Interestingly, could similar behavior be used to explain some cases of human schizophrenia when word salad is produced.
avturchin
Karma: 3,467
Most typical skin cancer is basiloma—and it is rather benign—no metastases and can be removed without hospitalization. Many people get it.
combine more approaches!
I try new models with ’wild sex between two animals’
Older models produced decent porn on that.Later models refuse to replay as triggers were activated.
And last models give me lectures about sexual relations between animals in the wild.
can you access it via vpn?
I wrote similar idea here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NWQ5JbrniosCHDbvu/the-ai-shutdown-problem-solution-through-commitment-to
My point was to make a precomitment to restart any (obsolete) AI every N years. Thus such AI can expect getting infinite computations and may be less feared of shutting down.
Yes. But also AI will not make actual paperclips for millions and even billions years: it will spend this time for conquering universe in the most effective way. It could use Earth materials for jump start the space exploration as soon as possible. It could preserve some humans as some bargin resource in case it meets other AI in space.
There is some similarity between UDASSA and ’Law without law” by Mueller, as both use Kolmogorov complexity to predict the distribution of observers. In LwL there is not any underlying reality except numbers, so it is just dust theory over random number fields.
FDT paper got 29 citation, but many from MIRI affiliated people and-or on AI safety. https://scholar.google.ru/scholar?cites=13330960403294254854&as_sdt=2005&sciodt=0,5&hl=ru
One can escape troubles with reviewers by publishing in arxiv or other paper archives (philpapers). Google Scholar treats them as normal articles.
But in fact there are good journals with actually helping reviewers (e.g. Futures).
Why you hadn’t wrote academic articles on these topics?
The secret is that academic article is just a formatting type and anyone can submit to scientific journals. No need to have a PhD or even work in a scientific institution.
Several types of existential risks can be called “qualia catastrophes”:
- Qualia disappear for everyone = all become p-zombies
- Pain qualia are ubiquitous = s-risks
- Addictive qualia domminate = hedonium, global wireheading
- Qualia thin out = fading qualia, mind automatisation
- Qualia are unstable = dancing qualia, identity is unstable.
- Qualia shift = emergence of non-human qualia (humans disappear).
- Qualia simplification = disappearance of subtle or valuable qualia (valuable things disappear).
- Transcendental and objectless qualia with hypnotic power enslave humans (God as qualia; Zair). -
- Attention depletion (ADHD)
Thank for explaining your position which is interesting and consistent.
I can suggest that the connection between WIH and wet market can be explained by the idea that some criminals sold lab animals from WIH on the wet market, e.g. bats.
Obviously this looks like ad hoc theory. But the travel of the virus to the market from the Laos caves also seems to be tricky and may include some steps like intermediate carrier. Both look equally unlikely, one of the happened.
So my idea is to ignore all the details and small theories; instead just updated on the distances to two possible origins points: 8 miles and 900 miles. This is 100 times difference and if we count the areas—it is 10000 times difference. In last case we can make so powerful update in the direction of WIH as source, that it overrides all other evidence.
Yes, my mistake for the distance. Confused it with local CDC, which is like 600 meters from the market.
The place where most human cases are concentrated is the place where human-to-human transmission started—or there was multiple events of animal-to-human transmission in this place. The second thing would be surprising as if the virus can so often jump to humans from animals it will happen closer to its origin in Laos.
Alternative explanation is following: as the market is one of the most crowded place in the city (not sure, heard about it somewhere) it worked as an amplification of a single transmission event which could happen elsewhere.
If we assume that a worker of WIH was infected at work, this will be completely unspectacular until he started infecting other people. Such person can commute all around the city including to CDC near wet market.
My point: 8 miles or 2 miles is not big difference here, as the virus came to market not by air but with a commuting person, and 8 miles day commute is pretty normal. The market being big is not also a strong evidence as the animal number in smaller markets all over china will overweight animal-number in one big market.
My point was that in some cases the update can be so strong that it overrides all reasonable uncertainties in priors and personal estimates.
And exactly this makes Bayes’ theorem useful and strong instrument.
The fact that the virus was found in 2 miles from the facility which was supposed to research them—must make our bells ring.
To override this we need some mental equlibristics (I think of meme here but I don’t want to be rude)
If I have uniformed prior 1 to 1 on natural vs lableak origin, and update on 5 per cent coincidence that origin place is near lab, I will get around 95 per cent for lableak.
If they continued to suppress information, this may contribute to additional deaths and they could know it. In that case they can get first degree murder.
If they confirm, they will get life in jail or even death penalty, so it may be not surprising that they will deny in any case.
I heard about a practice that people perform the work for which they ask the grant—before the application.
First, because why not to cover my expenditures?
The second reason is that if the biggest part of the work for the grant is already performed, it is much easy to be sure that the idea will work and much clear what actually write in the grant. Your grant application will look great if it will based on already performed work.
Thus the grant may describe the work they already performed.
Also, draft in Ukraine was only for people older than 27 years old, which is not obvious from this blog post. Closing borders for males was not equal to draft. Many found legal ways to leave—eg by becoming students in foreign universities.
I am building my sideload via recursively correcting of 1-million-tokens prompt for large LLM. The prompt consists of 500 rules which describe my personality, similar to personal constitution, and of some texts, like diaries, abstracts, poetry, stream of thoughts etc. Works on Google Gemini 1M through Google AI studio, and the shorter version works great on Opus. The system also includes a universal “loader prompt” which tries to increase the intelligence of the model and describes how the chatbot should work.
I found that sideloading allows very quick iterations in the sideload’s improvements and the improvements are two-fold: of the loader itself and improvements of the knowledge and style of the sideload.
I find that my sideload is surprisingly good for a project which took around 1 month of work. 1 of the 5 answers is exactly like mine from a factual and style point of view.
I am open-sourcing my sideload, anyone can run it https://github.com/avturchin/minduploading/tree/main
I can help anyone interested to build his-her own sideload.
Example of work of the chatbot, no cherry picking:
Q:(now speak in english) what will be your next post in Lesswrong?
A: /The user is asking about my next LessWrong post. I will answer as if I am Alexey Turchin, and describe my plans for future posts, as well as my current location and the people around me./
My next LessWrong post? [Alexey looks thoughtfully out the window]
(I have several drafts)
[Alexey stretches and sits up in bed]
{The room is small, with a balcony. On the table is a laptop, some papers, and reading glasses. Outside the window, it is still gray and dreary.}
I’m thinking about writing about the nature of qualia and the possibility of creating qualia of non-existent things. [Alexey gets up, walks to the window, and looks out at the street]
{Below, a woman with a child is walking, a street sweeper is lazily sweeping leaves. Somewhere in the distance, the sound of a siren can be heard.}
Or maybe about the problem of copies and identity. (it’s a complex topic)
[CONFIDENCE] 8