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Stagnation

TagLast edit: 24 Dec 2021 2:27 UTC by Lost Futures

Quoting Jason Crawford’s Technological Stagnation: Why I came around:

Thiel, along with economists such as Tyler Cowen (The Great Stagnation) and Robert Gordon (The Rise and Fall of American Growth), promotes a “stagnation hypothesis”: that there has been a significant slowdown in scientific, technological, and economic progress in recent decades—say, for a round number, since about 1970, or the last ~50 years.

Eliezer has posted a short work of fiction on Reddit which explores related ideas.

Related Pages: Progress Studies, Bureaucracy, World Modeling

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How to an­a­lyze progress, stag­na­tion, and low-hang­ing fruit

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42 points
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Thiel on Progress and Stagnation

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173 points
32 comments11 min readLW link
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194 points
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103 points
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191 points
79 comments8 min readLW link1 review
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Ex­po­nen­tial growth is the baseline

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27 points
4 comments6 min readLW link
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How to end stag­na­tion?

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36 points
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Death by Red Tape

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38 points
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Progress, Stag­na­tion, & Collapse

abramdemski22 Jul 2021 16:51 UTC
38 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

More power to you

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16 points
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Is growth lin­ear, not ex­po­nen­tial?

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28 points
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Can growth con­tinue?

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“Hereti­cal Thoughts on AI” by Eli Dourado

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144 points
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Why Job Dis­place­ment Pre­dic­tions are Wrong: Ex­pla­na­tions of Cog­ni­tive Automation

Moritz Wallawitsch30 May 2023 20:43 UTC
−4 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

if you’re read­ing this it’s too late (a new the­ory on what is caus­ing the Great Stag­na­tion)

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On Es­cap­ing The Sta­tus Quo

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