How is this different from just a regular imperative programming language with imperative assignment?
Causal models are just programs (with random inputs, and certain other restrictions if you want to be able to represent them as DAGs). The do() operator is just imperative assignment.
Here are directions: https://www.instructables.com/id/The-Pandemic-Ventilator/
I think the sorts of people I want to see this blog website will know what to do with the information on it.
Medical information on covid-19: https://emcrit.org/ibcc/covid19/
https://panvent.blogspot.com/ ← Spread this to your biomedical engineering friends, or any hobbyist who can build things. We need to ramp up ventilator capacity, now. Even if they are 80% as good as a high tech one, but cheap to make, they will save lives.
There’s a long history of designing and making devices like these for the Third World places that need them. We will need these soon, here and everywhere.
Some references to lesswrong, and value alignment there.
anyone going to the AAAI ethics/safety conf?
One of my favorite examples of a smart person being confused about something is ET Jaynes being confused about Bell inequalities.
Smart people are confused all the time, even (perhaps especially) in their area.
You are really confused about statistics and learning, and possibly also about formal languages in theoretical CS. I neither want nor have time to get into this with you, just wanted to point this out for your potential benefit.
http://callingbullshit.org/syllabus.html
(This is not “Yudkowskian Rationality” though.)
Dear Christian, please don’t pull rank on my behalf. I don’t think this is productive to do, and I don’t want to bring anyone else into this.
well, using philosophy i did that hard part and figured out which ones are good.
Who are you talking to? To the audience? To the fourth wall?
Surely not to me, I have no sway here.
Your sockpuppet: “There is a shortage of good philosophers.”
Me: “Here is a good philosophy book.”
You: “That’s not philosophy.”
Also you: “How is Ayn Rand so right about everything.”
Also you: “I don’t like mainstream stuff.”
Also you: “Have you heard that I exchanged some correspondence with DAVID DEUTSCH!?”
Also you: “What if you are, hypothetically, wrong? What if you are, hypothetically, wrong? What if you are, hypothetically, wrong?” x1000
Part of rationality is properly dealing with people-as-they-are. What your approach to spreading your good word among people-as-they-are led to is them laughing at you.
It is possible that they are laughing at you because they are some combination of stupid and insane. But then it’s on you to first issue a patch into their brain that will be accepted, such that they can parse your proselytizing, before proceeding to proselytize.
This is what Yudkowsky sort of tried to do.
How you read to me is a smart young adult who has the same problem Yudkowsky has (although Yudkowsky is not so young anymore) -- someone who has been the smartest person in the room for too long in their intellectual development, and lacks the sense of scale and context to see where he stands in the larger intellectual community.
Spirtes, Glymour, and Scheines, for starters. They have a nice book. There are other folks in that department who are working on converting mathematical foundations into an axiomatic system where proofs can be checked by a computer.
I am not going to do leg work for you, and your minions, however. You are the ones claiming there are no good philosophers. It’s your responsibility to read, and keep your mouth shut if you are not sure about something.
It’s not my responsibility to teach you.
I know lots of folks at CMU who are good.
Jerzy Neyman gets credit for lots of things, but in particular in my neck of the woods for inventing the potential outcome notation. This is the notation for “if the first object had not been, the second never had existed” in Hume’s definition of causation.
Oof.
Hi, Hume’s constant conjunction stuff I think has nothing to do with free lunch theorems in ML (?please correct me if I am missing something?), and has to do with defining causation, an issue Hume was worried about all his life (and ultimately solved, imo, via his counterfactual definition of causality that we all use today, by way of Neyman, Rubin, Pearl, etc.).
Sorry, did you say weird/esoteric technology?
https://www.destroyallsoftware.com/talks/wat
https://www.destroyallsoftware.com/talks/the-birth-and-death-of-javascript
http://www.mit.edu/~maxkw/pdfs/halpern2018towards.pdf