Looking at the karma for some of my recent posts, “publish more by just writing about anything that happens to interest you and don’t try to predict whether it’ll interest the readers” sure is a high-variance strategy (as you might have expected).
Do you have a cost metric for these? Sure, the variance is high, but they’re all positive.
What would a more conservative/successful strategy look like? Do you think more effort on the top-vote-getter would have gotten more incremental upvotes than the median (42)?
Haha. I kinda woulda liked to have the posts without the karma and be asked to estimate the karma for each...I feel like I would have gotten these directionally right but you know, wasn’t an advanced prediction ;)
that reminds me, tangential: I hand-wrote this crappy, fragile userstyle to hide prices on manifold (which might match more things than necessary (haven’t noticed any such errors though))
Looking at the karma for some of my recent posts, “publish more by just writing about anything that happens to interest you and don’t try to predict whether it’ll interest the readers” sure is a high-variance strategy (as you might have expected).
Do you have a cost metric for these? Sure, the variance is high, but they’re all positive.
What would a more conservative/successful strategy look like? Do you think more effort on the top-vote-getter would have gotten more incremental upvotes than the median (42)?
Haha. I kinda woulda liked to have the posts without the karma and be asked to estimate the karma for each...I feel like I would have gotten these directionally right but you know, wasn’t an advanced prediction ;)
that reminds me, tangential: I hand-wrote this crappy, fragile userstyle to hide prices on manifold (which might match more things than necessary (haven’t noticed any such errors though))
That really is a lot of variance in karma, lol. Might be close to peak variance achieved by anyone on LW.
I mean, my normal spread looks like this: