JenniferRM

• JenniferRM 7 Sep 2025 1:16 UTC

  1 point

  0

  on: The Cats are On To Something

  The last four paragraphs lack a period.

  no i won’t get tested for toxoplasmosis why would you

  Making a joke like this is exactly what someone with toxoplasmosis would do to deflect scrutiny away from their blatant pro-cat propaganda with humor and this should not be allowed! You MUST be tested now

A Snip­pet On Egre­gores, In­stincts, And Institutions

• JenniferRM 5 Aug 2025 17:15 UTC

  3 points

  0

  in reply to: philh’s comment on: HPMOR: The (Prob­a­bly) Un­told Lore

  The way I read it:

  “✅” is “this is a viewpoint character because they are interesting and their mental state is consistent with the Authors intended sequence of Reader revelations”.

  “(✅)” is “this person isn’t interesting enough, in their mental states, choices, or whatever, for the juice to be worth the squeeze of describing their minds in detail over time”.

  “((✅))” is “this person’s mental state contains spoilers, that, if leaked to the Reader, would ruin the Author’s plan for what is supposed to be a mystery, and hard to understand, vs not (probably because some more interesting viewpoint character’s lack knowledge of the mental state of the villain or whoever is actually plot critical such that the plot would just be totally over if a viewpoint character was telepathic)”.

  I think your comment fixed the chart, and now it shows ((Dumbledore)) and ((Quirrel)) and I feel like this is better than before :-)

  Also, I think it is kinda interesting to try to map this framework farther out, to Mysteries, or to the Romance genre (especially love triangles?) because it probably needs more levels than these three (or maybe three levels, but make it a vector of them, that do “this, but in different dimensions of knowledge the viewpoint character can, themselves, understand”?) in a super critical way?

  Like something about “each character’s own interiority and self understanding” can’t be breached (differently for each character?) in some genres because in many a Romance too much (mutual?) clarity about how and why each person would react to different possible world’s they might be in, or might actualize with their choices… would mess up the Story. (This is also a sort of useful frame for Planecrash, which is a Romance of a sort.)

  You could still have interesting art… if you mess up the Story too much with super high levels of insight, but then the Story won’t be inside genre conventions that tend to ensure the reader gets the payoff they expected to get, from reading something implying that it is in a certain genre. (Playing with this too much gets into accusations of unethical marketing.)

  At the character level, in some sense, every personality disorder is a way of being avowedly oblivious to something important about the normal human experience, and each such obliviousness would make it harder for a character with that personality disorder to really deserve a “✅” with no parentheses at all… except you totally can do that!

  Like in Herbert’s Dune, a way to describe part of how weird it is might be that sociopathy is normal to the Author’s “omniscient” viewpoint, and so sociopaths who wouldn’t normally be more than a two bit villain or side character in a character story get viewpoint attention?? And the Author doesn’t comment on it or lampshade it or anything. And in Bushnell’s Trading Up, I think Bushnell was quite purposeful in making narcissism normal to the Author’s “omniscient” viewpoint, and there’s supposed to be no viewpoint in that story to deeply admire, and its a sort of “tragedy about trashy fun” on many levels. If you empathize too much it is a deep tragedy, but if you don’t, you can “hate read it”. Or whatever.

  You might call books where the viewpoint characters are almost intolerably oblivious to themselves “cringe literature” similar to “cringe comedy” like the first season (but not the third and later seasons) of Parks & Recs?

  In lots of Romance (or Romance adjacent) stuff I just don’t vibe with it because it is too cringe-to-me… either the writer is really The Author and its embarrassing to see into the writer like that, or else the writer is pandering to their Reader or… anyway… its not “on purpose (in a way I like)”.

  But, by contrast, I thought Bushnell was probably doing something weird on purpose, that was sort of pandering to some readers, but also saying something to some of those readers that they might not even notice that they could usefully learn, and I got artistic payoffs from reading something so spiritually alien, and yet so grounded in almost-plausibly-real ways for some women in NYC to be, and also so detailed.

  Anyway. I guess I’m trying to say that I think inventing ontologies for “how much insight is communicated about someone’s viewpoint” is interesting.

  And such ontologies can also slightly be applied to the Narrator, and the Expected Reader, and the Author (if different from the Narrator), and a possibly distinct writer sitting in their office, with bills to pay, and limited spoons, and aspirations to be seen by many as an Author whose Art echos in artistic history in ways they would like, and so on.

  Like with HP:MoR, a lot of plot lines could be ruled out by thinking “if X happened it would be a story about Y, and a story about Y would have result Z on the Singularitarian/​Rationality movement, and Eliezer doesn’t want a future like Z, so X won’t happen”.

  I don’t know of any fiction by anyone except Eliezer where precisely this filter will predict a lot about what happens in the story… but also… that’s a large part of why I read it <3

  Why does nobody ever ask about the Project Lawful /​ Planecrash epilogue? I still have to finish that one too!

  What I’m looking forward to there is the Light Novel or Manga version, with tightened pacing and so on, that is setting up an Anime that will get dubs/​subs in Japanese and Chinese and Korean and so on. (Or something similarly insanely full of chutzpah that could also actually work.)

  Also, a re-formatting and re-editing would let me actually recommend it to other people, which I can’t do now because they bounce off of the glowfic formatting.

  But then also… that story is about “corrigibility”… which is a research field that makes me un-utterably sad.

  I would prefer the editing to just offer a full on “weird kind of sequel” that is ANOTHER MUCH LATER PLAY THROUGH by the player of the game, where the player of the game has learned a lot about “corrigibility” from seeing past versions of the game, and can score a lot more points against the mere god-character of a concept as half-assed as “corrigibility” ;-)

  Stuff like this (aiming for TV on purpose, fixing some of the alignment-theoretic understructure, improving the marketability) could actually resonate in History in a way that moves the needle on the Singularity… which is the standard I usually hold Eliezer’s writing to because I think he, himself, tries to hold himself to that standard ;-)

  An Epilogue #3 that came out in a way, and with the right timing, to build interest in such a Sequel would be great. Then again, maybe actual real world international politics is more pressing, because of p-doom and timelines and an imminent WW3 and so on?

• JenniferRM 4 Aug 2025 19:29 UTC

  3 points

  0

  on: HPMOR: The (Prob­a­bly) Un­told Lore

  Neat! This part of it helped me get a better model of Eliezer’s model of the lowest levels of subjectively accessible and controllable thinking!

  There’s that stuff in the middle of the 30ms to 300,000ms zone where a thought that takes 4 seconds to happen (and which necessarily must have some underlying neurological basis) can sometimes need 4 minutes to explain to a third party… or can’t be transmitted that fast. Or can be explained but not turned into something they could repeat in 4 seconds on their own… or whatever.

  Harry’s dark side, as I model it, is not actually supernatural. It is a bunch of stuff that got written into his brain and then erased by childhood amnesia. So he’s got a bunch of habits that chain into each other.

  (I parenthetically mention that one of my deflationary hypotheses for why people say they get new thoughts when they’re on drugs, is just that some drugs, like psychedelics, disrupt patterned chains of thought. Normally whenever we think thought X, we then go on to think thoughts Y and Z in a familiar pattern. But taking psychedelics is one way to disrupt those patterns and think new thoughts instead. The deflationary hypothesis is that any kind of mental disruption would do it, that the results are not specific to the drug; you’d need to demonstrate some tighter correlation to get past the deflationary hypothesis for that drug.)

  I don’t have a really strong mechanistic idea about habits, but I try to use the word “habit” in a way that is consistent with what I think I know about the basal ganglia… which controls gross motor stuff, emotion, and cognition, and is sufficient to let a de-corticated rabbit stay alive and sort of eat food (but is probably not sufficient to keep a de-corticated human alive, because (insofar as ethical experiments have been possible) it is probably the case that we and chimps and some other higher mammals are way way more “essentially corticated” than the little simple ones).

  I had never previously focused on these ideas (habits vs 5-second-level) at the same time, but… it does seem like “sub five second” stuff probably sometimes involves intuitive deployment of valid reasoning leaps (like from mathematics) and this MIGHT actually be simply “based in habit”!?

  In “Distinct Contributions of the Cerebellum and Basal Ganglia to Arithmetic Procedures” it looks like maybe reliable iteration (ie “counting”) leans harder on the cerebellum (as if counting was a fine motor skill) and “operational chaining” (like maybe a goto statement in a slightly conscious but still quite low level mental algorithm) leans harder on the basal ganglia, as if long division was the application of a looping habit?

  So. Yeah. Maybe “sub five second stuff” just literally IS the application of acquired mental habits that are useful!?

  At least this round of falsification pursuit didn’t rule out the hypothesis.

  What I was expecting, naively, right after reading Eliezer’s theory, is that sub five second stuff is more “Hebbian, and neurological, in general” than “habitual (and based on the basal ganglia) as such”… which still might be true, but I’m less confident now.

  Maybe 3 second rationality skills ARE just “all in fine motor skills and habits, possible directed inwardly, like in kinesthetic imagination”???

  Regarding the larger set of data Eliezer talked about, from having tried a hallucinogen once (to gather subjective metaphysical data to see if “reality was really reality” when I was young and foolish)… it very much did NOT seem like the effects were localized to the basal ganglia or the cerebellum.

  There was a lot of super low level visual cortex involvement, with things down in the Brodmann Areas 18 and maybe 17 and 19 (and maybe everywhere in the entire cortex?) involved as if “opponent process” processes for things like “motion vs not-motion”, and so on, were falling in and out of calibration.

  As subjective data about subjectivity itself (like for trying to figure trying to figure out if Solipsism is true, or whether maybe there is only me plus some Cartesian Demon that is fucking with a hypothetical disembodied mind that is me, with all of external reality as an illusion), hallucinogens did just totally destroy the simple naive hypothesis that “cogito-ergo-sum-style subjective awareness” is independent (not caused by?) what happens in the brain’s firings...

  ...”the brain” just obviously does cause “the subjective mind”, it turns out...

  ...unless the Demon’s powers extend to inventing a complex theory of neurology, and taking into account what hallucinogens would hypothetically do to a hypothetically incarnated mind, and then the Demon fed plausible lies along these lines into some hypothetically “metaphysically disembodied awareness” that was me… lol!

  ((You can’ always generate “an even more paranoid hypothesis”… its just that such hypotheses almost always become negligible under pragmatic anti-paranoid normalization <3))

  Anyway. I’m not sure how the idea that “3 second level stuff maybe only happens in the cerebellum and basal ganglia” could be behaviorally applied, to get profits in some way, such as to know the VoI on ruling hypotheses of that class in or out...

  But that was a cool part of the interview. Thank you! <3

• JenniferRM 4 Aug 2025 13:41 UTC

  2 points

  0

  in reply to: Screwtape’s comment on: The Dark Arts As A Scaf­fold­ing Skill For Rationality

  Huh. I feel like this could be a whole subreddit or wiki on its own? So open ended! Its not like there’s a uniquely correct response to it.

  For myself, lately, the thing I’ve gotten the most mileage out of is “p-beauty contest played by, 2, 3, 4, or maybe 5 players”.

  In a two player game, you simply bid zero if you can do math and want to win.

  That’s all there is to it.

  But it turns out a lot of kinda smart people need that math lesson!

  Once you have three players who have all had that math lesson… then it gets interesting because it turns out a LOT of people hate the idea of generating a real “common knowledge certificate of mutual awareness of mathematical rationality recognizing mutual awareness of mathematical rationality”… or something?

  So people will throw games! Or wax philosophical about their objections for 30 minutes before playing… or all kinds of stuff.

  In my entire life, I have only seen “four humans all bid zero in the very first round” once.

• JenniferRM 3 Aug 2025 20:27 UTC

  2 points

  0

  in reply to: Screwtape’s comment on: The Dark Arts As A Scaf­fold­ing Skill For Rationality

  “Com judges” might not exist any more (or might be called something different)?

  I think the current meta focuses on “K” vs “not-K”? (Roughly, the “K” people only want to debate philosophy, and they sort of abuse the Policy Debate platform (using the logic of policy debate) to try to undermine doing policy debate within a Policy Debate tournament because maybe “better policy outcomes” would happen “in real life” if people stopped having policy debates and debated philosophy instead.)

  Coms judges probably do exist, but maybe not “by that name” anymore because they are somewhat timeless? They come in two archetypal flavors:

  (1) the default you’d expect of a private school PMC (Professional /​ Managerial Class) parents who volunteer to judge when their kid’s coach asks for parent volunteers to enable the coach to run a tournament, where those parents will act and judge like normies, and will predictably reward “the appearance of articulate prestige” in terms of PMC cultural standards and...

  (2) church lady debate coaches who think the naive reactions of those PMC parents are essentially correct and timeless and wants to consciously “teach to that test”, and who also personally “judge to the theory that teaches to that test” when they are judging… in a high church way that connects back to latin phrases like “post hoc ergo prompter hoc” and “status quo” and and “ad hominum” and certain ways of organizing policy proposals based on “prima facie stock issues” of some kind (the lynchpin of all of them being the stock issue of “Solvency” where the plan had better at least pretend to be positively likely to positively work to fix some problem, and the AFF has to prove this or else they are a bad AFF). Some of them get very defensive, and sort of refuse to flow, and will pantomime “ripping up the ballot” if a debater starts to talk really fast.

  Sankar’s comment is indicative of the lay public’s attitude, that church lady com judges respect.

  If you watch some modern competive debate, you might have a better understanding of why it’s disliked. The Cross Examination Debate Association’s National Championship is the most prestigious of the US college debate tournaments, and the 2014 finals was widely circulated as an illustrative example of the current style.

  ((

  Arguably, however, the NDT year end tournament of the merged CEDA/​NDT circuit system is more prestigious that the CEDA year end tournament? And former NDT regional circuits tend to be in the South, and are more rhetorically traditional, and less “post-modern” (which some peopledislike for separate reasons). The distinction here isn’t about flow vs not-flow, or stock-issues vs not-stock-issues, but rather K (post modern? philosophic? anarchist? woke?) vs not-K (modernist? policy-centric? archist? conservative?).

  ))

  Flow Judges… flow!

  And rely on it heavily to decide their ballot. (There are subtypes. I will not enumerate them <3)

  Here is an example image (sauce here) of a flow for ONE (or two???) position(s) (maybe an entire case?!), that was discussed substantively by skillfully-intellectually-organized speakers all of whom remembered and addressed each other’s previous points coherently in a skillful way, to make flowing easy (often maybe using verbally numbered arguments based on everyone taking similar notes in similar ways), in seven sequential speeches (which we know, because there are seven columns):

  

  We have sub-issues going horizontally across the page.

  Interpreting this a bit… “H” with a circle at the top left in black ink probably stands for “Harms”, which often shows up in the first affirmative constructive (1AC) proving the stock issue of “Harms”. Something has to be wrong with the status quo. If the status quo ain’t broke, it shouldn’t be fixed. The AFF has to make people want change before they propose change. All of this is latent in “H” in a circle… and it has something to do with something being “untraceable”. Everyone heard this in the round of course. That’s why they can get away with so much shorthand. They might have a whole logic loop in working or audio memory and be able to know what is being talked about if someone says “on the traceability argument in Harms, our response to their response saying <blah blah> is… NEW X”.

  Whatever the arguments are, it involved a cited substantive claim, published in 2010, by “Bachi” (whoever that is).

  ((Google scholar offers no insight when I search for something, fwiw. This is bad. A KEY FUNCTION of these notes should be to enable people to do opposition research on key ideas “out in the literature” and get a better picture of reality thereby, and win debates about reality thereby. You want to be able to aumantically hear an argument, and come back later at a new tournament magically knowing the backstory of what was claimed as a posterior, and via scholarship, this can happen! The citation and keywords, for later research, are like the NUMBER ONE THING at least one of the two people on your two person team should be capturing.)

  Back in the image, where is says “Brower ’08” that means someone with the last name of Brower was quoted ver batim based on something published in 2008. The substance of what was said is going to be in everyone’s working memory, but the gist of it is “The economy going down somehow causes something to do with satellites” which we get from “econ V → satellite”.

  The red ink is almost certainly the negative rebuttals, which attacked various subarguments line by line with the first such speech not “reasoning” that much, but mostly just reading four pieces of (probably case specific) counter-evidence. (When that happens to you, as the AFF, your stomach often sinks, because you might drop an AFF round, even though you picked the ground upon which to fight, which is a huge advantage.)

  The blue and black ink are probably all affirmative speeches. The blue was likely written very fast, in the middle of the round, while speeches were happening.

  The black ink was probably “pre-flowed” and written in advance of the round by the affirmative team, to save time, so as not to waste seconds during the round by taking notes on a set speech they already optimized the shit out of (and might know by heart).

  This might be a sloppy/​weird flow? It has the flavor of something fake.

  Normally you’d put each issue on its own piece of paper or file, or tab in your spreadsheet on a laptop, because you don’t know how much it might explode. This is “less real”. Good for pedagogy maybe?

  See the “2 Blackouts ’10” in black ink near the bottom?

  To the right of that is an “S” with a circle in red ink, which usually means “Solvency” which is a common stock issue that is different from “Harms” (and should be on different paper??). Also, on the far left in the same row there’s red ink that simply says “no solvency” which suggests that the entire horizontal sequence of debate is “about Solvency”… and if this is true then it suggests that the negative had the last word on the subject (and the affirmative might have dropped it)!

  If the affirmative really did drop Solvency, then they basically lost the debate.

  Therefore a flow judge would probably give the ballot to the negative (unless some other piece of paper also exists, about what standards to use for a ballet, and somehow that debate resolved in “Solvency doesn’t matter anymore for <reasons>”). A Flow Judge would give NEG the ballot even if the flow judge was a flat earther who doesn’t believe in satellites but does believe aliens will rapture us all before anything being talked about in the round actually ever happened… you can be a Flow Judge AND be crazy… but being a flow judge immunizes you some from having wrong beliefs so long as you track syntax and are in a half-honest environment ;-)

  So we see here, from the example flow: NEG probably won in some “objective” sense.

  And a flow judge would notice and give NEG the ballot?

  And this is why debaters often prefer to be judged by flow judges… it puts the speakers legibly and clearly in control of their own destiny within a round, tightening the OODA loop and the lessons it can teach :-)

• JenniferRM 3 Aug 2025 18:47 UTC

  12 points

  0

  in reply to: Screwtape’s comment on: The Dark Arts As A Scaf­fold­ing Skill For Rationality

  Yeah, so there are quite a few different formats (I won’t even mention all of them below) and they can evolve, and they work somewhat differently here, and “being honest in your advocacy” comes up in the debates themselves quite often (but the other side is, sort of necessarily, also argued whenever the debate “goes meta about debate itself” like that).

  I. “SPAR”

  In High School (when I was competing in individuals events for the team I eventually returned to and coached) there was one tournament every year that had a “SPontaneous ARgument” competition.

  That tournament was the best, and lots of us loved to SPAR, and that was just like the thing you’re imagining.

  You don’t even know what the question will be. Its usually something trivial like “Peanut better is objectively better than jelly” but it could be “Invading Iraq was a mistake” or whatever.

  If both people agree on who wants to be pro/​con they can, otherwise its a coin flip.

  Amateur parent volunteer judges with no rhetorical training then judge on… random criteria?

  It is, to serious undergraduate NDT tournament at a national Finals, what your first day at an improv class is to starring in Hamlet.

  II. RESOLUTIONS SELECTED BY A NATIONAL COMMITTEE

  In serious policy debate the community picks a RESOLUTION and then at a tournament you take the affirmative three times, and the negative three times. When you are affirmative, you pick ANY CASE YOU WANT that is an instance of a detailed policy consistent with the RESOLUTION to advocate.

  At least that’s how it works nowadays. Sometimes in the past there was poor resolution selection such that every round for the entire year was the same argument and it was terrible. The trick to a good one is to hit the zeitgeist a bit, but also to leave wiggle room for crazy cases.

  1928 Resolved: That a federal department of education should be created with a secretary in the president’s cabinet.

  1943 Resolved: That a federal world government should be established.

  1966 Resolved: That the federal government should adopt a program of compulsory arbitration in labor-management disputes in basic industries.

  1985 Resolved: That the federal government should provide employment for all employable United States citizens living in poverty.

  1999 Resolved: That the United States should substantially change its foreign policy toward Russia.

  2007 Resolved: The United States federal government should establish a policy substantially increasing the number of persons serving in one or more of the following national service programs: AmeriCorps, Citizen Corps, Senior Corps, Peace Corps, Learn and Serve America, Armed Forces.

  2016 Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially curtail its domestic surveillance.

  In general, teams can run cases they truly believe in, or they can run “trick cases”, or they can run centrally topical cases. These are more like dimensions? In modern times there’s a whole other thing called “kritiks” which I’ll touch on very lightly later. Affirmative cases can often be positioned in these three or four dimensions, but often push very hard into one specific dimension.

  III. Example Trick Case: Bomb Russian Booze

  I remember a trick case with Russia, where the affirmative plan was to send Navy Seals into Russia, and secretly bomb literally every large alcohol distillery (also all the warehouses with stores of vodka), and get away with it (no one would know who the bombers were), and so (the claim went) nothing would change except a massive increase in the price of hard alcohol in Russia, based on massive decrease in the supply, and thus a massive lowering of their rates of alcoholism, for a massive net benefit to Russian domestic wellbeing.

  And this was, obviously, INSANE. But it kept winning! :-D

  They had all this published recruiting material, that young men are often exposed to by ROTC recruiters, saying that the Navy Seals were essentially made of magic and could do anything and never be caught.

  And they submitted it as strong direct written evidence of the ease with which the plan could be carried off, and bloviated about how “the American government would never lie to its precious young men in its recruiting material so either this is true or else the USG is evil… is that what you’re really saying when you accuse our recent and clearly cited evidence of being overstated?? do you you lack patriotism?!?”

  It was hilarious. People almost always laughed the first time they heard it. And (rare) Flow Judges and (common) Coms Judges could both appreciate the “technically clean logic” and (often) the fun/​patriotic/​cynical showboating.

  IV. Other Example Cases: Drug Legalization & Dioxins

  So, basically, if you wanted to spend your optimization pressure to pick an AFF case you really really believed in (like as a political posture?) even if it had shit evidence, and only one crackpot in one insane progressive magazine with a readership of 1000 was advocating it directly (and you weren’t even doing what the crackpot suggested because that was a bad plan, but you were modifying it creatively yourself)… I mean… you could do that, but it would be tougher and maybe less funny?

  And funniness, in my book, counts for a lot.

