[Question] What would a post that argues against the Orthogonality Thesis that LessWrong users approve of look like?

This question is motivated by the following reasons:

Not many pieces exist that argue against the Orthogonality Thesis (on LessWrong, or anywhere, to my knowledge). Of those that do, none have received positive feedback.

Commenters on those pieces have stated that it is not, in principle, impossible that they would up-vote such a piece, only that none thus far have met or exceeded their standards for what they would consider to be a successful attempt (even if they were not ultimately persuaded by the arguments).

What attributes would a “successful attempt” (even one that does not persuade you to disbelieve the Orthogonality Thesis) have?