Demystifying Born’s rule

Under the many-worlds interpretation (MWI) of quantum physics, born probabilities are a bit mysterious and hard to deal with. How do you do Solomonoff induction when you keep splitting? There are ways to do this, but they end up equivalent to another interpretation of quantum mechanics that is much simpler than all that: the pilot wave theory. Not only does it include an interpretation of Born probabilities, but it becomes a consequence of statistical mechanics. We also do not need to adapt our epistemology to QM anymore, because the pilot wave theory is deterministic. All our uncertainty comes from initial conditions, just like in Newtonian physics. Much of the weirdness of QM just reduces to the weirdness of anthropics in general. The pilot wave theory is an interpretation, meaning choosing it is a philosophical choice instead of a scientific one.

The ontology includes two components: a wave function (like in many-worlds) and a certain configuration of particles. The configuration is called the “actual” configuration (although the wave function and this configuration are both necessary components). The wave function follows Schrödinger’s equation and the configuration follows the guiding equation.

Simulation of trajectories a photon can take in the double-slit experiment. (The large gaps on the right edge are the gaps in the interference pattern.)

So far, this might seem more complicated than MWI. MWI already has the wave function (it is the same wave function ins MWI and pilot wave), why bother with the “actual configuration”? But MWI also needs to postulate Born probabilities, and if you want to actually do inference you need to figure out how this interacts with embedded agency (good luck trying to figure out how embedded agency applies to Wigner’s friend in MWI). To actually interpret MWI, you end up needing to select a configuration to feed into your inference procedure, and this will be roughly as complicated as the pilot wave theory anyways, except you still needed to assume Born’s rule as an axiom. In the pilot wave theory, you just select observations from the “actual” configuration.

So how does Born’s rule get demystified? Well, given a small amount of uncertainty in the initial conditions, the ensemble quickly converges to be such that the configuration of particles is distributed according to Born’s rule applied to the wave function. This is called relaxation to equilibrium. So Born’s rule is a law in the same sense as the second law of thermodynamics. Also see the SEP entry.

Some other points:

  • Quantum immorality? Depends if you consider the copies of yourself in the wave function alive (biologically no but if you consider things isomorphic to alive things to be alive than yes). And if you’re a Platonist you still get hypothetical immortality, where you get to be alive in hypothetical scenarios. You can also consider multiple “actual configurations” that are compatible with the same wave function.

  • Collapse? If a subsystem obeys Born’s rule and does not interact with the environment, it will act like its own mini-universe. But if the environment observes information about the configuration of particles in the subsystem, we can no longer do this, requiring us to view it as part of the rest of the universe again. This is called decoherence, which when sharp enough is what we perceive as collapse (which is never perfect). For example, observing the photon in the double-slit experiment results in macroscopic differences in the wave function that prevents it from interfering with itself, which in turn means that the actual configuration of the photon follows a different trajectory. The part of the wave function that does not matches the actual wave function macroscopically has a negligible effect on the trajectory.

  • Although we have no way of testing this currently, there is a way that the pilot wave theory could diverge from QM empirically. If we could somehow learn more info about the configuration of particles than Born’s rule allows, this would have measurable effects. Or from the perspective of the pilot wave theory, Born’s rule is itself empirical (again in the same sense as the second law of thermodynamics).

  • Why isn’t it more popular? Well for physicists, the Copenhagen interpretation or MWI (depending on context) suffice. Copenhagen interpretation works well enough for experiments. MWI works fine if you are describing the universe as a whole (and do not care how your observations fit into it). Only if you need embedded agency does pilot wave theory become simpler than MWI. Physicists also do not like that pilot wave theory is non-local.

  • Is the pilot wave theory the best interpretation? I do not know. Randomly sampling from the ensemble in the ensemble interpretation also looks promising. Perhaps QBism as well? (See this table for other options.) The point of this post is to argue that pilot wave theory is sufficient to demystify born’s rule; I am not ruling out that there are even better interpretations. In particular, the fact that the two most popular interpretations can’t demystify Born’s rule is specific to those interpretations, not to QM.