Correct link: https://www.yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
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“L. The Simple Math of Evolution” seems like it shouldn’t be bold, but I don’t know how to fix this.
Newcomb’s Problem contains a capital N, and I feel sadness.
Disclaimer
I suppose it’s sort of a Disclaimer (you have not owned anything which is now SIAI), but Disclosure seems more accurate still.
Sam Synder
Should be Sam Snyder.
I would ask for a long time.
Reading would probably get boring after a few decades, but I think writing essays and programs and papers and books could last much longer. Meditation could also last long, because I’m bad at it.
<1000 years, though; I’d need to be relatively sure I wouldn’t commit suicide or fall down stairs.
we all know people who insist that they are ugly and stupid and unlikeable even though they don’t seem any worse off than anyone else.
All the examples Kahneman gives, I do not seem to substitute for the questions he lists (or worse ones), for even a moment.
This is the first time in a while I’ve felt immune to a cognitive bias.
What am I doing wrong? Does my introspection not go deep enough?
Maybe I really have read enough trick questions on the internet that I (what part of me?) immediately tries to tackle the hard problem (at least when reading a Less Wrong article which just told me exactly which mistake I’m expected to make).
I have an impression I’ve fallen for problems of this type before, when they were given for instrumental rather than epistemic reasons. But I can’t remember any examples, and I don’t know frequently it happens.
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Is there any reason for this?
Physics also tends toward very uninteresting things. This is for similar reasons, right?
Randomly adding / subtracting extra pieces to either rockets or cryptosystems is playing with the worst kind of fire, and will eventually get you hacked or exploded, respectively.
Haha.
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I seem very similar to you.
I always feel happy when I read alignment posts I don’t understand, for some reason.
And (10, 3) has top 3 tokens:
I think these are top 10 tokens.
What was this?