  ((I kinda “went authentic” my second year of actually debating, trying to pass off radical domestic drug reform in the US as a “demand side” attempt at a “foreign policy” adjustment towards a country with large “illegal” opium farms and cartels and stuff. It was something someone in their early 20s might foolishly think was wise? Arguably we were Brucing a bit in choosing to run it… we sometimes actually lost on AFF, which is not great.

  In my first year we just went straight up the middle with a dioxin emission fix based on mandated medical waste incinerator smokestack filters paid for by government subsidies, and enforced by fines for refusing to accept the retrofit. Dioxins are basically not emitted in the US anymore, but back then they were. We won a lot. And it wasn’t even a trick case! But people didn’t laugh… just nod along and agree that this boring thing was boringly correct and the negative arguments were grasping at straws. The coach made sure we didn’t change since we were beginners and etc etc.))

  Often, teams would pick a case, and change it a little bit between every tournament and bring polished proposals and skilled defense to tournaments at the end of the year.

  The hard and creative (and more morally ambiguous) part was Negative.

  V. The Desperate (Deeply Theoretical?) Bullshit Negatives Need To Ever Win

  Over and over and over (usually three times every tournament) you hear this AMAZING First Affirmative Constructive (1AC) and with shining rhetoric, a clean story, tidy evidence, and true confidence in the voice of the person speaking it, and…

  ...you want to stand up and applaud and say “this is a great proposal that America should do”...

  ...but instead you have to pull shit out of your ass somehow to say NO to it...

  ...like maybe: “NO! uh… because… technically it is a prima facie burden of the affirmative team to propose a plan with no vagueness, and here is a formal expert in rhetoric to back us up on this claim about how debate has to technically work if it is to be properly educational, and this plan is vague because… uh… [checks list of 20 ways a plan can be vague that was given to them by the advanced team that usually gets to at least the quarter finals in tournaments] it lacks a clear funding mechanism… and you, dear wonderful Judge who is very wise and full of common sense, you wouldn’t sign a blank check, would you? wouldn’t that be crazy? this is a prima facie burden! and it can’t be fixed in the second speech! if they didn’t have it in the first speech you know they’re just making shit up and you can’t trust them, and therefore they should lose and there’s no two ways about it, and here are five independent reasons that the basic idea, if true, constitutes valid reason to give the ballot to us, all based on just the truth that their plan was vague <and so on>”.

  You actually give it A LOT more structure thatn that. Break “Vagueness” into an A, B, C, D set of claims, where the four lettered claims abstractly explain why NEG has to win. Give each letter several numbered justifications… Also, you make four other half-crazy arguments, each of which attacks the AFF case from orthogonal directions from “Vagueness”.

  Then (on the Vagueness position) the AFF later says:
  
  (1) you made an ad hominum in your accusation, about them not being trustworthy
  
  (2) and yes do too they have a price number, and they just baldly assert <a made up price> with no evidence at all, and
  
  (3 & 4 & 5) they make some other rebuttals, but they don’t don’t refute EVERY independent line of argument through your entire plan vagueness scaffold.

  So in your counter you magnanimously grant almost everything they said, except for the totally made up price which is obviously made up. Which you reiterate is too late so shouldn’t count for educational reasons, and also NEW 1 its a fake number with no evidence, and also… <three more new numbered arguments>.

  And you point out that you made more and stronger arguments that they ignored, and reiterate the A B C and D of the Vagueness argument...

  ...using only A2, A4, B1, B5, C2, C3, and D3, D4, and D5 as voters.

  You point out that you now have 2x2x2x3==24 different paths to retain the overall Vagueness Position in a form that could destroy AFF! <3

  (These 24 paths to victory are a shorter and smaller version of what you originally said! You said more before… via speed reading a generic Vagueness Template that you’ve practiced speed reading the pro forma parts of.)

  And then you remind the judge that the next time the AFF talks it won’t be a constructive, and they would have made their strongest arguments, and if they make new arguments it wouldn’t be fair, because you probably could have made strong creative counter-arguments to those new arguments, but you won’t have the time or legal allowance for that (which might be why they would have stuck arguments in that were weak in the long run but strong initially)...

  ...and so anything else they make up later would violate the “educational spirit” of “the noble practice of policy debate”, and so, sadly, despite the case possibly being great in real life (unless either of the two other independent anti-affirmative voting arguments goes through) the judge will have to Vote On Vagueness And Vote Negative.

  And then you watch the judge’s facial expressions carefully during this as they look down at their notes and write what you say… or whatever the judge does. Its the judge. The judge is god for the round. You want the ballot, right? The judge controls the ballot.

  VI. Subservience To The Judge Is Good Strategy

  Depending on the judge(s)’s nods or frowns, maybe in an even later (even shorter) speech, you might concede or silently drop or spend only 20 seconds half-assing the Vagueness position at the very very end?

  Or you might hammer it super hard in an eloquent minute long rant explaining why this is ONE OF TWO very very strong and very very independent reasons to Vote Negative.

  And you spell out a potted but plausible history of the debate so far (that everyone has notes on and it just happened but it was fast and you’re trying to crystalized it in people’s minds) summarizing all the rhetorical flubs of the AFF team who had a BURDEN OF PROOF! And not-at-all-fakely emoting about how the AFF burden of proof is so important… right now… (until you’re on AFF in the next round, insisting that stock issues are fake bullshit in general, and Vagueness isn’t even one that people normally cared about)...

  In finals, there are three judges!

  Based on facial expressions these three “gods” might buy different things, so there are entire lectures you’ll get from the coach in the five hour van ride to yet another college for yet another tournament, on how to pick what to drop and what to emphasize so that you can try to get at least two of the three judges in the final to vote for you, even if they vote on different issues.)

  And then sometimes all the prep work and all the fallbacks, and all the combinatorial optimization gives you a weaselly win as a negative?

  And you win against a naively “real world very strong case” where the Affirmative just were kinda lazy about researching the cost of their plan enough? Or not?

  It depends.

  VII. The Bullshit, Emphasized Above As Silly, Is Actually Often Educational

  However also… it overall… these practice really are, often, “educational in general”! <3

  The vagueness bullshit might work in the second tournament of the season, but in the fourth tournament of the season, with the AFF running a newer and sexier version of their case, and they will have changed the wording slightly (at no time cost) to mention a price in their Official Plan!

  And it will be backed by evidence they didn’t mention, but now have in their laptops or box of papers, that they can quote (but only if you’re fool enough to not notice the slightly different words and try vagueness on reflex, rather than from actually listening and deciding what Negative attacks to try, on the fly, in the round) and the evidence will be based on an expert they found in some library article, after haunting the library for a day.

  Negative teams rarely win the same way twice against the same Affirmative team, and by the end of the year the same teams will often have been in the finals against each other two or three times, arguing the same AFF case as always (but now very strong) and “yet another crazy way to attack it” (like a kritik maybe?).

  But anyway.

  If you go with a stock issues frame, and try Vagueness, on NEG, that first time… (early in a season, with a strong generic theoretical counter-argument to a half-assed AFF case) you might win, especially in High School...

  ...in college anarchoprogleft types might try to accuse you of being logocentrically racist if you naively try to use stock issues, and anarchoprogleft college judges might agree with that? College rounds can be insane or not, in hundreds of different ways ;-)

  I lost to “Kant”… twice. Never got a 3rd rematch.

  I lost to “deep eco feminism”… twice and then beat it the third time and had “Cara” (who was in her late 20s, and finally getting a degree to make something of her life, and was intimidatingly confident, and made finals in like half the tournaments I saw) ask for a copy of my citations and evidence at the end, which made me felt super proud. Then she stopped running “deep eco feminism”! Which I thought was high integrity of her!

  Anyway. If things are working well overall, Winning As Negative gets harder and harder and harder over the course of the season.

  Because there is feedback!

