Thanks a lot for this! I used paper to elaborate on a math proof, and it was tremendously productive.
For more fact-based research, it was too slow for me. Instead, I’m completely enamoured with Roam.
Just added a post on it: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BHp82PvqCDayFpefg/implementing-an-idea-management-system
Martin here, the main author of the above. Thanks a ton for this!
If I understand your reply correctly, your conclusion is that epidemiologists should:
Discuss the mechanistic reasons re: the direction of IQ <-> Alcohol consumption and
Especially distrust mendelian randomization studies where (1.) isn’t strongly argued for, and which get really large estimates.
I think these are important points!
But given the very small effects estimated here, you aren’t arguing for a change to the interpretation of the studies in the post, right? :-)