Raised in the old guard, Chalmers doesn’t understand...
This amused me, given that in the 90s he was considered an outsider and an upstart, coming round here with his cognitive science, shaking things up. (” ‘The Conscious Mind’ is a stimulating, provocative and agenda-setting demolition-job on the ideology of scientific materialism. It is also an erudite, urbane and surprisingly readable plea for a non-reductive functionalist account of mind. It poses some formidable challenges to the tenets of mainstream materialism and its cognitivist offshoots” )
Not saying you’re wrong about him in that lecture. Maybe he has socialised and hardened as he gained standing. A funny cycle, in that case.
Data collector here. Strongly agree with your general point: most of these entries are extremely far from modern “clairvoyant” (cleanly resolving) forecasting questions.
Space travel. Disagree. In context he means mass space travel. The relevant lead-up is this:
Re: footnote 1. He was a dishonest bugger in his old age so I don’t doubt he would argue that.
Central piloting. Yep, you’re right. We caught this before, but changed it in the wrong branch of the data. Going to make it ‘ambiguous’; let me know if that seems wrong.
Commercial interplanetary travel. Disagree—“C.O.D.” is an old-timey word meaning something so normal and cheap that you don’t even need to pay for your ticket upfront—which implies that “you” is a consumer, not a government. (But again I see what you’re saying.)
DM me for your bounty ($10)! I’ve linked to your comment in the changelog. Thanks!