Yeah I think if someone was truly evaluating projects on INT then this is a decent case for bumping T slightly. In fact, my guess is EAs are already overweighting T because people care about career capital and status. So correcting down on T would increase their impact.
Moreover, I don’t understand the impact case for individuals focusing on their own career capital versus something like “[people with my values] capital”. Like, it’s important for the EA/AIS community overall to have big legible wins, but maybe this implies individual EAs should be focused on the 1-10% range.
One problem is that (from my outsider view) one major way people become more impactful is by working on less tractable but higher impact and neglectedness stuff! Earlier work may be more biased towards tractability: you aren’t confident in your own abilities, aren’t already established and so need more career capital, and typically they look more legibly good.
I’m not saying skewing towards career capital should be entirely off-limits, but given the way biases work one should be wary
Meanwhile on the EA Forum...
How dare you perceive me.
“Replaceable, wishes he wasn’t” vs “irreplaceable, wishes he wasn’t” 🙇♂️
I used to believe something like this but alas timelines are too short.
Yeah I think if someone was truly evaluating projects on INT then this is a decent case for bumping T slightly. In fact, my guess is EAs are already overweighting T because people care about career capital and status. So correcting down on T would increase their impact.
Moreover, I don’t understand the impact case for individuals focusing on their own career capital versus something like “[people with my values] capital”. Like, it’s important for the EA/AIS community overall to have big legible wins, but maybe this implies individual EAs should be focused on the 1-10% range.
One problem is that (from my outsider view) one major way people become more impactful is by working on less tractable but higher impact and neglectedness stuff! Earlier work may be more biased towards tractability: you aren’t confident in your own abilities, aren’t already established and so need more career capital, and typically they look more legibly good.
I’m not saying skewing towards career capital should be entirely off-limits, but given the way biases work one should be wary
Jam tomorrow when there may be no tomorrow.