Molly

Karma: 97

Conditional Forecasting as Model Parameterization

Molly18 Apr 2025 2:35 UTC

15 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

(cuttyshark.substack.com)

Metaculus Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap

Molly and Tom Liptay

19 Feb 2025 22:42 UTC

13 points

0 comments13 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Forecasting: the way I think about it

Molly9 May 2024 0:49 UTC

41 points

4 comments3 min readLW link

(cuttyshark.substack.com)

Results from an Adversarial Collaboration on AI Risk (FRI)

Josh Rosenberg, AvitalM, Molly and rosehadshar

11 Mar 2024 20:00 UTC

61 points

3 comments9 min readLW link

(forecastingresearch.org)