 14:32 UTC
74 points
73 comments3 min readLW link

Rea­son­ing isn’t about logic (it’s about ar­gu­ing)

Morendil14 Mar 2010 4:42 UTC
65 points
31 comments3 min readLW link

Scien­tific mis­con­duct mis­di­ag­nosed be­cause of sci­en­tific misconduct

GLaDOS10 Jun 2011 14:49 UTC
60 points
55 comments2 min readLW link

An­thro­po­mor­phic Optimism

Eliezer Yudkowsky4 Aug 2008 20:17 UTC
55 points
58 comments5 min readLW link

Fre­quently Asked Ques­tions for Cen­tral Banks Un­der­shoot­ing Their In­fla­tion Target

Eliezer Yudkowsky29 Oct 2017 23:36 UTC
26 points
28 comments35 min readLW link

The Statis­ti­cian’s Fallacy

ChrisHallquist9 Dec 2013 4:48 UTC
63 points
69 comments3 min readLW link

The Temp­ta­tion to Bubble

gressettd23 Sep 2015 23:34 UTC
35 points
29 comments5 min readLW link

Pos­i­tive Bias Test (C++ pro­gram)

MBlume19 May 2009 21:32 UTC
30 points
79 comments4 min readLW link

The Think­ing Lad­der—Wait But Why

Liron29 Sep 2019 18:51 UTC
19 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(waitbutwhy.com)
No comments.