RSS

Black Swans

TagLast edit: 22 Aug 2020 12:22 UTC by Multicore

Black Swans are huge risks that your model of prediction didn’t account for.

How to Un­der­stand and Miti­gate Risk

Matt Goldenberg12 Mar 2019 10:14 UTC
55 points
30 comments16 min readLW link

Notes on Caution

David Gross1 Dec 2022 3:05 UTC
14 points
0 comments19 min readLW link

What’s Hard About Long Tails?

johnswentworth23 Apr 2020 16:32 UTC
24 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Jun 2007 22:30 UTC
23 points
40 comments2 min readLW link

Kol­mogorov’s the­ory of Al­gorith­mic Probability

Aidan Rocke3 Aug 2023 0:58 UTC
5 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(keplerlounge.com)

Knigh­tian un­cer­tainty in a Bayesian framework

So8res24 Jul 2014 14:31 UTC
54 points
3 comments11 min readLW link

AGI as a Black Swan Event

Stephen McAleese4 Dec 2022 23:00 UTC
8 points
8 comments7 min readLW link

Of Lies and Black Swan Blowups

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Apr 2009 18:26 UTC
26 points
8 comments1 min readLW link
No comments.