Data scientist at MIRI
Robi Rahman
Karma: 162
In case you haven’t seen,
https://epoch.ai/blog/could-decentralized-training-solve-ais-power-problem
This turned out to be totally wrong. I wish it had been true.
This is wrong in various ways. For example, it’s not strictly worse for liberals if Bob’s RNG makes him play a fascist policy. If he played a liberal policy, liberals have no information about whether 0, 1, or 2 of Alice and Bob are fascists, whereas if he played a fascist policy, liberals know 1 or 2 of Alice and Bob are fascists.
Catching illicit distributed training operations during an AI pause
Manhattan, USA—ACX Spring Schelling 2026
Announcing: MIRI Technical Governance Team Research Fellowship
Would ASI development in non-party states undermine a nonproliferation agreement?
No, (at least for men) it takes much longer than 10 months to make a kid in a way that’s worth doing. You have to find a partner willing to do it with you, which takes an unpredictable amount of time. (I guess if you’re rich you can hire an egg donor and a surrogate.)
Manhattan – ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2025
Related: youtuber becomes the world’s richest person by making a fictional company with 10B shares and selling one share for 50 GBP
Manhattan USA—ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2024
Data on AI
Manhattan – ACX Meetups Everywhere Spring 2024
I think the “Successful Treaty” and “Terrorists” scenarios are impossible as written.
There’s too much economic incentive to create AGI. With algorithmic and hardware progress, eventually it will become possible to make an AGI with slightly more computing hardware than a gaming laptop, and then it’ll be impossible to stop everyone from doing it.
Correction: AlphaStar used 6*10^22 FLOP, not 2*10^23. You have mixed up TPU chips and TPU boards.
Announcing Epoch’s newly expanded Parameters, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning database
What does McDonald’s sell in France?
Manhattan, New York, USA – ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023
Ingenuous was my first thought too, but it doesn’t have the meaning I think you intended. Perhaps disingenuous?
Careful not to learn the wrong lesson from this post. Voting really is useless in 99% of races. This one is different: it’s an open seat because the incumbent retired, and there was no one with even double-digit support until relatively late in the cycle. Also there’s a huge difference in the candidates in their effects on x-risk.
Most likely, local elections in Korea don’t matter and it’s probably not worth your time to vote unless you have nothing productive to do.