Hi, I’m Kunvar. I enjoy science and engineering. I’m currently studying the structures learned by trained neural networks and trying to understand what algorithms are implemented by these networks for various tasks.
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We’re talking about two different things here: take-off velocity, and timelines. All 4 possibilities are on the table—slow takeoff/long timelines, fast takeoff/long timelines, slow takeoff/short timelines, fast takeoff/short timelines.
A smooth takeoff might actually take longer in calendar time if incremental progress doesn’t lead to exponential gains until later stages.
Honestly I’m surprised people are conflating timelines and takeoff speeds.