Why We Can’t Take Ex­pected Value Es­ti­mates Liter­ally (Even When They’re Un­bi­ased)

HoldenKarnofskyAug 18, 2011, 11:34 PM
125 points
253 comments17 min readLW link

Meetup : Chicago Meetup At State and Elm, Au­gust 27th

Nic_SmithAug 18, 2011, 11:01 PM
4 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

(US only) Donate $2 to char­ity (bing re­wards)

Jonathan_GraehlAug 18, 2011, 9:16 PM
−1 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Meetup : DC Meetup: NoVa, Ra­tion­al­ity Games

atuckerAug 18, 2011, 7:02 PM
2 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Link] Givewell: Why We Can’t Take Ex­pected Value Es­ti­mates Literally

[deleted]Aug 18, 2011, 6:25 PM
0 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

[LINK] NYTimes es­say on willpower, based on an up­com­ing Baumeister book

Vladimir_GolovinAug 18, 2011, 10:05 AM
25 points
13 comments4 min readLW link

Need­ing Bet­ter PR

beriukayAug 18, 2011, 9:43 AM
15 points
19 comments3 min readLW link

Meetup : Hous­ton so­cial meetup

CogAug 18, 2011, 2:38 AM
2 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[SEQ RERUN] Ab­sur­dity Heuris­tic, Ab­sur­dity Bias

MinibearRexAug 18, 2011, 1:12 AM
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Will DNA Anal­y­sis Make Poli­tics Less of a Mind-Killer?

James_MillerAug 18, 2011, 12:03 AM
−2 points
48 comments1 min readLW link

[LINK] Brief Dis­cus­sion of As­teroid & Nu­clear Risk from pa­per by Hellman

multifoliateroseAug 17, 2011, 8:07 PM
10 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

LINK: Ben Go­ertzel; Does Hu­man­ity Need an “AI-Nanny”?

David AlthausAug 17, 2011, 6:27 PM
13 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

Need Help With Decision

CharlesRAug 17, 2011, 4:56 PM
7 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

[SEQ RERUN] “Science” as Cu­ri­os­ity-Stopper

MinibearRexAug 17, 2011, 3:10 AM
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

New­comb and Procrastination

eugmanAug 17, 2011, 1:46 AM
8 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

[Link] TED Talk on Per­ceived Value

AlicornAug 17, 2011, 12:49 AM
15 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Test to see if “c” cur­rently works in top level posts

[deleted]Aug 17, 2011, 12:05 AM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

That let­ter af­ter B is not ren­der­ing on Less Wrong?

lukeprogAug 16, 2011, 11:35 PM
11 points
27 comments1 min readLW link

Leav­ing out the dead

KatjaGraceAug 16, 2011, 8:02 PM
1 point
0 comments2 min readLW link

The Goal of the Bayesian Conspiracy

ArandurAug 16, 2011, 6:40 PM
−18 points
80 comments6 min readLW link

Are Deon­tolog­i­cal Mo­ral Judg­ments Ra­tion­al­iza­tions?

lukeprogAug 16, 2011, 4:40 PM
52 points
170 comments11 min readLW link

Anki deck for Cog­ni­tive Science in One Lesson

jsalvatierAug 16, 2011, 4:23 PM
8 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Short & silly su­per­in­tel­li­gence fic: “Ax­iom Chains”

Will_NewsomeAug 16, 2011, 4:11 PM
10 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

Meetup : Irv­ine Meetup Wed­nes­day Au­gust 17

JGWeissmanAug 16, 2011, 5:40 AM
2 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Hu­mans: Not Carved from Marble

lukeprogAug 16, 2011, 4:44 AM
26 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

[SEQ RERUN] Ex­plain/​Wor­ship/​Ig­nore?

MinibearRexAug 16, 2011, 3:52 AM
9 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Cached Phrases

curiousepicAug 15, 2011, 11:50 PM
5 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

[link] Friendly AI and Utilitarianism

lukeprogAug 15, 2011, 11:34 PM
13 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

[Link] Scott Aaron­son on Why Philoso­phers Should Care About Com­pu­ta­tional Complexity

DanielVargaAug 15, 2011, 10:51 PM
31 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Noz­ick’s fluff, or Omega the trick­ster.

ShmiAug 15, 2011, 10:08 PM
−2 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

The Whistleblower

MatthewBakerAug 15, 2011, 9:13 PM
−6 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

What are you work­ing on?

jsalvatierAug 15, 2011, 2:43 PM
11 points
67 comments1 min readLW link

Help! All this new found ra­tio­nal­ity and room for im­prove­ment is caus­ing me to burn out

tetsuo55Aug 15, 2011, 2:23 PM
2 points
29 comments1 min readLW link

[Link] Study on Group Intelligence

atuckerAug 15, 2011, 8:56 AM
16 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Re­mind Phys­i­cal­ists They’re Physicalists

lukeprogAug 15, 2011, 4:36 AM
26 points
76 comments2 min readLW link

[SEQ RERUN] Stranger Than History

MinibearRexAug 15, 2011, 3:21 AM
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Judg­ment Un­der Uncer­tainty sum­maries, Part 1: Representativeness

TesseractAug 15, 2011, 12:05 AM
42 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

[Link] Nick Bostrom on the Si­mu­la­tion Argument

Jayson_VirissimoAug 14, 2011, 7:15 PM
5 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

The Dooms­day Ar­gu­ment and Self-Sam­pling As­sump­tion are wrong, but in­duc­tion is al­ive and well.

RonPisaturo14 Aug 2011 18:15 UTC
10 points
8 comments5 min readLW link

Cry­on­ics is Quan­tum Suicide (minus the suicide)

KPier14 Aug 2011 18:08 UTC
4 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

How good an em­u­la­tion is re­quired?

whpearson14 Aug 2011 13:15 UTC
13 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Take heed, for it is a trap

Zed14 Aug 2011 10:23 UTC
54 points
189 comments6 min readLW link

[SEQ RERUN] Mak­ing His­tory Available

MinibearRex14 Aug 2011 3:24 UTC
8 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Magic Tricks Re­vealed: Test Your Rationality

Peter Wildeford13 Aug 2011 5:23 UTC
42 points
29 comments2 min readLW link

Does quan­tum me­chan­ics make simu­la­tions neg­ligible?

homunq13 Aug 2011 1:53 UTC
0 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

A Prob­lem with Ab­bre­vi­a­tions and Acronyms

billswift12 Aug 2011 20:41 UTC
7 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

An­throp­ics Does Not Work LIke That

Pavitra12 Aug 2011 18:52 UTC
−3 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

“Meetup” pro­posal: Google+

[deleted]12 Aug 2011 17:32 UTC
28 points
30 comments1 min readLW link

Over­com­ing bias in others

homunq12 Aug 2011 15:38 UTC
11 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Mu­nich Meetup, Satur­day Septem­ber 10th, 2PM

David Althaus12 Aug 2011 14:04 UTC
5 points
3 comments1 min readLW link