Dr_Manhattan

• Dr_ManhattanJul 16, 2019, 2:55 PM

  4 points

  on: In­tegrity and ac­countabil­ity are core parts of rationality

  A decent solution to the “who should you be accountable to”, from the wisdom of the ancients (shows thought on many of the considerations mentioned)

  When in doubt, remember Warren Buffett’s rule of thumb: “… I want employees to ask themselves whether they are willing to have any contemplated act appear the next day on the front page of their local paper—to be read by their spouses, children and friends—with the reporting done by an informed and critical reporter.”

• Dr_ManhattanJul 16, 2019, 2:17 PM

  2 points

  on: What are we pre­dict­ing for Neu­ral­ink event?

  (might contain spoilers/​private info) https://​​www.technologyreview.com/​​s/​​613961/​​elon-musks-brain-interface-company-is-promising-big-news-heres-what-it-could-be/​​

[Question] What are we pre­dict­ing for Neu­ral­ink event?

• Dr_ManhattanJul 10, 2019, 3:59 PM

  2 points

  in reply to: PeterMcCluskey’s comment on: Open Thread July 2019

  I think the Hypothesis is not about Open Threads specifically

• Dr_ManhattanJul 3, 2019, 8:55 PM

  3 points

  in reply to: Shmi’s comment on: What would be the signs of AI man­hat­tan pro­jects start­ing? Should a web­site be made watch­ing for these signs?

  Tracking employment/​location and publishing/​conference attendance records of researchers will probably be good source data for this.

• Dr_ManhattanJul 3, 2019, 8:53 PM

  10 points

  on: What was the offi­cial story for many top physi­cists con­gre­gat­ing in Los Alamos dur­ing the Man­hat­tan Pro­ject?

  I think it was easier in that era; AFAIK they used conventional secrecy methods (project names, locations, misdirection, need to know, obfuscation) to pull it off. Feynman’s “Surely you’re joking” and Rhodes “making the atomic bomb” are good sources for some examples (and otherwise recommended)

• Dr_ManhattanJul 1, 2019, 9:27 PM

  4 points

  on: Con­test: $1,000 for good ques­tions to ask to an Or­a­cle AI

  Small typo:

  Hence it has no motivation to manipulate[d] humans through its answer.

• Dr_ManhattanJun 27, 2019, 4:34 PM

  1 point

  on: What is the ev­i­dence for pro­duc­tivity benefits of weightlift­ing?

  IN MICE

• Dr_ManhattanJun 27, 2019, 12:34 PM

  6 points

  in reply to: Bound_up’s comment on: Jor­dan Peter­son on AI-FOOM

  I somewhat overlooked this line and yes, it’s a nod in the right direction

• Dr_ManhattanJun 26, 2019, 7:19 PM

  22 points

  in reply to: Vaniver’s comment on: Jor­dan Peter­son on AI-FOOM

  Based on the transcript this does not sound like a FOOM discussion (as in rapid self-improvement) other than mentioning “group learning” by autonomous cars, which is maybe somewhat related. Also the pregnancy ad story is much more about pattern recognition with lots of data than any serious AI.

  Basically JP is, in this area, a complete layman (unlike Gates, Musk, or, from the other side, Pinker) whose opinion counts for little and not talking about FOOM anyway.

• Dr_ManhattanJun 25, 2019, 12:32 PM

  23 points

  on: Be­ing the (Pareto) Best in the World

  Is this much different from Scott Adams’ advice https://​​dilbertblog.typepad.com/​​the_dilbert_blog/​​2007/​​07/​​career-advice.html

  of

  
  

  if you want something extraordinary, you have two paths:

  1. Become the best at one specific thing.
  2. Become very good (top 25%) at two or more things.

  ?

[Question] LW Dev ques­tion: FB-style tag­ging?

• Dr_ManhattanJun 20, 2019, 7:10 PM

  2 points

  in reply to: dxu’s comment on: Rea­son isn’t magic

  Do you mean Zvi’s “Change is bad”?

• Dr_ManhattanJun 19, 2019, 2:34 PM

  3 points

  on: Rea­son isn’t magic

  Second, we’re not actually comparing reason to tradition—we’re comparing changing things to not changing things. Change, as we know, is bad.

  Request for clarification: isn’t “reasonable solution” always a “change” when compared to preexisting tradition?

• Dr_ManhattanApr 23, 2019, 3:50 PM

  3 points

  in reply to: Said Achmiz’s comment on: Coun­ter­fac­tu­als about So­cial Media

  I get that my usage hurts indirectly, my question was specifically if everyone used FB occasionally and for similar purposes as I do, would FB still be detrimental? Harming other people because they have unhealthy patterns of usage is still a concern but a lesser one to me

• Dr_ManhattanApr 22, 2019, 6:15 PM

  10 points

  on: Coun­ter­fac­tu­als about So­cial Media

  I use FB occasionally to stay in touch with family/​friends.

  I subscribe to interesting people on Twitter and find it a great source of intellectual information.

  I know these are harmful to some people, and I’ve occasionally noticed addictive behavior in myself, but overall seems like a good trade. If someone wants to explain/​convince me that this is highly dangerous to me in a non-obvious way or that **my kind** of usage is endangering the commons I’m open to hear it.

• Dr_ManhattanApr 21, 2019, 11:56 AM

  2 points

  in reply to: Alexei’s comment on: Crypto quant trad­ing: Intro

  Are you working with Satvik? I know he was into this stuff.

• Dr_ManhattanApr 18, 2019, 5:31 PM

  5 points

  on: Crypto quant trad­ing: Intro

  I have 1 foot in finance, and still learning a lot. As it appears you self-taught this stuff, what were good resources for you?

• Dr_ManhattanApr 9, 2019, 1:14 PM

  5 points

  in reply to: PeterMcCluskey’s comment on: How do peo­ple be­come am­bi­tious?

  What is good literature on learned helplessness?

• Dr_ManhattanMar 29, 2019, 5:34 PM

  10 points

  in reply to: Solnassant’s comment on: What I’ve Learned From My Par­ents’ Ar­ranged Marriage

  The One is a myth.

  Yes, 100%. But really good chemistry comes in grades, in this case I feel really really good chemistry. There are probably partners “above the acceptable threshold” nearby, and if I date date long enough I might feel the same about someone else, but in this case LDR is a temporary inconvenience, I just want to make it work in LDR format until I feel good/​convinced enough to turn it into N(ear)DR, which is well in my power to do.