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Selec­tion Effects

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Nega­tive and Pos­i­tive Selection

alyssavance6 Jul 2012 1:34 UTC
147 points
263 comments3 min readLW link

Selec­tive pro­cesses bring tag-alongs (but not always!)

AnnaSalamon11 Mar 2009 8:17 UTC
39 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

Epistemic Strate­gies of Selec­tion Theorems

adamShimi18 Oct 2021 8:57 UTC
33 points
1 comment12 min readLW link

Selec­tion Has A Qual­ity Ceiling

johnswentworth2 Jun 2021 18:25 UTC
144 points
18 comments4 min readLW link1 review

We are mis­al­igned: the sad­den­ing idea that most of hu­man­ity doesn’t in­trin­si­cally care about x-risk, even on a per­sonal level

Christopher King19 May 2023 16:12 UTC
3 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­am­ine your assumptions

Douglas_Reay30 Mar 2012 11:28 UTC
47 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

Evolu­tion is an ob­ser­va­tion, not a process

Neil 6 Feb 2024 14:49 UTC
7 points
11 comments5 min readLW link

A Sub­tle Selec­tion Effect in Over­con­fi­dence Studies

Kevin Dorst3 Jul 2023 14:43 UTC
24 points
0 comments6 min readLW link
(kevindorst.substack.com)

Ev­i­den­tial De­ci­sion The­ory, Selec­tion Bias, and Refer­ence Classes

Qiaochu_Yuan8 Jul 2013 5:16 UTC
32 points
128 comments6 min readLW link

Too good to be true

PhilGoetz11 Jul 2014 20:16 UTC
35 points
121 comments4 min readLW link

Selec­tion Effects in es­ti­mates of Global Catas­trophic Risk

bentarm4 Nov 2011 9:14 UTC
32 points
62 comments1 min readLW link

The Mo­ti­vated Rea­son­ing Cri­tique of Effec­tive Altruism

Linch15 Sep 2021 1:43 UTC
26 points
0 comments23 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

The Pop­u­lariza­tion Bias

Wei Dai17 Jul 2009 15:43 UTC
30 points
54 comments1 min readLW link

Toward a Broader Con­cep­tion of Ad­verse Selection

Ricki Heicklen14 Mar 2024 22:40 UTC
171 points
61 comments13 min readLW link
(bayesshammai.substack.com)

Utility is not the se­lec­tion target

tailcalled4 Nov 2023 22:48 UTC
24 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Solv­ing Two-Sided Ad­verse Selec­tion with Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket Matchmaking

Saul Munn26 Nov 2023 20:10 UTC
16 points
7 comments4 min readLW link
(www.brasstacks.blog)
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