Takeoff & Takeover

Imagine an advanced society, with complex structures more intricate and intelligent than anything that exists today – a society which nevertheless lacks any being that is conscious, or whose welfare has moral significance. In a sense, this would be an uninhabited society. It would be a society of economic miracles and technological awesomeness, with nobody there to benefit. A Disneyland with no children.

– Nick Bostrom

Draft re­port on AI timelines

The date of AI Takeover is not the day the AI takes over

An overview of 11 pro­pos­als for build­ing safe ad­vanced AI

Cortés, Pizarro, and Afonso as Prece­dents for Takeover

Nu­clear war is un­likely to cause hu­man extinction

Biol­ogy-In­spired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works

Re­ply to Eliezer on Biolog­i­cal Anchors

Against GDP as a met­ric for timelines and take­off speeds

Some AI re­search ar­eas and their rele­vance to ex­is­ten­tial safety

My com­pu­ta­tional frame­work for the brain

How uniform is the neo­cor­tex?

Dis­con­tin­u­ous progress in his­tory: an update