The human population will be more than 8 billion, and the population of India will reach 1.5 billion. 90%
India’s GDP would rise up to 5 trillion dollars. 70%
India will cease to be a secular state, and communal violence will become more common. 50%
Russia’s GDP will be less than 2 trillion dollars. 60%
No human being would be living on another celestial object (Moon, another planet or asteroid). 80%
USA would have less than 1000 troops in Afghanistan. 80%
A new civil war or high-level insurgency will break out in Syria. 50%
Israel would not have vacated West Bank. 80%
There will be 3000+ active nuclear warheads. 90%
Average predicted year of arrival of AGI will be revised by +10 years at-least. 40%
At least 1 more genetically modified human will be born. 100%
There was the Project Nim Chimpsky. It is probably the one you are talking about.
There is the Quantum Russian roulette thought experiment. It was posted in LessWrong.
I have a view that would seem contrarian in this community.
SIAI shifted its focus from triggering an AI-based Singularity to doing ‘saferty’ research, because Yudkowsky understood that SIAI is no better off at building AGI than any other AI research organization. Actually, worse, because of low funding and at that time the sole full-time member.
That is partially true. The extensive atrocities carried ot by the Western Allies have not been given as much spotlight as the atrocities of the Axis and now the Soviets.
Then, what is your preferred ethical theory?
Can you explain your reasons + what that implies about the rest of the events that occured on 9/11.
You forgot to mention, perhaps your global warming denial.
Are you some far-left hippie?
So many downvotes? Care to explain?
Because of whatever parts I have read of an English translation of the Islamic scripture Quran, it seemed like ‘Mein Kampf’ means Quran and Nazi means ‘Muslim’.
Does the work of FHI come under Philosophy?
In one word : Bicameralism.
MIRI’s website mentions a list of their donors. However, the list does not mention Jeffrey Epstein. I found that name on a list of donors from 2011. Perhaps, the scandal or conviction of Jeffrey Epstein made MIRI remove his name.
Well an underlaying assumption is that the superintelligence knows about our existence. Incidentally, we have till now not recieved any radio signal from an alien entity, nor have we observed any kind of alien megastructure. For an alien superintelligence to be aware of our existence it would have to be in our cosmic neighbourhood. The second assumption is that it has some preference over the existence of life on Earth. That is not reasonable to assume. It might be possible that the superintelligence is a mute observer. For example, we can extend this theorem to some kind of a Divine Right of Royalty
Till this point, I have heard the idea of an ethics axiomatic system several times. But, no suggestion of what such axioms could be. Computer aided analysis in the sense of an automated theorem checker to search for contradictions in the system.
Quantum immortality can be easily adapted to the Tegmark multiverse idea. Turchin wrote an article naming the idea ‘Multiverse immortality’. His formulation is that : for every sequence with n observer movements, there shall be an observe moment n+1.
Essentially, your first suggestion is doing computer aided analysis on ethical theories, and proving theorems under them. Right?
Timeline of AI Alignment meetings
Beware, starting as an irrational socialist, one might end up as a far left Socialist for e.g. Maoism. (My experience)