adam demirel(Adam Demirel)

Karma: 23

adam demirel 27 Feb 2019 10:26 UTC
1 point
in reply to: Bucky’s comment on: Where to find Base Rates?
Interesting. So let’s say you wanted to minimise your risks of CHD as the OP mentioned—you would just go here and find out the highest correlates and trust them enough to base your whole gamble on?

adam demirel 26 Feb 2019 20:48 UTC
4 points
in reply to: Dagon’s comment on: Where to find Base Rates?
I totally agree with you that the reference class problem is a real problem, but having access to a process for quickly finding accurate base rates is still a problem.

[Question] Where to find Base Rates?

adam demirel26 Feb 2019 10:44 UTC

14 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

adam demirel 20 Dec 2018 4:20 UTC
1 point
in reply to: ChristianKl’s comment on: Making sense of Vitamin D
Do you have any data on how long the conversion takes?

adam demirel 4 Dec 2018 3:31 UTC
1 point
in reply to: rayalez’s comment on: Making sense of Vitamin D
What time did you take it? D3 is a strong cellular modulator of our clock genes https://www.vitamindcouncil.org/new-research-finds-activated-vitamin-d-regulates-genes-involved-in-the-circadian-rhythm/

adam demirel 4 Dec 2018 3:28 UTC
8 points
in reply to: Ben Pace’s comment on: Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Interestingly, this fits with what Paul Graham replied to my email (about career advice) a while back:
I would choose whichever you find most interesting.
It’s more important that you be excited about what
you’re doing than which particular field you’re working in.
Just ask yourself what would be cool, in an ambitious
way, to know more about. --pg