But then someone else (e.g. China) would have achieved the same outcome. And a good AI outcome might be less unlikely under US American ASI than under Chinese ASI.
I certainly find the argument of the form “well, all of this conquering only accelerated technological progress which might then destroy everything by building ASI” at least prima-facie reasonable, though overall am not sold.
I think the same classical liberalism tendencies and associated intuitions around governments are actually a pretty good tool to use to navigate the intelligence explosion successfully.
Near term omnicide seems much more guaranteed in the world where the U.S. is not present to lend critical support to the Allies during WW2, or for the Jews to migrate to.
As the net effect of the US seems probably negative (near term omnicide) it may have been better had it not existed.
But then someone else (e.g. China) would have achieved the same outcome. And a good AI outcome might be less unlikely under US American ASI than under Chinese ASI.
I certainly find the argument of the form “well, all of this conquering only accelerated technological progress which might then destroy everything by building ASI” at least prima-facie reasonable, though overall am not sold.
I think the same classical liberalism tendencies and associated intuitions around governments are actually a pretty good tool to use to navigate the intelligence explosion successfully.
Near term omnicide seems much more guaranteed in the world where the U.S. is not present to lend critical support to the Allies during WW2, or for the Jews to migrate to.