Molly

Karma: 97

Conditional Forecasting as Model Parameterization

MollyApr 18, 2025, 2:35 AM

15 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

(cuttyshark.substack.com)

Metaculus Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap

Molly and Tom Liptay

Feb 19, 2025, 10:42 PM

13 points

0 comments13 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Forecasting: the way I think about it

MollyMay 9, 2024, 12:49 AM

41 points

4 comments3 min readLW link

(cuttyshark.substack.com)

Results from an Adversarial Collaboration on AI Risk (FRI)

Josh Rosenberg, AvitalM, Molly and rosehadshar

Mar 11, 2024, 8:00 PM

61 points

3 comments9 min readLW link

(forecastingresearch.org)