  Because it is at least half real, and every 90 minute debate at a tournament gives the AFF yet another real life, adrenaline filled, actual redteamed, OODA loop’s worth of information on how to make their advocacy, that they get to choose and refine (within the arguably vague bounds of the annual resolution that is stable all year) stronger against arbitrary attacks :-)

  VIII. Thoughts On The Flexibility Of The Ontology Of Traditional Debate Norms

  Mostly here I’m talking about specifically undergrad level “CEDA/​NDT debate” and its echo at the High School level which is called “Policy Debate”.

  Anyone can make up anything they want, in terms of a group of people who meet to argue and vote and award prizes and whatever.

  “Debate” in a fully general form, is nearly infinitely open and flexible. It doesn’t have to be two people vs two people. It doesn’t have to have a yearly resolution (in High School sometimes they change it halfway through the year).

  It doesn’t have to have five minute constructive speeches with two minutes of cross-examination at the beginning. It doesn’t have to have ballots that say either AFF or NEG. It doesn’t have to have “speaker points” over and above that to help break ties in how the seeding process for finals should work.

  Debates have been happening for millennia and you can do them however it seems correct to you to do them. They are deeply “existential” rather than “essential” when the judges can write anything they want on a ballot, and your job is to get people to grant you ethos, and feel “<YourName> wins” is true of what just happened, and express it somehow. If people are truly good, it can work. If people are bad, then… maybe the methods can save it? Maybe?

  The debates exist… that existence includes a competitively collaborative search for the meaning of the competitive practice, with winners and losers, internal to the practice...

  The form that exists now agrees, mostly, that it should be able to regenerate itself from inside its own logic, but the forms we have are deeply deeply tested and not everyone will understand all of why things happen and particular way. And these forms are part of continuous traditions going back to the 1920s that are still culturally resonating, which I think is kinda cool <3

• JenniferRM 2 Aug 2025 18:17 UTC

  14 points

  −2

  on: The Dark Arts As A Scaf­fold­ing Skill For Rationality

  Consider: just simple basic traditional DEBATE… in its modern form!

  Before overcomingbias or lesswrong existed, and before I became friends with anyone who would (eventually) end up being In The Rationality Community… I did inter-collegiate policy debate (CEDA/​NDT) debate for two years in a community college.

  I don’t know anything similar that gives the same fusion of “adrenaline and logic” with super fast and super precise feedback and clear skill progression.

  It was because of policy debate that I haunted libraries for many hours every week, doing opposition research on winning affirmative cases and putting together my own affirmative case (leveling up library science skills), and it was because of that practice that I found and read Goedel Escher Bach. Its good stuff that causes good stuff!

  I loved it so much that for two more years I coached my old public High School’s debate team for policy debate (they already had a very strong individual and dramatic program, like for reading poems or reproducing famous old speeches or giving one-shot informative topical speeches to persuade, but the Program Director wasn’t comfy with debate debate).

  My two teams of two kids (four total students) did great (both teams were in the Finals both years), and we won “Best Small School” two years straight, and then I transferred to a UC and had to stop coaching, but the rumors I heard through the grape fine is that our tiny little public high school had acquired a reputation and lots of the big schools private high schools were starting to team up to do “cooperative ops research” against us! Yay! I wish I could have coached a third year to see how that would have gone.

  I like to imagine that at least some of our supernormal outcome was my coaching, but to be fair I I think my kids were like “literally geniuses”? (Like, the smartest of them maxed the SATs and later earned a PhD in Applied Math.)

  So you have to subtract that out of my credit somehow if you’re trying to do proper credit assignment. I don’t think a single one of my four kids had an iq less than 125.

  My debate experiences are one of the things I would have pointed to early in life if I was following some of the logic in Mandatory Secret Identities (MSI), which has a lot of fun and interesting ideas around status allocation in dojos (assuming debate teams don’t count as rationality dojos in themselves) but that whole dojo design vibe is full of weird stuff...

  Like from the name of the essay (rather than the detailed contents) it is easy to mis-use the title and imagine gwern is doing “Mandatory Secret Identities” the best of anyone by only teaching through a pseudonym?

  But that’s the opposite of MSI’s actual internal contents!

  According to the MSI essay’s detailed claims, the rationality teacher’s “real life” is supposed to be taken into account somehow and so gwern should have zero status or something?

  But then… think gwern is awesome and any sane and good status allocation mechanism should be in favor of websites like this existing and their authors getting respect.

  Its complicated! ;-)

  Anyway.

  I think that forensics/​debate/​rhetoric have a bad reputation about LW that is not justified by carefully tracing out real pedagogical outcomes.

  I think they teach a lot of skills that include researching in libraries, adaptively optimizing your speech production to the true incentives and the real audience, having fun, laughing, building an identity and some pride around your ability to know things and explain things and not be tricked, and also they grow your ability to judge a debate well.

  Like, in policy debate, if you get a “Flow Judge” (whose stated judging philosophy is that they take notes like the conversation was a math equation, and then whatever the bottom line is from the math equation is how they will vote, regardless of personal feelings, common sense, or who was more personable) you’re happy because the round will be insanely fun and anything could happen.

  And if you get a “Communication Judge” (whose stated judging philosophy is that they will take barely any notes, and will simply apply common sense and vote for whoever they think seemed more prestigious and correct and better spoken at the end) you’re sad because the round will be boring and who wins will be semi-random.

  And then, a little later, when you get to be the a judge yourself, you know which kind of judge you want to be (one of the cool ones who can take really really high quality substantive notes even when the speaker sounds like this).

  ((That video has this hilarious moment where the kid is like “I don’t know why we practice talking fast while we have a pen in our mouth” and you can SEE his “I notice I am confused” reaction happen in his eyes! <3 :-D

  For reference, this is a training tradition in the field of rhetoric that goes way way way back. Its a not a great sign for the epistemics of the coach, but maybe its just fun (or a puzzle bomb in the curriculum)? This kind of training for that is better supported by evidence and mechanistic priors on like… muscles in the mouth and tongue n’stuff.))

  I’m going to assume I’ve sold you on “academic debate is worth looking into” and pivot to applications now!

  If you’re in High School and thinking about colleges, I think it is likely to be a net positive in your life if you explore adding Policy Debate as second or third “major” (likely un-official) on top of EE or Physics or Math or something (or possibly in parallel with Philosophy).

  Part of why I re-arranged my majors so much and eventually picked up a Philosophy bachelors (there were other reasons for allocating time that way… I’m not insane) is that Philosophy majors clearly punched harder in debate.

  They could speak fewer words, more slowly, and still win a round with a Flow Judge!

  They could cleanly identify categories of thought and dispense with 10 arguments of 4 sentences each that shared reliance on a broken mental category (that had been named in the First Negative Constructive (1NC) because they knew it would eventually be useful!) in like three sentences in their Second Negative Rebuttal (2NR). Destroying 40 sentences of gibber-jabber in the mid game, with 10 sentences placed in the opening game, plus another 3 sentences at the end when time is precious, is a powerup!

  In terms of applying this in real life, with life planning decisions...

  I don’t think people “pick a High School” super carefully usually? But maybe there are parents reading this who want to buy a home near a school that will help their teenage kids? In that case, this ranking of High School policy teams has numerous teams from the same school, and those schools probably have solid policy debate programs ;-)

  If you’re in High School and thinking about college I think it is worth an hour or five to research the Policy Debate options carefully, before you visit any schools prior to applying to them.

  For example, Bakersfield College (in central southern California) and Chico State (in norther central California) both had great programs 25 years ago (despite having no amazingly great reputation overall, as schools, and being easy to get into, and cheap), and they they are still on the list of community colleges with Policy programs) so they might still be amazing and worth a look? Depending on whether their coaches solved Succession Planning, anyway?

