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Pas­cal’s Mugging

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[Question] “Fa­nat­i­cal” Longter­mists: Why is Pas­cal’s Wager wrong?

Yitz27 Jul 2022 4:16 UTC
3 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging: Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities

Eliezer Yudkowsky19 Oct 2007 23:37 UTC
105 points
353 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Has there been any work on at­tempt­ing to use Pas­cal’s Mug­ging to make an AGI be­have?

Chris_Leong15 Jun 2022 8:33 UTC
7 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Desider­ata for an Ad­ver­sar­ial Prior

shminux9 Nov 2022 23:45 UTC
13 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Dis­solve: The Petty Crimes of Blaise Pascal

JohnBuridan12 Aug 2022 20:04 UTC
17 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­gle: In­finites­i­mal Pri­ors and Strong Evidence

Eliezer Yudkowsky8 May 2013 0:43 UTC
71 points
402 comments26 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ities Small Enough To Ig­nore: An at­tack on Pas­cal’s Mugging

Kaj_Sotala16 Sep 2015 10:45 UTC
27 points
176 comments5 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s mug­ging in re­ward learning

Stuart_Armstrong5 Nov 2017 19:44 UTC
9 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­pected util­ity, un­los­ing agents, and Pas­cal’s mugging

Stuart_Armstrong28 Jul 2014 18:05 UTC
32 points
54 comments5 min readLW link

Tac­tics against Pas­cal’s Mugging

ArisKatsaris25 Apr 2013 0:07 UTC
26 points
54 comments8 min readLW link

Con­sider Re­con­sid­er­ing Pas­cal’s Mugging

Rafael Harth3 Jan 2018 0:03 UTC
5 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

A Thought on Pas­cal’s Mugging

komponisto10 Dec 2010 6:08 UTC
15 points
159 comments1 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging for bounded util­ity functions

Benya6 Dec 2012 22:28 UTC
18 points
49 comments2 min readLW link

Com­ments on Pas­cal’s Mugging

[deleted]3 May 2012 21:23 UTC
15 points
31 comments2 min readLW link

No, I won’t go there, it feels like you’re try­ing to Pas­cal-mug me

Rupert11 Jul 2018 1:37 UTC
9 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging—Pe­nal­iz­ing the prior prob­a­bil­ity?

XiXiDu17 May 2011 14:44 UTC
12 points
30 comments2 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Gift

Bongo25 Dec 2010 19:42 UTC
13 points
46 comments1 min readLW link

What do you mean by Pas­cal’s mug­ging?

XiXiDu20 Nov 2014 16:38 UTC
10 points
24 comments2 min readLW link

An in­vest­ment anal­ogy for Pas­cal’s Mugging

[deleted]9 Dec 2014 7:50 UTC
9 points
36 comments1 min readLW link

Strong­man­ning Pas­cal’s Mugging

Pentashagon20 Feb 2013 12:36 UTC
4 points
20 comments2 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­gle Pays

Zvi16 Dec 2017 20:40 UTC
25 points
17 comments4 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Be­ing Half-Ra­tional About Pas­cal’s Wager is Even Worse

Eliezer Yudkowsky18 Apr 2013 5:20 UTC
61 points
162 comments9 min readLW link

Model Uncer­tainty, Pas­calian Rea­son­ing and Utilitarianism

multifoliaterose14 Jun 2011 3:19 UTC
35 points
155 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] How do bounded util­ity func­tions work if you are un­cer­tain how close to the bound your util­ity is?

Ghatanathoah6 Oct 2021 21:31 UTC
13 points
26 comments2 min readLW link

Utility In Faith?

UtilityMonster9 Oct 2022 17:49 UTC
10 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Has Pas­cal’s Mug­ging prob­lem been com­pletely solved yet?

EniScien6 Nov 2022 12:52 UTC
3 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is acausal ex­tor­tion pos­si­ble?

sisyphus11 Nov 2022 19:48 UTC
−20 points
34 comments3 min readLW link

SBF, Pas­cal’s Mug­ging, and a Pro­posed Solution

Cole Killian18 Nov 2022 18:39 UTC
−1 points
5 comments5 min readLW link
(colekillian.com)

[Question] What qual­ities does an AGI need to have to re­al­ize the risk of false vac­uum, with­out hard­cod­ing physics the­o­ries into it?

RationalSieve3 Feb 2023 16:00 UTC
1 point
4 comments1 min readLW link

Could Roko’s basilisk acausally bar­gain with a pa­per­clip max­i­mizer?

Christopher King13 Mar 2023 18:21 UTC
1 point
8 comments1 min readLW link

Hyper­bolic Dis­count­ing and Pas­cal’s Mugging

Andrew Keenan Richardson23 Dec 2023 21:55 UTC
8 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

AGI is un­con­trol­lable, al­ign­ment is impossible

Donatas Lučiūnas19 Mar 2023 17:49 UTC
−12 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Against the Lin­ear Utility Hy­poth­e­sis and the Lev­er­age Penalty

AlexMennen14 Dec 2017 18:38 UTC
39 points
47 comments11 min readLW link

The Lifes­pan Dilemma

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Sep 2009 18:45 UTC
61 points
220 comments7 min readLW link

More on the Lin­ear Utility Hy­poth­e­sis and the Lev­er­age Prior

AlexMennen26 Feb 2018 23:53 UTC
16 points
4 comments9 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­gle (short ver­sion)

Eliezer Yudkowsky5 May 2013 23:36 UTC
48 points
53 comments11 min readLW link

Ob­served Pas­cal’s Mugging

[deleted]28 Jun 2011 15:53 UTC
36 points
61 comments1 min readLW link
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