Of course, LLMs will help with cyber defense as well. But even if the offense-defense balance from AI favors defense, that won’t matter in the short term! As Bruce Schneier pointed out, the red team will take the lead.
Did he point that out? I agree to be clear, and I would expect Schneier to agree because he’s a smart dude, but I scanned this article several times and even did a full read through and I don’t see where he says that he expects offense to overtake defense in the short term.
I think the Internet has in fact been a prelude to the attitude adaptive for the martial shifts, but mostly because the failure of e.g. social media to produce good discourse has revealed that a lot of naive implicit models about democratization being good have been falsified. Democracy in fact turns out to be bad, giving people what they want turns out to be bad. I expect the elite class in Democratic Republics to get spitefully misanthropic because they are forced to live with the consequences of normal people’s decisions in a way e.g. Chinese elites aren’t.