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Selection Effects
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Old
Negative and Positive Selection
alyssavance
Jul 6, 2012, 1:34 AM
148
points
263
comments
3
min read
LW
link
Selection Has A Quality Ceiling
johnswentworth
Jun 2, 2021, 6:25 PM
147
points
18
comments
4
min read
LW
link
1
review
Selective processes bring tag-alongs (but not always!)
AnnaSalamon
Mar 11, 2009, 8:17 AM
39
points
5
comments
5
min read
LW
link
Epistemic Strategies of Selection Theorems
adamShimi
Oct 18, 2021, 8:57 AM
33
points
1
comment
12
min read
LW
link
Too good to be true
PhilGoetz
Jul 11, 2014, 8:16 PM
35
points
121
comments
4
min read
LW
link
Solving Two-Sided Adverse Selection with Prediction Market Matchmaking
Saul Munn
Nov 26, 2023, 8:10 PM
16
points
7
comments
4
min read
LW
link
(www.brasstacks.blog)
We are misaligned: the saddening idea that most of humanity doesn’t intrinsically care about x-risk, even on a personal level
Christopher King
May 19, 2023, 4:12 PM
3
points
5
comments
2
min read
LW
link
Toward a Broader Conception of Adverse Selection
Ricki Heicklen
Mar 14, 2024, 10:40 PM
177
points
61
comments
13
min read
LW
link
(bayesshammai.substack.com)
Evolution is an observation, not a process
Neil
Feb 6, 2024, 2:49 PM
8
points
11
comments
5
min read
LW
link
Against Job Boards: Human Capital and the Legibility Trap
vaishnav92
Oct 24, 2024, 8:50 PM
6
points
1
comment
5
min read
LW
link
Utility is not the selection target
tailcalled
Nov 4, 2023, 10:48 PM
24
points
1
comment
1
min read
LW
link
Examine your assumptions
Douglas_Reay
Mar 30, 2012, 11:28 AM
49
points
15
comments
2
min read
LW
link
Closed-ended questions aren’t as hard as you think
electroswing
Feb 19, 2025, 3:53 AM
6
points
0
comments
3
min read
LW
link
A Subtle Selection Effect in Overconfidence Studies
Kevin Dorst
Jul 3, 2023, 2:43 PM
24
points
0
comments
6
min read
LW
link
(kevindorst.substack.com)
Selection Effects in estimates of Global Catastrophic Risk
bentarm
Nov 4, 2011, 9:14 AM
32
points
62
comments
1
min read
LW
link
The Motivated Reasoning Critique of Effective Altruism
Linch
Sep 15, 2021, 1:43 AM
27
points
0
comments
23
min read
LW
link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)
The Popularization Bias
Wei Dai
Jul 17, 2009, 3:43 PM
30
points
54
comments
1
min read
LW
link
Evidential Decision Theory, Selection Bias, and Reference Classes
Qiaochu_Yuan
Jul 8, 2013, 5:16 AM
32
points
128
comments
6
min read
LW
link
What conclusions can be drawn from a single observation about wealth in tennis?
Trevor Cappallo
Dec 18, 2024, 9:55 AM
8
points
3
comments
2
min read
LW
link
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