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Metaculus

TagLast edit: 4 Jul 2023 22:06 UTC by duck_master

This tag is for posts related to Metaculus, a popular and well-established forecasting website.

Metaculus (metaculus.com) hosts very serious questions, and focuses on science & technology (especially artificial intelligence), geopolitics, effective altruism, and the far future. Forecasting on Metaculus is absolute and forecasters provide specific probabilities or probability distributions.

See also:

Me­tac­u­lus In­tro­duces Mul­ti­ple Choice Questions

ChristianWilliams20 Dec 2023 19:00 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus’s New Side­bar Helps You Find Fore­casts Faster

ChristianWilliams8 Nov 2023 20:56 UTC
15 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus is seek­ing An­a­lyt­i­cal Sto­ry­tel­lers to write es­says for­tified with testable predictions

ChristianWilliams6 Oct 2021 4:44 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus is seek­ing Soft­ware Engineers

dschwarz5 Nov 2022 0:42 UTC
18 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(apply.workable.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Year in Re­view: 2022

ChristianWilliams6 Jan 2023 1:23 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus Launches the ‘Fore­cast­ing Our World In Data’ Pro­ject to Probe the Long-Term Future

ChristianWilliams14 Oct 2022 17:00 UTC
15 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus launches con­test for es­says with quan­ti­ta­tive pre­dic­tions about AI

8 Feb 2022 16:07 UTC
25 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus is build­ing a team ded­i­cated to AI forecasting

ChristianWilliams18 Oct 2022 16:08 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus An­nounces The Million Pre­dic­tions Hackathon

ChristianWilliams10 Nov 2022 20:00 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus Pre­dic­tion Party—Los An­ge­les LW/​ACX Meetup #194 (Wed­nes­day, July 20th)

koreindian18 Jul 2022 20:32 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus Event: Fore­cast Fri­day, April 28th at 12pm ET — Speed Fore­cast­ing Ses­sion!

ChristianWilliams27 Apr 2023 19:50 UTC
0 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus and medians

rossry6 Aug 2022 3:34 UTC
18 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus is seek­ing ex­pe­rienced lead­ers, re­searchers & op­er­a­tors for high-im­pact roles

ChristianWilliams10 Jul 2022 14:27 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(apply.workable.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Launches Chi­nese AI Chips Tour­na­ment, Sup­port­ing In­sti­tute for AI Policy and Strat­egy Research

ChristianWilliams6 Dec 2023 11:26 UTC
10 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Fore­cast­ing for Policy (FORPOL) - Main take­aways, prac­ti­cal learn­ings & report

janklenha18 Sep 2023 17:44 UTC
2 points
0 comments4 min readLW link
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