Pre­dictabil­ity of De­ci­sions and the Di­ag­o­nal Method

[Link, 2011] Team may be cho­sen to re­ceive $1.4 billion to simu­late hu­man brain

New cog­ni­tive bias ar­ti­cles on wikipe­dia (up­date)

[Link] Bet­ter re­sults by chang­ing Bayes’ theorem

Weekly LW Mee­tups: At­lanta, Cam­bridge UK, Chicago, Fort Col­lins, Hous­ton, Melbourne, Twin Cities, Vancouver

Poli­ti­cal philos­o­phy and/​ver­sus poli­ti­cal ac­tion, not to men­tion arguing

How does real world ex­pected util­ity max­i­miza­tion work?

[SEQ RERUN] Amaz­ing Break­through Day: April 1st

Meetup : Fort Col­lins Meetup Satur­day 17th

A tax­on­omy of Or­a­cle AIs

Meetup : Atlanta

Con­junc­tion fal­lacy and prob­a­bil­is­tic risk as­sess­ment.

James Martin Post­doc­toral Re­search Fel­low­ship: So­cio-eco­nomic Im­pacts of Tech­nolog­i­cal Change

Nick Bostrom: Mo­ral un­cer­tainty – to­wards a solu­tion? [link, 2009]

Sud­den Fu­ture Sin­gu­lar­ity (SFS) as soon as 8.7 mil­lion years in the fu­ture?

I Was Not Al­most Wrong But I Was Al­most Right: Close-Call Coun­ter­fac­tu­als and Bias

[SEQ RERUN] The Beauty of Set­tled Science

Meetup : Pitts­burgh Meetup: Big Gam­ing Fun 4!

Mak­ing com­puter sys­tems with ex­tended Iden­tity

DAGGRE group fore­cast­ing workshop

Meetup : Queue­ing and More

Friendly AI Society

Ra­tion­ally Irrational

Causal di­a­grams and soft­ware engineering

Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 10

[Link] At­lantic In­ter­view with Nick Bostrom—“We’re Un­der­sti­mat­ing the Risk of Hu­man Ex­tinc­tion”

One as­piring ra­tio­nal­ist’s re­sponse to KONY 2012

[link] New Scien­tist, on the dis­tant future

“How We De­cide”, by Jonah Lehrer, kin­dle ver­sion on sale for 99 cents at amazon

[SEQ RERUN] If You De­mand Magic, Magic Won’t Help

Deli­cious Lu­minos­ity, Om Nom Nom

Us­ing de­grees of free­dom to change the past for fun and profit

How to Fix Science

Ray Kurzweil is speak­ing at my uni­ver­sity tonight. What ques­tions should I ask him?

The Fox and the Low-Hang­ing Grapes

A Ra­tion­al­ity Lab Note­book/​Work­book/​Vade Mecum

Which drives can sur­vive in­tel­li­gence’s self mod­ifi­ca­tion?

[Link] Re­search on Chris­tian deconversion

[Link] Per­son­al­ity change key to im­prov­ing wellbeing

Main sec­tion vs. dis­cus­sion section

[SEQ RERUN] Bind Your­self to Reality

Pro­duc­tivity tips for those low on motivation

Emo­tional reg­u­la­tion, Part I: a prob­lem summary

Meetup Tac­tics Open Thread

[draft] Gen­er­al­iz­ing from av­er­age: a com­mon fal­lacy?

The Sin­gu­lar­ity In­sti­tute has started pub­lish­ing monthly progress reports

[SEQ RERUN] Joy in Discovery

“The Jour­nal of Real Effects”

Writ­ing about Sin­gu­lar­ity: need­ing help with refer­ences and bibliography

The kines­the­sia switch