I took the survey. I did Political Compass for the first time, and I found its questions and results rather baffling. Political Compass themselves admit it is culturally biased and mainly for western democracies.
sanxiyn
I interpreted that question as “in your lifetime”.
I interpreted the question as pre-tax, individual income.
There is a useful distinction to be made between someone starting out at 0 karma or just breaking even and someone running a negative score.
There is, but my point was that you can’t make this useful distinction usefully.
This came up on #lesswrong IRC channel, it was not a hypothetical future problem at all.
Yes, I was planning on implementing, testing, submitting the fix myself.
You missed lalxu daplu.
Especially in Go, I think this handicap system is under-used—in my opinion, it changes the game less than giving the weaker player handicap stones on the board at the start.
I think “the character of a game” preserved by existing handicap systems of Go/Chess/Shogi (handicap stones and piece odds) is the evaluation function from board position to winning probability. That is, you use the same evaluation function to decide whether you are winning or losing given board position.
With point odds in Go you are suggesting, you can be winning while board position is losing. If evaluation function returns point difference you can do the adjustment, but I think evaluation function return type is closer to winning probability in practice.
Google had trillion parameter model in fall 2020.
That’s new to me. Any citation for this?
Better citation for Chinese 245B model here: Yuan 1.0: Large-Scale Pre-trained Language Model in Zero-Shot and Few-Shot Learning.
Re: serial interval. This doesn’t seem published anywhere yet, even in preprint form, but Korean CDC daily briefing 2021-12-13 already announced shorter serial interval. Their estimate is 2.8~3.4 days. Their sample is larger than Norway, n=123.
https://www.kdca.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a20501010000&bid=0015&list_no=717925&act=view
It’s the fifth section titled Epidemiological Characteristics of Omicron Variant-related Cases.
And can you honestly claim that any of the FDA, the CDC, the WHO, or your state government actually deserve our deference and respect at this point?
I can honestly claim South Korean CDC showed itself to be worthy of respect in every way. South Korean government less so, but on the net, its work was positive.
The post suggests two: sanctions should have been precommitted to have any deterrence effect (this seems obviously true), and sanctions should have a clear stop condition to encourage de-escalation.
I support lifting SWIFT sanctions immediately if Russia reverts to status quo ante bellum (that is, Crimea is still annexed and Donbas is under Minsk agreements), but if that is not politically feasible, any stop condition would be better than the current situation. For example, a stop condition could be territorial integrity of Ukraine as of Budapest memorandum, that is, returning Crimea and Donbas to Ukraine control.
“Sanctions must have specific offramps” is an argument against sanctions without them. It is unrelated to whether a war of aggression was initiated. Yes Putin is not stupid and subtext may be obvious, but I still support making subtext manifest.
It is legitimate to worry sanctions will continue. For example, sanctions against Iran in fact had a clear stop condition. IAEA will do verification and sanctions will be lifted. IAEA did verification in 2018. Four years have passed, and sanctions against Iran are continuing.
Disagree. I am generally against tone policing, and encouraging public registered predictions is so worthwhile that some disadvantages can be overcome.
It’s a new account. I think suspicion is somewhat justified.
“Do nothing” is an alternative. It is in fact an alternative chosen by China for example.
Russia seems willing to sell gas and oil and I don’t see why that would change, so I am not worried.
I don’t eat much wheat although I do worry about substitution effect of wheat and rice.
Apparently short covering is going on in nickel market.
Hi, from Korea.