Causal In­fer­ence Se­quence Part II: Graph­i­cal Models

Meetup : Fifth Buenos Aires LessWrong meetup

LINK-Robot apoc­a­lypse taken (some­what) seriously

Knigh­tian Uncer­tainty: Bayesian Agents and the MMEU rule

Open thread, Au­gust 4 − 10, 2014

Ra­tion­al­ity Quotes Au­gust 2014

Meetup : At­lanta—Fil­ter­ing Ideas

Meetup : Frank­furt Open Mic (Think­ing Fast and Slow, Hap­piness and Money,...)

MIRI 2014 Sum­mer Match­ing Challenge and one-off op­por­tu­nity to donate *for free*

Brag­ging Thread, Au­gust 2014

Meetup : Syd­ney Meetup—August

Me and M&Ms

Meetup : Bratislava

Meetup : Helsinki Book Blan­ket Meetup

Meetup : Perth, Aus­tralia: Sun­day lunch

Maybe we’re not doomed

Meetup : Moscow meet up

Model of un­los­ing agents

In­tu­itions and utilitarianism

Why the tails come apart

Group Ra­tion­al­ity Diary, Au­gust 1-15

Au­gust 2014 Me­dia Thread

Pre­dic­tion of the Internet

New LW Meetup: Perth

Sav­ing the World—Progress Report

Meetup : Lon­don—In­dex Funds and Other Fun Stuff

Con­nec­tion The­ory Has Less Than No Evidence

[link] Why Psy­chol­o­gists’ Food Fight Matters

Meetup : Can­berra: Effec­tive Altruism

Alter­na­tive to Cam­paign Fi­nance Re­form?

An­nounc­ing the 2014 pro­gram equil­ibrium iter­ated PD tournament

Meetup : West LA—Be­hold Moloch! Be­ware of Moloch!

Causal In­fer­ence Se­quence Part 1: Ba­sic Ter­minol­ogy and the As­sump­tions of Causal Inference

Se­quence An­nounce­ment: Ap­plied Causal Inference

Con­ti­nu­ity ax­iom of vNM

How to treat prob­lems of un­known difficulty

Gam­ing Democracy

Meetup : Perth, Aus­tralia: In­tro­duc­ing Less Wrong

Ten­ta­tive tips for peo­ple en­gaged in an ex­er­cise that in­volves some form of pre­dic­tion or forecasting

Med­i­ta­tions On Moloch

Fac­ing the In­tel­li­gence Explosion

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton DC: En­core (or Goal Fac­tor­ing)

Open thread, July 28 - Au­gust 3, 2014

Ex­pected util­ity, un­los­ing agents, and Pas­cal’s mugging

“All nat­u­ral food” as an con­strained op­ti­mi­sa­tion problem

Meetup : Ra­tion­al­ity Dojo—Aversions

Re­minders with­out times

“And that’s okay”: ac­cept­ing and own­ing reality

De­ci­sion The­ory: Value in Time

Meetup : Salt Lake, UT: Light­ning Talks