Note to mods: I would like to modify this version to add a prediction widget for the proposition “The new English Strain is at least 50% more infectious than the currently dominant American strain of Covid-19” and one for “There will be an additional distinct large wave of Covid-19 infections in the United States 2021″. But I forgot where the post is that explains how to create such things I couldn’t find it.
Note to mods: I would like to modify this version to add a prediction widget for the proposition “The new English Strain is at least 50% more infectious than the currently dominant American strain of Covid-19” and one for “There will be an additional distinct large wave of Covid-19 infections in the United States 2021″. But I forgot where the post is that explains how to create such things I couldn’t find it.
Done! For future reference, instructions are here.
How are these questions being operationalized?
I choose an operationalization for the second question in this comment: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CHtwDXy63BsLkQx4n/covid-12-24-we-re-f-ed-it-s-over?commentId=A38t5Ffxbm6GhpXuk