  I can’t easily google to get a good ranked list of undergrad institutions, for CEDA/​NDT, but this list of all the different regional circuits in the US could help. The more tournaments a school hosts, the more likely it is to have a strong program with energetic coaches.

  You’ll probably pick a college based on lots of other factors, but if you at least look up which ones have CEDA/​NDT stuff, then, when you visit, before applying, you could probably try to visit the debate program and talk to people there to catch a vibe and make an assessment? <3

• JenniferRM 2 Aug 2025 16:35 UTC

  8 points

  0

  on: The Dark Arts As A Scaf­fold­ing Skill For Rationality

  Minor counter-point here...

  Let’s talk about the controlled setting of a dojo for a moment, because I think that’s actually a very important qualifier.

  If I punch you in the nose while you’re standing at the bus stop or while you’re walking through the halls of your high school, I’m a jerk and this is not how martial arts dojos work. It is true that the bus stop or your high school are the places you will want the self defence skills!

  I had a co-worker who was in a kinda half-made-up-seeming dojo for “ninjitsu”, and in one of his belt tests the test was whether or not the teacher could “touch his back with a symbolic dagger” (it was a long time ago and my memory is fuzzy, but I think maybe symbolic poisoning of food or drink was also valid?) at any time, waking or sleeping, in any place, public or private, for an entire multi-day window. (He failed the first test, and was hypothetically interested in trying a second time when he and the sensei both had the time for it.)

  There were rules to keep it from hurting any third parties or looking too weird, but it sounded (1) super fun and (2) very expensive in terms of the time cost for the person being tested and the person testing (if they actually make multiple attempts or multiple attempts per day).

  I have no idea how to adapt this to real life exactly, but it was so exceptional and fun-sounding that it seems worth a mention here ;-)

• JenniferRM 2 Aug 2025 16:24 UTC

  8 points

  0

  on: The Dark Arts As A Scaf­fold­ing Skill For Rationality

  A possible answer to this question is: sort of YES! (But the practice is I know about from experience… does not involve a pair of people, where the liar is known, and the thing they’re lying about is clear. It is a group practice with some fraction of liars.)

  Has any rationalist practice ever involved pairing up to practice being lied to and responding to lies?

  There’s a wiki entry on Paranoid Debating which might have been mentioned for the first time ever in Eliezer’s 2009 “Selecting Rationalist Groups” as part of the Sequences, and the highest relevant substantive post is a writeup about it where a group in London playing the game ~11 years ago.

  Its not perfect. Its kind of like playing Avalon Mafia mixed with a game about Fermi estimates. Knowing what I now know (like, for example, having played Avalon) I think I could design a similar game that was more fun and more focused on giving faster feedback on specific subskills.

• JenniferRM 1 Aug 2025 5:21 UTC

  6 points

  0

  in reply to: johnswentworth’s comment on: My Em­pa­thy Is Rarely Kind

  You… might need more Kant?

  “Never use a person purely as means, but rather always also at least partially as ends in themselves” is the starting injunction from which to derive most of the other stuff.

  Once you do that over and over, you’ll begin to notice regularities in the proof tactics and lemmas that come up, and think about how these logical structures would work if copied over and over...

  ...and another formulation that might lead to the “the same categorical imperative” IS SIMPLY just “do that which would be great if everyone did it” and then trying to unpack that logically in specific cases, noticing different roles, different promises, different duties...

  ...either way you eventually start seeing Natural Law, in the convergently (across situations) useful reasoning patterns that arise. You’re likely to notice that Natural Law is very big, and gets complex for N-person systems, and that you don’t understand it very well yet (and probably at its outer reaches it requires solving NP-hard optimization problems), but your life would go better if you did, and other people would be nicer to be around if they also understood it more.

  You gain light context-sensitive attachments to some of it, and get the ability to warn people when you might have to predictably tit-for-tat them if they defect in predictable ways! You become a more morally mature person, who causes less accidental harm, and recognizes formal debts more reliably.

  A coherently articulable conscience, based in an assumption of universal moral reasoning accessible at least in theory to all persons, leads to greater continence (a good word, used in many different ways by many different philosophers (I often just use the word to mean: less likely to metaphorically “pee” on stuff like an oblivious dog)) <3

  But then yeah… you stop even “the cats” as cats.

  You start seeing them as either willfully ignorant (incorrigible) monsters, or as childishly ignorant but essentially corrigible fools… or some variation on these themes, like maybe as developmentally disabled people who could hypothetically be fixed by raising their iq enough for them to learn to read and do basic arithmetic or whatever?

  (For me, the Piraha are a deeply challenging test case for many moral theories, given their irremediable innumeracy and non-recursive grammar and so on… I currently suspect that a coherently good moral system would not allow them to vote or sign contracts, but I’m not sure.)

  One of the great great great sadnesses of LW culture, from my perspective, is that the actual real original meaning of “incorrigible” and “corrigible” and so on (related to the degree of culpability for a harm caused by a person, based on mens rea and vincible ignorance and so on)… is overshadowed by Eliezer’s concept of “being a a super slavey slave, who is really mindless and literalistic and non-creative and passive, but is safe to use as a wish granting genie nonetheless (or somehow because of that)” that he happened to hang the world “corrigibility” on :-(

• JenniferRM 30 Jul 2025 19:50 UTC

  9 points

  0

  on: My Em­pa­thy Is Rarely Kind

  lol! I can feel empathy towards normies better than you can feel empathy towards normies! ;-)

  (lol… its a joke… see: its an empathy failure about empathy failures? see?!? <3)

  but kidding on the square aside, when I wrote the Friendly Drunk Fool Alignment Strategy i channeled my empathy super super hard (but the sandbox around the version of me that wrote that would fail every so often (which was fine because then I’d be able to edit the text to lampshade the writing process and make the parody more clear to at least some readers))...

  it did not involve just being aware of only what they’re aware of and also wasn’t limited to just using the thinking tactics they think with… (which can both be part of empathy)

  ...but also to feel how they feel (what’s salient to them, and how they accept/​reject), and to imagine the kind of ego structure they have (why they love themselves, and what they look for in other people), and to have the kind of world model they have (ie the absence of a coherent world model) and vibe with their moral developmental stage (how they answer the Heinz Dilemma) and it was kinda great because:

  (1) it caused some actually smart and good people to feel physical pain to read (presumably because they like… go around with that Suspension Of Disbelief Stuff turned on most of the time, because if they didn’t then maybe their monkey selves would be howling in pain or whatever??)

  and (2) several normal people gave me positive feedback IRL for finally saying something they agree with and felt good about reading even though it was on LW, allowing me to safely write them off as possibly valid co-founders :-)

  like that essay really did pass some Ideological Turing Tests! which is SO FUCKED UP! right?

  (or at least it seems fucked up if you’re at Kohlberg level 3A (like most people on LW are)… and then at Kohlberg level 3B I think you take it for granted as a constraint, and then IF there are higher levels of moral development above that (which Kohlberg himself never empirically managed to find in statistically significant numbers) THEN they prolly have reliable and articulable tactics for changing the constraint(s) that the brute fact of Society Being Bad imposes… that’s why High School Principles believe in their work (when they do believe in it), I think? they think they literally fixing the foundations of Why Things Are Bad???)

  that said, i have so much sympathy for you!

