As gwern pointed out, this post commits one of the basic fallacies of conditional probability. Since this is a somewhat politically charged topic, and sarahconstantin has been around a while and so could be expected not to make such 101-level mistakes under normal circumstances, someone could reasonably surmise that she stopped looking for possible counterarguments once she had reached a conclusion she liked for political reasons.
It definitely overlaps with politically-charged topics of how “society” treats various subgroups. I’m not sure I’d have gone so far as to call it mind-killing as written, but it could be taken that way (and I’ll admit that I did initially take it badly, and gave it more thought primarily because of trust built from the author’s previous posts).
this isn’t obvious to me, can you elaborate?
As gwern pointed out, this post commits one of the basic fallacies of conditional probability. Since this is a somewhat politically charged topic, and sarahconstantin has been around a while and so could be expected not to make such 101-level mistakes under normal circumstances, someone could reasonably surmise that she stopped looking for possible counterarguments once she had reached a conclusion she liked for political reasons.
It definitely overlaps with politically-charged topics of how “society” treats various subgroups. I’m not sure I’d have gone so far as to call it mind-killing as written, but it could be taken that way (and I’ll admit that I did initially take it badly, and gave it more thought primarily because of trust built from the author’s previous posts).