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Stagnation

TagLast edit: 24 Dec 2021 2:27 UTC by Lost Futures

Quoting Jason Crawford’s Technological Stagnation: Why I came around:

Thiel, along with economists such as Tyler Cowen (The Great Stagnation) and Robert Gordon (The Rise and Fall of American Growth), promotes a “stagnation hypothesis”: that there has been a significant slowdown in scientific, technological, and economic progress in recent decades—say, for a round number, since about 1970, or the last ~50 years.

Eliezer has posted a short work of fiction on Reddit which explores related ideas.

Related Pages: Progress Studies, Bureaucracy, World Modeling

Tech­nolog­i­cal stag­na­tion: Why I came around

jasoncrawford23 Jan 2021 22:05 UTC
166 points
73 comments8 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

1960: The Year The Sin­gu­lar­ity Was Cancelled

Scott Alexander23 Apr 2019 1:30 UTC
96 points
15 comments11 min readLW link1 review
(slatestarcodex.com)

Progress, Stag­na­tion, & Collapse

abramdemski22 Jul 2021 16:51 UTC
38 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

Book Re­view: Sec­u­lar Cycles

Scott Alexander13 Aug 2019 4:10 UTC
62 points
11 comments16 min readLW link1 review
(slatestarcodex.com)

Death by Red Tape

abramdemski1 May 2021 18:03 UTC
38 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

Thiel on Progress and Stagnation

Richard_Ngo20 Jul 2020 20:27 UTC
168 points
36 comments11 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

How to end stag­na­tion?

jasoncrawford1 Mar 2021 19:42 UTC
34 points
35 comments4 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

How to an­a­lyze progress, stag­na­tion, and low-hang­ing fruit

jasoncrawford15 Jun 2020 21:02 UTC
42 points
9 comments4 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

More power to you

jasoncrawford15 Dec 2021 23:50 UTC
16 points
14 comments1 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Peter Thiel warns of up­com­ing (and cur­rent) stagnation

SilasBarta4 Oct 2011 17:30 UTC
36 points
121 comments2 min readLW link

Where is my Fly­ing Car?

PeterMcCluskey15 Oct 2018 18:39 UTC
52 points
10 comments17 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

A re­view of Where Is My Fly­ing Car? by J. Storrs Hall

jasoncrawford6 Nov 2020 20:01 UTC
101 points
21 comments11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Ex­po­nen­tial growth is the baseline

jasoncrawford22 Feb 2021 2:08 UTC
27 points
2 comments6 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Why haven’t we cel­e­brated any ma­jor achieve­ments lately?

jasoncrawford17 Aug 2020 20:34 UTC
188 points
71 comments12 min readLW link2 reviews
(rootsofprogress.org)

Is Science Slow­ing Down?

Scott Alexander27 Nov 2018 3:30 UTC
121 points
77 comments9 min readLW link1 review
(slatestarcodex.com)

Can growth con­tinue?

jasoncrawford27 May 2022 16:19 UTC
28 points
24 comments3 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Is growth lin­ear, not ex­po­nen­tial?

jasoncrawford20 Apr 2022 18:46 UTC
28 points
9 comments3 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)