A common SF trope is that you send out an interstellar starship, but while it’s in transit technology improves so a later starship gets there first. So you need to do a “wait calculation” to decide if it’s worth starting at all now.
I’ve now reached the point where I find myself making the same calculation before beginning almost any project: If it will take me more than a couple of months, will AI get there before I do?
Depending on the nature of the project, initial execution is primarily an exercise in collecting information. It may be that AIs could execute faster, but your initial efforts may provide information about whether the project should be completed in the first place or abandoned, regardless of who/what is implementing it. Situation-dependent, of course, but I’d be wary of delaying collecting that information.
I initially read this as a common San Francisco trope, and as about startups being eclipsed by later-starting startups who begin with the newest technology
A common SF trope is that you send out an interstellar starship, but while it’s in transit technology improves so a later starship gets there first. So you need to do a “wait calculation” to decide if it’s worth starting at all now.
I’ve now reached the point where I find myself making the same calculation before beginning almost any project: If it will take me more than a couple of months, will AI get there before I do?
Depending on the nature of the project, initial execution is primarily an exercise in collecting information. It may be that AIs could execute faster, but your initial efforts may provide information about whether the project should be completed in the first place or abandoned, regardless of who/what is implementing it. Situation-dependent, of course, but I’d be wary of delaying collecting that information.
I initially read this as a common San Francisco trope, and as about startups being eclipsed by later-starting startups who begin with the newest technology
Ah, yes. The VC-Bait Calculation.