(Even if cloud brightening is the ultimate solution to warming, we still need to address ocean acidification and carbon sequestration, and I’m not aware of any ideal solution to those problems yet, but two weeks ago I wasn’t aware of cloud brightening, so for all I know the problem isn’t a lack of investment, might just be a lack of policy discussion.)
There is also http://projectvesta.org which claims that it is possible to remove CO2 from the ocean and atmosphere via olivine weathering reasonably cheaply.
The winningest rationalist I know of is Dominic Cummings, who was the lead strategist behind the Brexit pro-leave movement. While the majority of LWers may not agree with his goals, he did seem to be effective, and he frequently makes references to rationalist concepts (including IIRC some references to the work of Eliezer Yudkowsky) on his blog: https://dominiccummings.com/
NZ is such a cliche for nuclear escape by now that I wonder if it might be targeted in a full-on nuclear war just to get the escaping rich westerners.
> I’ve never heard of anyone doing this directly. Has anyone else?
There’ s a Brazilian job website that requires users to pay, though I think it’s on a subscription basis.
I should note, for my readers in less sensitive and explicit cultures: I think that the fact that Harley was able to surface and articulate these beliefs is a good thing, on balance.
Really? These anecdotes sound really awful and exhausting to me. They’re going out of their way to start status-threatening conflicts over minor inconveniences.
edit: Reading further it seems OP essentially agrees that this behaviour is unhealthy.
is about to present its results from two trials.
Might have been better to wait for the result?
I was semi-abstaining from Reddit (outside work) and Twitter (altogether). I didn’t miss Twitter much at all. I did end up going on Reddit a bit for specific hobby/game-related things, but I mostly managed to avoid politics, memes, and other addictive things. Overall I think it was somewhat helpful in terms of avoiding stuff that distracted me from my real problems via anxious-consumption, and I had fewer bouts of political anger. Not sure how I’ll take it moving forward—I’ll probably stay off Twitter at least. Will have to think about how I want to approach Reddit.
Reading this I was wondering when Scott suddenly got way more confident with math. Turns out the quotes are messed up in this version. Only the first paragraph of each long block-quote is quoted properly.
Thanks, I didn’t know that.
Meditations on Moloch was creative and effective but ultimately “just” a restatement of well-known game theory. This post is a lot more speculative and anecdotal.
Two different possible failure modes (if continuing far enough down this path) are along the lines of trying to cure one’s cancer with magic instead of medicine, and/or fatalism/”inshallah”.
A milder possible failure case is simply spending too much time on this stuff, if it feels fun and effective even when isn’t working.
(I didn’t downvote you by the way)
I’m pretty skeptical of your narrative around flying to NY to see the Buddhists. It sounds a bit too much like “The Secret” and other forms of popular wishful thinking to me. I understand that you’re trying to sandbox this reasoning to “mythic mode”, but the way you write about it in this post (while presumably not in mythic mode) makes it seem like the sandbox might be a bit leaky.
I’m a very occasional meditator but I think I mostly get what you mean by Looking. But it’s 4am and I’m commenting more to report that something weird happened as result of this post. I read this earlier today, then later via Scott’s review read this page about A&P events: http://integrateddaniel.info/the-arising-and-passing-away/
Then tonight in bed I started having some strange sensations. I started seeing some of those vibrations, maybe. This part was only visual and could have been imaginary. Then I started getting a strong sense of “inadequateness” of all sensation which was quite disturbing. Again I might be been tricking myself somehow—though it kept going even when I was up and out of bed. This went on and off for a while. Then when I was in a hypnogogic state (and seeing vibrations), I started to experience strong flow of “energy”* flowing up my upper spine into the back of my head, while my upper body was tense and shaking, which lasted a few seconds. Unlike the previous stuff this was an undeniably real thing. During this time the visual that popped into my head was something like a webcomic featuring crudely drawn anthropomorphic toasters(!) with no legible dialogue, which gave the whole thing an almost comical sense of un-profundity. The sensation was perhaps somewhat enjoyable but not exactly euphoric or anything. This seems like the basic physiological description of an “A&P” event, but as mentioned, no accompanying euphoria or sense of understanding the universe or whatever.
Also, while I don’t recall having had this happen before, the “A&P” bit didn’t seem entirely unfamiliar and I wouldn’t be shocked to learn I’d experienced something similar in childhood. But I wouldn’t be surprised if not either.
Anyway I’m a little disturbed by this whole course of events (feels like I was somehow hypnotized into having strong mental sensations) and hope there won’t be any bad outcomes. Advice welcome.
* That’s a vague way to describe it but it wasn’t really like burning or electricity or anything, just some sort of “rush” of… something.
Going to do the same.
edit: Might still look at Reddit on my phone at work sometimes when taking a break, but not at home.
When I contributed a little in the early days I think it was driven by desire to promote the things I was interested in (mostly video games this case). I’d guess the same goes for historians etc writing the more serious articles. It helped that standards for things like NPOV and citations were a lot lower back then—I don’t think the project would have gotten far if everything had to be cited up the wazoo like it is now. (Now that Wikipedia is established as being important people are willing to put a bit more work in).
Although I’m not autistic as such I do suspect there’s a connection between the above and the stereotypical autistic desire to excessively talk about one’s topic of obsessive interest.
At the time I took the survey I would have answered that I made no money out of cryptocurrency. Since then, I found out that some free cryptocurrency I had forgotten about, which was worth less than $10 at the time, is now worth several thousand. Given that I went to the (small) effort of noticing and signing up for the giveaway, but only did the long-term-hold strategy by accident, I’ll give myself a D+. I’m also too lazy to sell it for now so hopefully there isn’t a hard crash.