  ...once you stop going around with that suspension of disbelief I predict that you’ll just curl up and cry, like I did, and like lots of people do, for a while, and that will feel terrible

  ...and then either you’ll become a Super Villain (like many do) or else you’ll grow up and work on finding some other Saints to cooperate with without having the normies around functioning as institutional graphite rods to slow down the social reactions necessary to save Humanity ;-)

  the thing is… relating to Humanity the way I relate won’t help you be super tactical, because I’ve basically stopped caring about their opinions unless they are a some kind of idealized Saint or Philosopher or Timocrat or Oligarch or whatever… like if they are a real institutional player whose beliefs cause behavior that actually matters, rather than making up excuses for their behavior that doesn’t matter much except to them, then maybe I “care” about “what they would think of me”? ;-)

  otherwise I’m basically all in on (1) strategic exploration to find a higher global maxima and (2) the Socratic Philosophic stance of “only feeling right in caring about the opinions of the hypothetical best-opinion-haver that could hypothetically exist” <3

  in the meantime, normies in the US don’t exist on EITHER scale: they mostly just contribute to the construction of the Median Republican Voter and the Median Democratic Voter and they buy and sell in the marketplace like economically naive consooooooomers...

  as individuals who might move and shake and alter legislation or policy they are basically cute puppies, and produce aggregate effects on The World Vector by accident, and that’s why the world is A Dumpster Fire

  FPTP etc. belaboring would be boring to people who know what FPTP is, and also to people who don’t.

  ((Cearly: I’m not strong enough to fix things on my own… the legislation that authorizes the FDA’s existence still has almost exactly the same form it did during covid when it killed over a million people… and my last two posts on LW are sitting at Zero and −6 Karma… also the voters of California recently voted in FAVOR of slavery… and so on… the puppies are manifestly unfit to rule… (tho the best puppies, as a group, trying to make good things happen on purpose as a “mere” voluntary internet interest group, can still be found here on LW so far as I know)))

  how to save the world (skippable)

  so basically… my suggestion, if you want to be Instrumental here, is to palliate while upping the variance?

  ...and if you’re trying to do a Virtue Spiral in order to be Instrumental rather than just accepting your Character (whether Player or Non-Player) as is, try some keyword OTHER than the Empathy stat to jack way way up...

  if I had one to suggest: get really into what is called Metta in Pali maybe?

  however, since most people in the west do the Buddhist or sometimes Hindu versions, one way to up the variance might be to try the Jainist version?

  (but there’s a lot of rationalists who curled up in a ball, cried, and then retreated to Meditation, so maybe the entire “eastern Metta” idea doesn’t have enough variance to move the needle… maybe diagonalize even harder than that? maybe try Confucian ren? or Islamic submission? or … yeah… there are lots of text corpuses that point to real parts of the space of all possible Virtues)

  and really… the thing most normal people should probably do for really reals (if they play with personality traits like empathy or any of the other ones (real or made up or whatever)) is to get a nicely comprehensive baseline assessment, find their worst trait (a high bad one, or a low good one), and simply fix that first! <3

  anyway. its a real problem. I sympathize with your challenges with empathy ;-)

• JenniferRM 7 Jun 2025 2:01 UTC

  6 points

  −5

  on: The Mir­ror Trap

  Surely this is why people think so hard about the true and proper telos of their actions.

  Art for art’s sake is practically wireheading. Art for decoration can be manufactured cheaply, to beautify life, and that’s fine. Making art can teach one the skills to make things, but then surely one should apply those skills on something with effects out in the world?

  I don’t think the audience has an important cognitive role here. The creator can simply ignore them, or communicate to them in ways that uplift them (to educate them in ways they didn’t know they needed to be educated because the creator wants to uplift them), or the creator can simply choose to pander, and harvest resources in exchange for a recognizably valuable product.

  One of my favorite artists is Thomas Kinkade. He did it all. His art was simply beautiful to normal people. He was the richest living artist ever in history during his own life, achieving actual worldly success, due to normal people actually paying a lot for his paintings (and even just expensive postcards of his paintings). (I think Jeff Koons holds the title now, and has him beat on the “ever in history”, but I don’t like his stuff as much.) Prestigious art snobs hated Kinkade, and he kept doing it anyway. But also, deep down, he actually did have “the soul of an artist”. The hate weighed on him. He was an alcoholic and eventually killed himself. At one point, at Disneyland, while drunk, he peed on a statue of Winnie the Pooh saying “This one’s for you, Walt.” Like I said… as an artist, he did it all.

  In the first draft of this comment, I said “So far as I know, he never pivoted. He never tried to pander to the snobs.” However, then I went googling, and… apparently he had a vault full of stuff from many different styles, including some fucked up self portraits? I’m not sure if this downgrades him in my mind, or raises him to new heights. I’m glad that he was aware of what he was doing, though. Here’s a quote from the article I found that mentions his vault (bold not in original):

  Yousef says she did not understand “how skillful a painter Kinkade was” before starting the film project. She points out that many other people were putting images of cottages on commemorative plates in the 1990s, “but they were terrible. His skill blew them out of the water. And now his style has become the archetype.”

  Kinkade was also prolific. He created a new intricately detailed cottage painting every month, in addition to running his empire of prints and collectibles. He was one of the first people to make himself into a brand. “Andy Warhol would’ve respected his marketing genius,” Yousef says.

  Warhol’s name comes up often in the documentary, and it is no accident that two experts on the Pop artist are interviewed in the film—the former Andy Warhol Museum director Eric Shiner and the critic and Warhol biographer Blake Gopnik. As Kinkade once said, “I’ve achieved the Nirvana that Andy Warhol dreamed of achieving. Warhol’s dream was that he would become a robot who just could push a button and his paintings would come out without him even being involved, and I’ve done that!” The performance artist reveals himself. Even Kinkade’s own family calls him one.

  Amazingly, the artist’s wife, all four of his kids and his two siblings participated in the film, in addition to some of his closest friends and a couple of colourful superfans. They provided not only insightful interviews but archival images, home movies, boxes of fan letters, Kinkade’s teenage audio recordings and the all-important access to his vault. Yousef says that it was particularly important for her to give voice to his immediate family, who were often overshadowed by Kinkade’s public persona and success.

• JenniferRM 4 Jun 2025 23:44 UTC

  3 points

  1

  in reply to: Viliam’s comment on: The Stereo­type of the Stereotype

  Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality doesn’t really “characterize” individual Dementors but they are basically just horrible holes in reality, which seems proper since the death of persons should be rejected as having no proper place in a fully happy and healthy ordering of a world where all the Big Problems have been Solved.

  Also in the TV version of Good Omens he’s basically just bad. In the book this portrayal is softened a bit.

• JenniferRM 4 Jun 2025 22:24 UTC

  3 points

  −2

  in reply to: Said Achmiz’s comment on: Ingroup

  I upvoted you both because I appreciate the apparent honesty!

  However, surely you agree that the world has gotten much sociologically worse in the last 15 years?

  Friendship rates are down. Birth rates are down. Happiness rates are down. Distrust is up. Etc.

  Having grown up in a small town in northern California full of aging hippies, where the idea that “almost everyone is in almost everyone else’s ingroup (and the people who aren’t tend to be literal psychos who literally commit robberies or literally murder their parents or whatever (and visible social separations could be grounded in coherent individual failures at basic ethics))” was normal...

  ...I find it really sad to see a world arise where the idea of distrust and tribalism is so socially real that we can no longer joke about having transcended it successfully.

  When I was growing up, my father was in the Rotary Club (which almost eradicated polio via an international network of voluntary cooperators) and they had a vision for World Peace built on friendships between people traveling around the world being virtuous with each other. Some nights, the club would have all the members bring their family to a Thursday Dinner, and we’d hear a speech by someone from the Philippines (or where ever (sometimes it was just the High School principal from the town one valley over (or whatever))) who happened to be visiting my little town in the redwoods, after having been a President of his local Rotary Club in a little town on the other side of the planet, and it was nice and it seemed normal to me.

