Of course, LLMs will help with cyber defense as well. But even if the offense-defense balance from AI favors defense, that won’t matter in the short term! As Bruce Schneier pointed out, the red team will take the lead.
Did he point that out? I agree to be clear, and I would expect Schneier to agree because he’s a smart dude, but I scanned this article several times and even did a full read through and I don’t see where he says that he expects offense to overtake defense in the short term.
He implied there that in the short term the advantage will be asymmetric, even if he’s hopeful that there will eventually be a defensive advantage. (I’m agnostic on the latter, and even if he’s right, I think the times scale needed for it to emerge might be longer than it will matter.) But I should have linked to his recent piece, where he says this explicity, not that older one: https://www.schneier.com/crypto-gram/archives/2025/1015.html#cg18
Did he point that out? I agree to be clear, and I would expect Schneier to agree because he’s a smart dude, but I scanned this article several times and even did a full read through and I don’t see where he says that he expects offense to overtake defense in the short term.
He implied there that in the short term the advantage will be asymmetric, even if he’s hopeful that there will eventually be a defensive advantage. (I’m agnostic on the latter, and even if he’s right, I think the times scale needed for it to emerge might be longer than it will matter.) But I should have linked to his recent piece, where he says this explicity, not that older one: https://www.schneier.com/crypto-gram/archives/2025/1015.html#cg18
I’ll fix that now.