# AI Alignment Writing Day Roundup #1

Here are some of the posts from last week’s writing day. Due to the participants writing 34 posts in less than 24 hours (!), I’m re-airing them to let people have a proper chance to read (and comment) on them, in roughly chronological order.

**1) Markets are Universal for Logical Induction ***by John Swentworth*

A discussion and proof of the following.

We want to show that any possible logical inductor can be represented by a market of traders—i.e. there is some market of traders which produces exactly the same prices.

**2) Intentional Bucket Errors ***by Scott Garrabrant*

Bucket errors are normally thought of as a bad thing. It has “errors” right in the name. However, I want to argue that bucket errors can sometimes be useful, and you might want to consider having some bucket errors on purpose.

**3) Logical Counterfactuals and Proposition graphs, Part 1 ***by Donald Hobson*

Within this sequence of posts I will outline a procedure for logical counterfactuals based on something similar to proof length. In this post I present a reimagining of propositional logic in which proving a theorem is taking a walk around a graph of equivalent proposititions.

The post shows two intuitive models of proving propositional logic:

...a directed acyclic graph, as shown above. Under this interpretation, all we have to do is test node identity.

and another graph where:

...all statements that are provably equivalent in propositional logic will be within the same connected component of the graph. All statements that can’t be proved equivalent are in different components, with no path between them.

Finding a mathematical proof becomes an exercise in navigating an infinite maze.

**4) Why so much variance in human intelligence? ***by me*

In this question I ask a rambling question about why the difference between peak and median human performance is so much larger than for other species, and Vaniver and Carl Shulman give some fascinating answers.

Another example of Intentional Bucket Error: List of Problems That Motivated UDT.

Can someone please edit the original posts to point here, so future readers can find the additional comments?

Good point, I’ll do that.

I’d lean towards just encouraging people to comment on the original post (although if there end up being any significant number of comments here I agree with your suggestion)

I don’t know much about first order logic—can someone who does tell me whether the two intuitive models in the post on Propositional Graphs are standard or not, and if not why one might want to use them?

The proposition graph is non standard as far as I know. The syntax tree is kind of standard, but a bit unusual. You might want to use them if I show how to use them for logical counterfactuals. (Which I haven’t finished yet)

Thanks!

You know it’s “John S. Wentworth”, not “Swentworth”, right?

I’d bet $5 this was intentional.

Planning of vengeance continues apace, either way.

This is my favorite comment. Thank you.

Vengeance will be required, as Raemon would’ve had your five dollars Mr. Swentworth.