  Not more than three months ago, I saw a slideshow at the my father’s church, about a trip deep into a jungle, to a place that has zero roads, and can be reached only part of the year, to help build a community center for a community in decline, and deliver bundles of christmas presents to the community’s children. Then we took a collection for doing that again for a new town.

  Following scholars like Putnam, I believe that civic engagement is essential for the civic virtue that makes a constitutional democratic republic possible.

  All of this feels consonant and consistent with themes of sociological happiness and success and progress going back at least as far as Tocqueville.

  You two seem to share an “anti-ingroup vision” of virtue and happiness and systematically good outcomes that is NOT just a joke… and I’m wondering if you could unpack how you think that works so that I could learn to participate in your novel-to-me and hypothetically learnable culture?

  From my perspective, if you guys are being entirely literal, and not joking, then… I kinda predict that your society will be a sad place that loses cohesion and falls apart, rather than being a community that grows, and links up, and aims for common goods with all, in a spirit of friendship and reason?

  If >80% of humans don’t love and trust >80% of humans, in some very abstract and yet very deep sense, based on our shared humanity (ie based on our shared genesis as children made by the same God in the image of universal reasoners?), and our shared belief that humanity is pretty darn OK, then… why have a country together? Why aim for world peace? Why pretend that justice is possible? Why be against racism, or imagine that open borders could ever be a good idea? Why tolerate interstate travel? Why should any city let infectious people enter that city? Why unify Europe? Why keep India together? Why keep China together? Why have cities are all? Why not “social nihilism”?

  I feel like you might be missing (1) a really important principle for manifesting utopia inside of history with existing humans, and also (2) you’re missing (or not tying together?) key facts that undergird this principle and make its hopes into something other than cope, but rather make the hopes practical and realizable on both a local and global basis.

  In the same way that I’ve offered (1) three links that point to political theorists from past centuries, past decades, and also some friendly voluntary associations living up to those ideals in living memory, and then (2) three more links reiterating “morally universal” conclusions from Christian ethics without actually citing any Christians such as to put the ideas on a more worldly and secular and scientific basis...

  ...I wonder if you could offer three links to substantive material that hangs together to describe the theory and practice of the “vision of the good” that you are preaching here, so that I could learn to sing along with whatever song you are singing that is similarly hopeful and similarly real but which somehow gives the opposite advice on “being friendly to strangers (by calling them ingroup or any other joke term), and telling jokes about human nature, and trying to make friends”?

  In good faith, I hope that you have such a theory and I am open to learning about it.

  But epistemically, I fear that I will hear no such theory, and maybe, rather, if my epistemic predictions are born out… then perhaps, morally, I have a minor imperfect duty to offer to teach you my theory, so your praxis can become happier and friendlier and more conducive to helping the world get better outcomes than otherwise… if that’s even what you want?

• JenniferRM 4 Jun 2025 0:57 UTC

  −6 points

  0

  in reply to: Gunnar_Zarncke’s comment on: Ingroup

  One possible response: Wigner space has way more than four dimensions. Eventually, if I keep knocking on doors like this, maybe I’ll find an opening to a dimension where we survive on purpose rather than “by accident or not at all”.

  Another possible response: Now the downvoters are expressing their admiration for your emotional fortitude as well! You have my apologies for causing them to admire you in this way. But since you are part of ingroup, I bet you have the toughness to take it! <3

  Another possible response: I sent the person with the interesting reacts a DM to ask about some of the logic to thank them for the kind honesty and ask for more of the logic behind the the “disagreement” react. I still don’t understand it.

• JenniferRM 4 Jun 2025 0:50 UTC

  −5 points

  0

  in reply to: the gears to ascension’s comment on: Ingroup

  Upvoted! Since you are part of ingroup, your feelings are valid, of course! Thank you for being honest. And since you’re in my ingroup, of course I’m going to offer you unconditional positive regard based on your clear good faith expression of feelings. Can people gain “secure attachment” just from near strangers on the Internet being irrepressibly friendly towards them? I dunno, but maybe we should try! <3

  I know this is a tricky topic …and copying likewise from my DM...

  Its a joke. Think of “ingroup” as a verb. To a first approximation, “all people should ingroup all people”. Should. They don’t in practice. Because… <reasons>.

  Consider “outgroup” as a verb. To a first approximation “no person should outgroup any other people”… but they often do in practice. Because… <reasons>.

  The horror of the tactic becomes clearer (both the horror, and the tragic humor of how it short circuits logic) when it is stripped of the distracting details.

  I released nearly the exact same joke on Bluesky, Twitter, and Lesswrong (LW got a slightly longer one, because longform content is proper here due to the site norms about content length) and lots of people on the other two platforms responded with things like “lmao” and “Our special characteristics are built on our Virtues which the outgroup sorely lacks” or just just explained the joke back to me with “That stupid evolutionary shortcut will be the death of the human race.”

  A buddhist friend of mine was comfy enough to say “Down with outgroup! Those guys can suck rocks!”

  A gay rationalist on bluesky wrote “I’m so glad everyone I like also agrees with me on literally everything; it sure is nice that people are moral iff they’re on my side”.

  I had people on the far left and far right retweet me on twitter.

  The thing that puzzles me is that LW, fifteen years ago, would have recognized the joke and played along (and with some work I bet I could find some old posts where this happened with almost this exact same concept) but somehow LW now… didn’t?

• JenniferRM 2 Jun 2025 17:21 UTC

  −1 points

  0

  in reply to: Gunnar_Zarncke’s comment on: Ingroup

  One of the things I love about this is that the people who I appreciate the most might very well downvote it, to prove that they haven’t been tricked by all the flattery.

  Those people are the most ingroup of all, and I can express my appreciation for them by being humbly grateful for their downvotes.

  Their downvote-to-show-understanding is a sort of an echo of my meta-pandering-OP <3

  A little piece of me wishes I could get a list of the people I’m being humbly grateful to, but part of the joys of timeless coordination is that you don’t have to do all that expensive interpersonal hand-shaking every time you want a single pitiful bilateral link in a coordination network to not fail.

  Maybe some of my downvoters are downvoting without irony or awareness, but… I’m OK with that too <3

  The real question is how many (and how large of) cliques there are around these parts that do have powers of multi-step inference, and have done N(N-1)/​2 bilateral handshakes, such that the entire clique, thrown into a standard one-shot 0-to-100-scaled p-beauty contest with each other, would all justifiably bid zero.

  One thing I would want to point out to people who “don’t get the joke yet” (so they feel “called to learn more” rather than “getting an ego bruise”) is to learn that humans-in-general do almost zero steps of serial processing, but rely almost entirely (even when doing math proofs from scratch) on cached thoughts, and so one of the best methods they could have to understood this joke (or “get gud” at the math) is almost only by having already been exposed to this kind of joke (and the math that undergirds it) in the deep past, so the relevant stuff was in their cache.

  Luckily, we are still in the deep past relative to the massive amounts of chaos and need for coordination that probably exists in most possible futures.

  So they can read the two links I’ve offered, and ponder them, especially in conjunction, maybe re-reading them both again after pondering how they might be related.

  And in meantime, in the short term, I hope (but believe it is unlikely) that there are many “zero bid beauty contest cliques” among my readership, and I hope they make sure to keep my vote count decently low, and I hope each one also elects a leader to send me a Direct Message :-)

  This is, of course, unlikely… but it is slightly more likely to happen in good timelines, and it is important to have hope.

• JenniferRM 1 Jun 2025 23:01 UTC

  −6 points

  0

  in reply to: Algon’s comment on: Ingroup

  It is true that in some of the less wrong parts of social media, bravery exists! Someone other than me added the Community tag to my joke post, and I am totally tickled :-)

Ingroup